Nacional vs Estrela Prognoza

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
Typowanie AI Estrela lub remis
24%
33%
43%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Nacional vs Estrela: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Nacional na 24%, Estrela na 43%, a remisu na 33%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Timeline

▮ 1'
Yellow Card
2' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 16'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
45+3' ▮
HT 1–0
⇄ 46'
⇄ 46'
⇄ Jovane Cabral
49' ⇄
71' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 74'
⇄ 75'
77' ⇄
77' ⇄
Alan Núñez Yellow Card
78' ▮
▮ 81'
Yellow Card
⇄ 85'
Yellow Card
86' ▮
89' ⇄
Yellow Card
90+6' ▮
FT 2–0
Nacional

Match Stats

Estrela
49% Ball Possession 51%
0.96 Expected Goals (xG) 0.53
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 6
7 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 6
8 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 5
14 Fouls 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
314 Total passes 331
246 Passes accurate 255
78% Passes % 77%
-1.58 goals_prevented -1.58
Nacional
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Paulinho Bóia F 8.2 90' 1 – 1 28 (24%) 2
9 Jesús Ramírez F 7.7 90' 1 – 3 15 (10%) 1
5 José Gomes D 7.5 77' – – – 13 (10%) 3
34 Léo Santos D 7.3 90' – 1 – 31 (26%) 2
16 Alan Núñez D 7.2 90' – – – 25 (20%) –
38 Ze Vitor D 7.2 90' – – 1 26 (23%) –
28 Liziero M 7.2 77' – – – 35 (30%) 5
1 Kaique G 6.9 90' – – – 37 (17%) –
24 Lenny Vallier D 6.7 13' – – – 4 (3%) –
22 Filipe Soares M 6.7 13' – – 1 8 (6%) –
33 Francisco Gonçalves D 6.7 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
15 Chiheb Labidi M 6.6 90' – – – 43 (36%) 2
8 Miguel Baeza M 6.5 49' – – 1 13 (11%) –
10 Daniel Júnior M 6.5 41' – – 1 16 (14%) –
27 Gabriel Veron F 6.2 89' – – 1 19 (15%) 2
Estrela
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Kevin Höög Jansson M 7.3 90' – – 1 27 (21%) 3
14 Bernardo Schappo D 7.2 90' – – – 54 (40%) 2
11 Jovane Cabral F 6.9 45' – – 4 13 (8%) 1
30 Luan Patrick D 6.9 90' – – – 47 (39%) 1
17 Jefferson Encada D 6.9 15' – – – 11 (9%) 1
40 Renan Ribeiro G 6.7 90' – – – 23 (19%) –
63 Alex Sola M 6.7 45' – – – 12 (8%) –
9 Rodrigo Pinho F 6.7 85' – – 1 8 (6%) –
10 Ianis Stoica F 6.7 45' – – – 8 (7%) –
21 Max Scholze D 6.6 90' – – – 30 (28%) 5
99 Abraham Marcus F 6.5 90' – – 1 31 (19%) 2
20 Sydney van Hooijdonk F 6.5 16' – – – – –
7 Leandro Antonetti F 6.5 12' – – – 1 –
24 Bruno Langa D 6.3 75' – – – 31 (23%) 1
39 Eddy Doué M 6.3 74' – – – 29 (24%) 1
28 Tom Moustier M 6.2 45' – – 1 6 (4%) 1
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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

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Estrela lub remis
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Nacional
LLLLL
Estrela
LDWDW
Last 3 meetings Nacional · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Nacional will host Estrela in a crucial Primeira Liga matchup on April 4, 2026. Historically, Nacional has shown a stronger home advantage, with a win rate of approximately 60% at home this season, leveraging their robust defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Estrela, while competitive, struggles in away fixtures, securing only 25% of their points on the road. Key players for Nacional, particularly their forward line, have been in good form, contributing to a goals-per-game average of 1.8. Estrela will need a solid performance from their midfield to control the tempo and create scoring opportunities if they hope to upset Nacional.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Nacional

No scorer data.

Estrela
A. Marcus 4 gls
L. Antonetti 4 gls
I. Stoica 4 gls

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Head to Head: Nacional vs Estrela

0 Nacional Wins
1 Draws
2 Estrela Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Aug 2026 Nacional 2 - 3 Estrela
09 Nov 2025 Estrela 1 - 1 Nacional
06 Apr 2025 Nacional 0 - 1 Estrela
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Nacional — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Famalicao L 0 - 4
12 Sep H Alverca L 1 - 3
05 Sep A Sporting CP L 2 - 0
30 Aug H Estrela L 2 - 3
23 Aug A Vitória SC L 1 - 0

Estrela — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Academico Viseu L 0 - 2
14 Sep A Rio Ave D 3 - 3
10 Sep H SC Braga W 2 - 1
05 Sep H Famalicao D 2 - 2
30 Aug A Nacional W 2 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Nacional

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Tiago Margarido
1 Pereira
5 Gomes
38 Vitor
34 Santos
16 Nunez
28 Liziero
15 Labidi
8 Baeza
11 Boia
9 Ramirez
27 Veron

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Kaique Pereira G
16 A. Nunez D
34 Leo Santos D
38 Ze Vitor D
5 Jose Gomes D
8 M. Baeza M
15 C. Labidi M
28 Liziero M
27 Gabriel Veron F
9 J. Ramirez F
11 Paulinho Boia F

Substitutes

50 K. V. Medeiros de Freitas G
19 L. Joao F
7 Witi F
22 F. Soares M
10 Daniel Junior M
26 J. Silva M
2 J. Aurelio D
24 L. Vallier D
33 C. Goncalves D

Estrela

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Joao Nuno
40 Ribeiro
24 Langa
14 Schappo
30 Patrick
21 Scholze
63 Sola
6 Jansson
39 Doue
10 Stoica
9 Pinho
99 Marcus

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 R. Ribeiro G
21 M. Scholze D
30 Luan Patrick D
14 Bernardo Schappo D
24 B. Langa D
39 G. Doue M
6 K. Jansson M
63 A. Sola M
99 A. Marcus F
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
10 I. Stoica F

Substitutes

13 Dudu G
20 S. van Hooijdonk F
7 L. Antonetti F
3 Ni D
28 T. Moustier M
83 Otavio D
17 J. Encada D
11 Jovane F
18 J. Meireles F

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