Real Madrid vs Girona Prognose
Real Madrid vs. Girona Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Real Madrid eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 77%, für Girona 8% und für ein Unentschieden 15%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Real Madrid were held to a 1–1 draw by Girona at the Bernabéu in La Liga's 31st matchday, with both sides level at the break after a goalless first half. Federico Valverde broke the deadlock six minutes into the second period, but Girona responded swiftly through Thomas Lemar, who equalised on 62 minutes to silence the home crowd.
Despite dominating proceedings — controlling 61% of possession, registering 22 total shots, and generating an expected goals figure of 2.30 compared to Girona's 0.52 — Carlo Ancelotti's side were unable to find a winner. A flurry of substitutions from both benches, including the introductions of Jude Bellingham and Eduardo Camavinga for Madrid, failed to shift the balance. Valverde picked up a yellow card on 76 minutes, having already seen Mbappé cautioned before the interval.
The result represented a significant upset, with our pre-match AI model having rated a Real Madrid win as the most likely outcome at 77%. Girona's resilience proved enough to claim a valuable point on the road.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Real Madrid
Match Stats
Real Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Vinícius Júnior F | 8.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 39 (35%) | 2 |
| 8 Federico Valverde M | 8.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 47 (39%) | 1 |
| 6 Eduardo Camavinga M | 7.5 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 61 (58%) | 3 |
| 5 Jude Bellingham M | 7.3 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 35 (31%) | – |
| 21 Brahim Díaz M | 7.2 | 84' | – | 1 | 1 | 38 (31%) | 1 |
| 20 Fran García D | 7.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 56 (53%) | 2 |
| 24 Dean Huijsen D | 7.2 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 28 (27%) | – |
| 17 Raúl Asencio D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 75 (72%) | 1 |
| 15 Arda Güler M | 6.9 | 26' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | 1 |
| 3 Éder Militão D | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | – | 49 (46%) | – |
| 14 Aurélien Tchouaméni M | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 18 (18%) | 1 |
| 13 Andriy Lunin G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | – |
| 23 Ferland Mendy D | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 20 (20%) | – |
| 16 Gonzalo García F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 2 Daniel Carvajal D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (40%) | 1 |
| 10 Kylian Mbappé F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 21 (20%) | – |
Girona
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Paulo Gazzaniga G | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (31%) | 1 |
| 12 Vitor Reis D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (49%) | 4 |
| 16 Alejandro Francés D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | 4 |
| 11 Thomas Lemar M | 7.2 | 70' | 1 | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | 1 |
| 23 Iván Martín M | 7.0 | 84' | – | – | – | 30 (28%) | 2 |
| 24 Álex Moreno D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 18 Azzedine Ounahi M | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 28 (26%) | 1 |
| 8 Fran Beltrán M | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 14 Claudio Echeverri F | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | 3 | 16 (15%) | – |
| 7 Cristhian Stuani F | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 20 Axel Witsel M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (53%) | 1 |
| 9 Abel Ruíz F | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 21 Bryan Gil F | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 4 Arnau Martínez D | 6.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 33 (27%) | 3 |
| 15 Viktor Tsygankov M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (19%) | – |
| 2 Hugo Rincón D | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Kylian Mbappé
7 gls
J. Bellingham
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Real Madrid vs Girona
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Girona | 1 - 1 | Real Madrid |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Real Madrid | 2 - 0 | Girona |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Girona | 0 - 3 | Real Madrid |
Real Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Atletico Madrid | L | 2 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | A Elche | W | 2 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | H Rayo Vallecano | W | 4 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | H Inter | W | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Real Betis | L | 1 - 0 |
Girona — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Cadiz | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Castellón | L | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A Sporting Gijon | W | 0 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Las Palmas | W | 5 - 2 |
| 21 Aug | A Cordoba | L | 2 - 1 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Real Madrid
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | A. Lunin | G |
| 2 | D. Carvajal | D |
| 3 | Eder Militao | D |
| 17 | R. Asencio | D |
| 20 | F. Garcia | D |
| 8 | F. Valverde | M |
| 5 | J. Bellingham | M |
| 6 | E. Camavinga | M |
| 21 | B. Diaz | M |
| 10 | K. Mbappe | F |
| 7 | Vinicius Junior | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | Fran | G |
| 4 | D. Alaba | D |
| 14 | A. Tchouameni | M |
| 37 | Angel Manuel | M |
| 24 | D. Huijsen | D |
| 32 | J. Fortea | D |
| 45 | T. Pitarch | M |
| 19 | D. Ceballos | M |
| 23 | F. Mendy | D |
| 15 | A. Guler | M |
| 16 | G. Garcia | F |
| 42 | D. Yanez | F |
Girona
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Michel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | P. Gazzaniga | G |
| 4 | A. Martinez | D |
| 16 | A. Frances | D |
| 12 | Vitor Reis | D |
| 24 | A. Moreno | D |
| 23 | I. Martin | M |
| 20 | A. Witsel | M |
| 15 | V. Tsygankov | M |
| 11 | T. Lemar | M |
| 18 | A. Ounahi | M |
| 14 | C. Echeverri | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | V. Krapyvtsov | G |
| 1 | R. Blanco | G |
| 7 | C. Stuani | F |
| 8 | F. Beltran | M |
| 21 | B. Gil | F |
| 29 | L. Kourouma | M |
| 5 | D. Lopez | D |
| 9 | A. Ruiz | F |
| 3 | J. Roca | M |
| 2 | H. Rincon | D |