Nacional vs Estrela Napoved

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
UI napoved Estrela ali neodločeno
24%
33%
43%
Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Nacional proti Estrela: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Nacional na 24%, za Estrela na 43%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 33%. Zadnja posodobitev: 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Timeline

▮ 1'
Yellow Card
2' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 16'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
45+3' ▮
HT 1–0
⇄ 46'
⇄ 46'
⇄ Jovane Cabral
49' ⇄
71' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 74'
⇄ 75'
77' ⇄
77' ⇄
Alan Núñez Yellow Card
78' ▮
▮ 81'
Yellow Card
⇄ 85'
Yellow Card
86' ▮
89' ⇄
Yellow Card
90+6' ▮
FT 2–0
Nacional

Match Stats

Estrela
49% Ball Possession 51%
0.96 Expected Goals (xG) 0.53
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 6
7 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 6
8 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 5
14 Fouls 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
314 Total passes 331
246 Passes accurate 255
78% Passes % 77%
-1.58 goals_prevented -1.58
Nacional
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Paulinho Bóia F 8.2 90' 1 – 1 28 (24%) 2
9 Jesús Ramírez F 7.7 90' 1 – 3 15 (10%) 1
5 José Gomes D 7.5 77' – – – 13 (10%) 3
34 Léo Santos D 7.3 90' – 1 – 31 (26%) 2
16 Alan Núñez D 7.2 90' – – – 25 (20%) –
38 Ze Vitor D 7.2 90' – – 1 26 (23%) –
28 Liziero M 7.2 77' – – – 35 (30%) 5
1 Kaique G 6.9 90' – – – 37 (17%) –
24 Lenny Vallier D 6.7 13' – – – 4 (3%) –
22 Filipe Soares M 6.7 13' – – 1 8 (6%) –
33 Francisco Gonçalves D 6.7 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
15 Chiheb Labidi M 6.6 90' – – – 43 (36%) 2
8 Miguel Baeza M 6.5 49' – – 1 13 (11%) –
10 Daniel Júnior M 6.5 41' – – 1 16 (14%) –
27 Gabriel Veron F 6.2 89' – – 1 19 (15%) 2
Estrela
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Kevin Höög Jansson M 7.3 90' – – 1 27 (21%) 3
14 Bernardo Schappo D 7.2 90' – – – 54 (40%) 2
11 Jovane Cabral F 6.9 45' – – 4 13 (8%) 1
30 Luan Patrick D 6.9 90' – – – 47 (39%) 1
17 Jefferson Encada D 6.9 15' – – – 11 (9%) 1
40 Renan Ribeiro G 6.7 90' – – – 23 (19%) –
63 Alex Sola M 6.7 45' – – – 12 (8%) –
9 Rodrigo Pinho F 6.7 85' – – 1 8 (6%) –
10 Ianis Stoica F 6.7 45' – – – 8 (7%) –
21 Max Scholze D 6.6 90' – – – 30 (28%) 5
99 Abraham Marcus F 6.5 90' – – 1 31 (19%) 2
20 Sydney van Hooijdonk F 6.5 16' – – – – –
7 Leandro Antonetti F 6.5 12' – – – 1 –
24 Bruno Langa D 6.3 75' – – – 31 (23%) 1
39 Eddy Doué M 6.3 74' – – – 29 (24%) 1
28 Tom Moustier M 6.2 45' – – 1 6 (4%) 1
Premium

Odkleni celotno analizo AI za Nacional vs Estrela

  • Vseh 70+ verjetnostnih trgov
  • UI poglobljeno poročilo o tekmi
  • Value Edge — model proti trgu
  • Vrste izbir, ki jih izberete
Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Naša analiza
Estrela ali neodločeno
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Nacional
LLLLL
Estrela
LDWDW
Last 3 meetings Nacional · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Nacional will host Estrela in a crucial Primeira Liga matchup on April 4, 2026. Historically, Nacional has shown a stronger home advantage, with a win rate of approximately 60% at home this season, leveraging their robust defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Estrela, while competitive, struggles in away fixtures, securing only 25% of their points on the road. Key players for Nacional, particularly their forward line, have been in good form, contributing to a goals-per-game average of 1.8. Estrela will need a solid performance from their midfield to control the tempo and create scoring opportunities if they hope to upset Nacional.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Nacional

No scorer data.

Estrela
A. Marcus 4 gls
L. Antonetti 4 gls
I. Stoica 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Nacional vs Estrela

0 Nacional Wins
1 Draws
2 Estrela Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Aug 2026 Nacional 2 - 3 Estrela
09 Nov 2025 Estrela 1 - 1 Nacional
06 Apr 2025 Nacional 0 - 1 Estrela
Prikaži vseh 4 medsebojnih srečanj — Premium

Nacional — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Famalicao L 0 - 4
12 Sep H Alverca L 1 - 3
05 Sep A Sporting CP L 2 - 0
30 Aug H Estrela L 2 - 3
23 Aug A Vitória SC L 1 - 0

Estrela — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Academico Viseu L 0 - 2
14 Sep A Rio Ave D 3 - 3
10 Sep H SC Braga W 2 - 1
05 Sep H Famalicao D 2 - 2
30 Aug A Nacional W 2 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Nacional

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Tiago Margarido
1 Pereira
5 Gomes
38 Vitor
34 Santos
16 Nunez
28 Liziero
15 Labidi
8 Baeza
11 Boia
9 Ramirez
27 Veron

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Kaique Pereira G
16 A. Nunez D
34 Leo Santos D
38 Ze Vitor D
5 Jose Gomes D
8 M. Baeza M
15 C. Labidi M
28 Liziero M
27 Gabriel Veron F
9 J. Ramirez F
11 Paulinho Boia F

Substitutes

50 K. V. Medeiros de Freitas G
19 L. Joao F
7 Witi F
22 F. Soares M
10 Daniel Junior M
26 J. Silva M
2 J. Aurelio D
24 L. Vallier D
33 C. Goncalves D

Estrela

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Joao Nuno
40 Ribeiro
24 Langa
14 Schappo
30 Patrick
21 Scholze
63 Sola
6 Jansson
39 Doue
10 Stoica
9 Pinho
99 Marcus

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 R. Ribeiro G
21 M. Scholze D
30 Luan Patrick D
14 Bernardo Schappo D
24 B. Langa D
39 G. Doue M
6 K. Jansson M
63 A. Sola M
99 A. Marcus F
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
10 I. Stoica F

Substitutes

13 Dudu G
20 S. van Hooijdonk F
7 L. Antonetti F
3 Ni D
28 T. Moustier M
83 Otavio D
17 J. Encada D
11 Jovane F
18 J. Meireles F

Sportiko Asistent

Funkcije, tekmovanje ali nogomet

Registriraj se brezplačno za klepet s Sportiko Asistentom — vprašaj o napovedih, tekmovanju ali čemerkoli o nogometu.

Registriraj se brezplačno Že imate račun? Prijavite se