Real Madrid vs Girona Prognoza

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 31
FT
Post on X
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Typowanie AI Real Madrid – wygrana lub remis
77%
15%
8%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Real Madrid vs Girona: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Real Madrid na 77%, Girona na 8%, a remisu na 15%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Real Madrid were held to a 1–1 draw by Girona at the Bernabéu in La Liga's 31st matchday, with both sides level at the break after a goalless first half. Federico Valverde broke the deadlock six minutes into the second period, but Girona responded swiftly through Thomas Lemar, who equalised on 62 minutes to silence the home crowd.

Despite dominating proceedings — controlling 61% of possession, registering 22 total shots, and generating an expected goals figure of 2.30 compared to Girona's 0.52 — Carlo Ancelotti's side were unable to find a winner. A flurry of substitutions from both benches, including the introductions of Jude Bellingham and Eduardo Camavinga for Madrid, failed to shift the balance. Valverde picked up a yellow card on 76 minutes, having already seen Mbappé cautioned before the interval.

The result represented a significant upset, with our pre-match AI model having rated a Real Madrid win as the most likely outcome at 77%. Girona's resilience proved enough to claim a valuable point on the road.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Kylian Mbappé Yellow Card
35' ▮
HT 0–0
Federico Valverde assist: Brahim Díaz
51' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 62'
Thomas Lemar assist: Arnau Martínez
64' ⇄
Jude Bellingham ⇄ Arda Güler
64' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Claudio Echeverri ⇄ Abel Ruíz
⇄ 70'
Azzedine Ounahi ⇄ Bryan Gil
⇄ 70'
Thomas Lemar ⇄ Hugo Rincón
Federico Valverde Yellow Card
76' ▮
Eduardo Camavinga ⇄ Aurélien Tchouaméni
79' ⇄
Fran García ⇄ Ferland Mendy
79' ⇄
Brahim Díaz ⇄ Gonzalo García
84' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Iván Martín ⇄ Fran Beltrán
⇄ 85'
⇄ Cristhian Stuani
▮ 88'
Hugo Rincón Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Real Madrid

Match Stats

Girona
61% Ball Possession 39%
2.30 Expected Goals (xG) 0.52
22 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 3
18 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 6
10 Corner Kicks 1
3 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
600 Total passes 390
553 Passes accurate 341
92% Passes % 87%
0.33 goals_prevented 0.33
Real Madrid
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Vinícius Júnior F 8.6 90' – – 3 39 (35%) 2
8 Federico Valverde M 8.5 90' 1 – 2 47 (39%) 1
6 Eduardo Camavinga M 7.5 79' – – 1 61 (58%) 3
5 Jude Bellingham M 7.3 64' – – 2 35 (31%) –
21 Brahim Díaz M 7.2 84' – 1 1 38 (31%) 1
20 Fran García D 7.2 79' – – – 56 (53%) 2
24 Dean Huijsen D 7.2 26' – – 1 28 (27%) –
17 Raúl Asencio D 7.0 90' – – 1 75 (72%) 1
15 Arda Güler M 6.9 26' – – – 32 (29%) 1
3 Éder Militão D 6.7 64' – – – 49 (46%) –
14 Aurélien Tchouaméni M 6.6 11' – – – 18 (18%) 1
13 Andriy Lunin G 6.6 90' – – – 36 (31%) –
23 Ferland Mendy D 6.6 11' – – – 20 (20%) –
16 Gonzalo García F 6.3 12' – – – 3 (3%) –
2 Daniel Carvajal D 6.2 90' – – 1 42 (40%) 1
10 Kylian Mbappé F 5.9 90' – – 4 21 (20%) –
Girona
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Paulo Gazzaniga G 8.2 90' – – – 42 (31%) 1
12 Vitor Reis D 7.7 90' – – – 50 (49%) 4
16 Alejandro Francés D 7.2 90' – – – 44 (40%) 4
11 Thomas Lemar M 7.2 70' 1 – 1 26 (21%) 1
23 Iván Martín M 7.0 84' – – – 30 (28%) 2
24 Álex Moreno D 6.9 90' – – – 28 (22%) 2
18 Azzedine Ounahi M 6.7 70' – – 1 28 (26%) 1
8 Fran Beltrán M 6.7 12' – – – 3 (3%) –
14 Claudio Echeverri F 6.7 64' – – 3 16 (15%) –
7 Cristhian Stuani F 6.7 11' – – – 1 (1%) –
20 Axel Witsel M 6.6 90' – – – 54 (53%) 1
9 Abel Ruíz F 6.5 20' – – – 2 (2%) –
21 Bryan Gil F 6.5 20' – – – 4 (2%) 1
4 Arnau Martínez D 6.3 90' – 1 2 33 (27%) 3
15 Viktor Tsygankov M 6.3 90' – – – 25 (19%) –
2 Hugo Rincón D 6.3 20' – – – 4 (2%) 2
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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Real Madrid – wygrana lub remis
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Real Madrid
LWWWL
Girona
WLWWL
Last 3 meetings Real Madrid · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this La Liga clash, Real Madrid hosts Girona on April 12, 2026. Real Madrid, traditionally strong at the Santiago Bernabéu, will rely on their potent attack, led by an in-form striker, to break down Girona’s defense. Girona, known for their disciplined organization and counter-attacking prowess, will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from the home side. Historically, Real Madrid has a significant edge in head-to-head matchups, but Girona's recent form suggests they could challenge for points. Expect a tactical battle between Madrid's offensive firepower and Girona's resilience.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Real Madrid
Kylian Mbappé 7 gls
J. Bellingham 3 gls
Girona

