Real Madrid vs Girona Predviđanje

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

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Girona

Away

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

AI poziv Real Madrid da pobedi ili remizira

77%

15%

Pobeda domaćina Nerešeno Pobeda gostiju

Prognoza: Real Madrid vs Girona: Sportiko procenjuje da Real Madrid ima 77% šanse za pobedu, Girona 8%, a nerešeno 15%. Poslednje ažuriranje 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Real Madrid were held to a 1–1 draw by Girona at the Bernabéu in La Liga's 31st matchday, with both sides level at the break after a goalless first half. Federico Valverde broke the deadlock six minutes into the second period, but Girona responded swiftly through Thomas Lemar, who equalised on 62 minutes to silence the home crowd.

Despite dominating proceedings — controlling 61% of possession, registering 22 total shots, and generating an expected goals figure of 2.30 compared to Girona's 0.52 — Carlo Ancelotti's side were unable to find a winner. A flurry of substitutions from both benches, including the introductions of Jude Bellingham and Eduardo Camavinga for Madrid, failed to shift the balance. Valverde picked up a yellow card on 76 minutes, having already seen Mbappé cautioned before the interval.

The result represented a significant upset, with our pre-match AI model having rated a Real Madrid win as the most likely outcome at 77%. Girona's resilience proved enough to claim a valuable point on the road.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Kylian Mbappé Yellow Card

35' ▮

HT 0–0

Federico Valverde assist: Brahim Díaz

51' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 62'

Thomas Lemar assist: Arnau Martínez

64' ⇄

Jude Bellingham ⇄ Arda Güler

64' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Claudio Echeverri ⇄ Abel Ruíz

⇄ 70'

Azzedine Ounahi ⇄ Bryan Gil

⇄ 70'

Thomas Lemar ⇄ Hugo Rincón

Federico Valverde Yellow Card

76' ▮

Eduardo Camavinga ⇄ Aurélien Tchouaméni

79' ⇄

Fran García ⇄ Ferland Mendy

79' ⇄

Brahim Díaz ⇄ Gonzalo García

84' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Iván Martín ⇄ Fran Beltrán

⇄ 85'

⇄ Cristhian Stuani

▮ 88'

Hugo Rincón Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Real Madrid

Match Stats

Girona

61% Ball Possession 39%

2.30 Expected Goals (xG) 0.52

22 Total Shots 10

9 Shots on Goal 2

7 Shots off Goal 5

6 Blocked Shots 3

18 Shots insidebox 4

4 Shots outsidebox 6

10 Corner Kicks 1

3 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 7

600 Total passes 390

553 Passes accurate 341

92% Passes % 87%

0.33 goals_prevented 0.33

Real Madrid

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Vinícius Júnior F	8.6	90'	–	–	3	39 (35%)	2
8 Federico Valverde M	8.5	90'	1	–	2	47 (39%)	1
6 Eduardo Camavinga M	7.5	79'	–	–	1	61 (58%)	3
5 Jude Bellingham M	7.3	64'	–	–	2	35 (31%)	–
21 Brahim Díaz M	7.2	84'	–	1	1	38 (31%)	1
20 Fran García D	7.2	79'	–	–	–	56 (53%)	2
24 Dean Huijsen D	7.2	26'	–	–	1	28 (27%)	–
17 Raúl Asencio D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	75 (72%)	1
15 Arda Güler M	6.9	26'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	1
3 Éder Militão D	6.7	64'	–	–	–	49 (46%)	–
14 Aurélien Tchouaméni M	6.6	11'	–	–	–	18 (18%)	1
13 Andriy Lunin G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	–
23 Ferland Mendy D	6.6	11'	–	–	–	20 (20%)	–
16 Gonzalo García F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
2 Daniel Carvajal D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	42 (40%)	1
10 Kylian Mbappé F	5.9	90'	–	–	4	21 (20%)	–

Girona

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Paulo Gazzaniga G	8.2	90'	–	–	–	42 (31%)	1
12 Vitor Reis D	7.7	90'	–	–	–	50 (49%)	4
16 Alejandro Francés D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	44 (40%)	4
11 Thomas Lemar M	7.2	70'	1	–	1	26 (21%)	1
23 Iván Martín M	7.0	84'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	2
24 Álex Moreno D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	2
18 Azzedine Ounahi M	6.7	70'	–	–	1	28 (26%)	1
8 Fran Beltrán M	6.7	12'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
14 Claudio Echeverri F	6.7	64'	–	–	3	16 (15%)	–
7 Cristhian Stuani F	6.7	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
20 Axel Witsel M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	54 (53%)	1
9 Abel Ruíz F	6.5	20'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
21 Bryan Gil F	6.5	20'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	1
4 Arnau Martínez D	6.3	90'	–	1	2	33 (27%)	3
15 Viktor Tsygankov M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	25 (19%)	–
2 Hugo Rincón D	6.3	20'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	2

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

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Real Madrid da pobedi ili remizira

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Real Madrid

LWWWL

Girona

WLWWL

Last 3 meetings Real Madrid · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this La Liga clash, Real Madrid hosts Girona on April 12, 2026. Real Madrid, traditionally strong at the Santiago Bernabéu, will rely on their potent attack, led by an in-form striker, to break down Girona’s defense. Girona, known for their disciplined organization and counter-attacking prowess, will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from the home side. Historically, Real Madrid has a significant edge in head-to-head matchups, but Girona's recent form suggests they could challenge for points. Expect a tactical battle between Madrid's offensive firepower and Girona's resilience.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Girona goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	3	1
1	11	7	2
2	14	9	3	1
3	12	8	2
4	7	5	1
5	4	2	1

↑ Real Madrid goals · most likely 2–0 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé 7 gls

J. Bellingham 3 gls

Girona

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Real Madrid vs Girona

2 Real Madrid Wins

1 Draws

0 Girona Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Nov 2025	Girona	1 - 1	Real Madrid
23 Feb 2025	Real Madrid	2 - 0	Girona
07 Dec 2024	Girona	0 - 3	Real Madrid

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Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Inter	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0

Girona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Cadiz	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Castellón	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Sporting Gijon	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Las Palmas	W	5 - 2
21 Aug	A Cordoba	L	2 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3