Nacional vs Estrela Prognose
FT
KI-Tipp
Estrela oder Unentschieden
24%
33%
43%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Nacional vs. Estrela Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Nacional eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 24%, für Estrela 43% und für ein Unentschieden 33%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Timeline
▮
1'
Yellow Card
2'
⚽
1–0
▮
16'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
45+3'
▮
HT 1–0
⇄
46'
⇄
46'
⇄ Jovane Cabral
49'
⇄
71'
⚽
2–0
⇄
74'
⇄
75'
77'
⇄
77'
⇄
Alan Núñez
Yellow Card
78'
▮
▮
81'
Yellow Card
⇄
85'
Yellow Card
86'
▮
89'
⇄
Yellow Card
90+6'
▮
FT 2–0
Nacional
Match Stats
Estrela
49%
Ball Possession
51%
0.96
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
16
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots off Goal
6
7
Blocked Shots
3
8
Shots insidebox
6
8
Shots outsidebox
5
5
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
5
14
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
314
Total passes
331
246
Passes accurate
255
78%
Passes %
77%
-1.58
goals_prevented
-1.58
Nacional
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Paulinho Bóia F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 28 (24%) | 2 |
| 9 Jesús Ramírez F | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 5 José Gomes D | 7.5 | 77' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | 3 |
| 34 Léo Santos D | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 16 Alan Núñez D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | – |
| 38 Ze Vitor D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (23%) | – |
| 28 Liziero M | 7.2 | 77' | – | – | – | 35 (30%) | 5 |
| 1 Kaique G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (17%) | – |
| 24 Lenny Vallier D | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 22 Filipe Soares M | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 33 Francisco Gonçalves D | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 15 Chiheb Labidi M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (36%) | 2 |
| 8 Miguel Baeza M | 6.5 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 10 Daniel Júnior M | 6.5 | 41' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 27 Gabriel Veron F | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 19 (15%) | 2 |
Estrela
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Kevin Höög Jansson M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (21%) | 3 |
| 14 Bernardo Schappo D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (40%) | 2 |
| 11 Jovane Cabral F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 4 | 13 (8%) | 1 |
| 30 Luan Patrick D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (39%) | 1 |
| 17 Jefferson Encada D | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 40 Renan Ribeiro G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | – |
| 63 Alex Sola M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | – |
| 9 Rodrigo Pinho F | 6.7 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 10 Ianis Stoica F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 21 Max Scholze D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (28%) | 5 |
| 99 Abraham Marcus F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (19%) | 2 |
| 20 Sydney van Hooijdonk F | 6.5 | 16' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 7 Leandro Antonetti F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 24 Bruno Langa D | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 31 (23%) | 1 |
| 39 Eddy Doué M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 29 (24%) | 1 |
| 28 Tom Moustier M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | 1 |
Premium
Vollständige KI-Analyse für Nacional vs Estrela freischalten
- Alle 70+ Wahrscheinlichkeitsmärkte
- KI Deep-Dive Spielbericht
- Value Edge — Modell vs. Markt
- Von dir gewählte Tipp-Typen
Confidence
Medium (51%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Estrela oder Unentschieden
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade Now
Nacional
LLLLL
Estrela
LDWDW
Last 3 meetings
Nacional · 0W 1D 2L
Match summary
Nacional will host Estrela in a crucial Primeira Liga matchup on April 4, 2026. Historically, Nacional has shown a stronger home advantage, with a win rate of approximately 60% at home this season, leveraging their robust defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Estrela, while competitive, struggles in away fixtures, securing only 25% of their points on the road. Key players for Nacional, particularly their forward line, have been in good form, contributing to a goals-per-game average of 1.8. Estrela will need a solid performance from their midfield to control the tempo and create scoring opportunities if they hope to upset Nacional.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMost likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Nacional
No scorer data.
Estrela
A. Marcus
4 gls
L. Antonetti
4 gls
I. Stoica
4 gls
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nacional vs Estrela
0
Nacional Wins
1
Draws
2
Estrela Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Nacional | 2 - 3 | Estrela |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 1 - 1 | Nacional |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Nacional | 0 - 1 | Estrela |
Nacional — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Famalicao | L | 0 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Alverca | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Sporting CP | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Estrela | L | 2 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitória SC | L | 1 - 0 |
Estrela — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Academico Viseu | L | 0 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A Rio Ave | D | 3 - 3 |
| 10 Sep | H SC Braga | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Famalicao | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | A Nacional | W | 2 - 3 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Nacional
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Tiago Margarido
1
Pereira
5
Gomes
38
Vitor
34
Santos
16
Nunez
28
Liziero
15
Labidi
8
Baeza
11
Boia
9
Ramirez
27
Veron
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaique Pereira | G |
| 16 | A. Nunez | D |
| 34 | Leo Santos | D |
| 38 | Ze Vitor | D |
| 5 | Jose Gomes | D |
| 8 | M. Baeza | M |
| 15 | C. Labidi | M |
| 28 | Liziero | M |
| 27 | Gabriel Veron | F |
| 9 | J. Ramirez | F |
| 11 | Paulinho Boia | F |
Substitutes
| 50 | K. V. Medeiros de Freitas | G |
| 19 | L. Joao | F |
| 7 | Witi | F |
| 22 | F. Soares | M |
| 10 | Daniel Junior | M |
| 26 | J. Silva | M |
| 2 | J. Aurelio | D |
| 24 | L. Vallier | D |
| 33 | C. Goncalves | D |
Estrela
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Joao Nuno
40
Ribeiro
24
Langa
14
Schappo
30
Patrick
21
Scholze
63
Sola
6
Jansson
39
Doue
10
Stoica
9
Pinho
99
Marcus
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | R. Ribeiro | G |
| 21 | M. Scholze | D |
| 30 | Luan Patrick | D |
| 14 | Bernardo Schappo | D |
| 24 | B. Langa | D |
| 39 | G. Doue | M |
| 6 | K. Jansson | M |
| 63 | A. Sola | M |
| 99 | A. Marcus | F |
| 9 | Rodrigo Pinho | F |
| 10 | I. Stoica | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Dudu | G |
| 20 | S. van Hooijdonk | F |
| 7 | L. Antonetti | F |
| 3 | Ni | D |
| 28 | T. Moustier | M |
| 83 | Otavio | D |
| 17 | J. Encada | D |
| 11 | Jovane | F |
| 18 | J. Meireles | F |