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Real Madrid vs Girona

2 Real Madrid Wins
1 Draws
0 Girona Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Nov 2025 Girona 1 - 1 Real Madrid
23 Feb 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 0 Girona
07 Dec 2024 Girona 0 - 3 Real Madrid
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Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Atletico Madrid L 2 - 1
15 Sep A Elche W 2 - 3
12 Sep H Rayo Vallecano W 4 - 1
08 Sep H Inter W 2 - 1
04 Sep A Real Betis L 1 - 0

Girona — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Cadiz W 1 - 2
12 Sep H Castellón L 1 - 2
05 Sep A Sporting Gijon W 0 - 2
29 Aug H Las Palmas W 5 - 2
21 Aug A Cordoba L 2 - 1

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Real Madrid

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa
13 Lunin
20 Garcia
17 Asencio
3 Militao
2 Carvajal
21 Diaz
6 Camavinga
5 Bellingham
8 Valverde
7 Junior
10 Mbappe

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 A. Lunin G
2 D. Carvajal D
3 Eder Militao D
17 R. Asencio D
20 F. Garcia D
8 F. Valverde M
5 J. Bellingham M
6 E. Camavinga M
21 B. Diaz M
10 K. Mbappe F
7 Vinicius Junior F

Substitutes

26 Fran G
4 D. Alaba D
14 A. Tchouameni M
37 Angel Manuel M
24 D. Huijsen D
32 J. Fortea D
45 T. Pitarch M
19 D. Ceballos M
23 F. Mendy D
15 A. Guler M
16 G. Garcia F
42 D. Yanez F

Girona

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Michel
13 Gazzaniga
24 Moreno
12 Reis
16 Frances
4 Martinez
20 Witsel
23 Martin
18 Ounahi
11 Lemar
15 Tsygankov
14 Echeverri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 P. Gazzaniga G
4 A. Martinez D
16 A. Frances D
12 Vitor Reis D
24 A. Moreno D
23 I. Martin M
20 A. Witsel M
15 V. Tsygankov M
11 T. Lemar M
18 A. Ounahi M
14 C. Echeverri F

Substitutes

25 V. Krapyvtsov G
1 R. Blanco G
7 C. Stuani F
8 F. Beltran M
21 B. Gil F
29 L. Kourouma M
5 D. Lopez D
9 A. Ruiz F
3 J. Roca M
2 H. Rincon D

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