Brighton vs Chelsea Predicție

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

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Chelsea

Away

American Express Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex

Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Brighton

52%

26%

23%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Brighton vs Chelsea: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 52% pentru victoria lui Brighton, 23% pentru Chelsea și 26% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Brighton produced a dominant performance to beat Chelsea 3–0 at the Amex, with the result never seriously in doubt after Ferdi Kadıoğlu struck inside three minutes to give the hosts an early lead. Chelsea struggled to respond and headed into the break a goal down, with Wesley Fofana picking up a yellow card in first-half stoppage time before being substituted at the interval.

The second half followed a similar pattern. Jack Hinshelwood doubled Brighton's advantage on 56 minutes, and despite Chelsea enjoying 53% possession, they were unable to convert that control into genuine chances — finishing with zero shots on target compared to Brighton's nine. Danny Welbeck added a third in stoppage time to complete a comfortable victory, with Brighton's expected goals figure of 2.14 against Chelsea's 0.37 underlining just how one-sided the contest was in terms of clear-cut opportunities.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brighton win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that proved well-founded. The result continues to highlight Chelsea's inconsistency away from home this season.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ferdi Kadıoğlu

3' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 45+1'

Wesley Fofana Yellow Card

HT 1–0

M. Wieffer ⇄ Joël Veltman

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Wesley Fofana ⇄ Alejandro Garnacho

Jack Hinshelwood assist: Georginio Rutter

56' ⚽ 2–0

Yankuba Minteh Yellow Card

58' ▮

⇄ 72'

Liam Delap ⇄ Marc Guiu

⇄ 73'

Roméo Lavia ⇄ Dário Essugo

Yankuba Minteh ⇄ Maxim De Cuyper

77' ⇄

Kaoru Mitoma ⇄ Yasin Ayari

82' ⇄

Georginio Rutter ⇄ Danny Welbeck

83' ⇄

Danny Welbeck assist: Maxim De Cuyper

90' ⚽ 3–0

Jack Hinshelwood ⇄ Matt O'Riley

90+2' ⇄

⇄ 90+2'

Malo Gusto ⇄ Josh Acheampong

FT 3–0

Brighton

Match Stats

Chelsea

53% Ball Possession 47%

2.14 Expected Goals (xG) 0.37

15 Total Shots 6

9 Shots on Goal 0

4 Shots off Goal 2

2 Blocked Shots 4

13 Shots insidebox 3

2 Shots outsidebox 3

6 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 4

15 Fouls 6

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 4

532 Total passes 475

456 Passes accurate 400

86% Passes % 84%

0.22 goals_prevented 0.22

Brighton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D	9.0	90'	1	–	3	41 (37%)	1
22 Kaoru Mitoma M	7.7	82'	–	–	3	32 (29%)	1
6 J. van Hecke D	7.6	90'	–	–	2	80 (69%)	1
18 Danny Welbeck F	7.5	12'	1	–	1	4 (3%)	–
34 Joël Veltman D	7.5	45'	–	–	–	21 (20%)	–
30 Pascal Groß M	7.3	90'	–	–	1	56 (48%)	1
29 Maxim De Cuyper D	7.3	13'	–	1	–	5 (4%)	1
21 Olivier Boscagli D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	85 (75%)	2
17 Carlos Baleba M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	46 (41%)	1
13 Jack Hinshelwood M	7.2	89'	1	–	2	23 (22%)	1
1 B. Verbruggen G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	69 (54%)	–
11 Yankuba Minteh M	6.9	77'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	4
27 M. Wieffer D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	–
10 Georginio Rutter F	6.7	83'	–	1	1	18 (13%)	1
26 Yasin Ayari M	6.5	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
33 Matt O'Riley M	—	1'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

Chelsea

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Robert Sánchez G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	36 (18%)	–
45 Roméo Lavia M	6.9	73'	–	–	1	40 (39%)	–
25 Moisés Caicedo M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	70 (63%)	1
21 J. Hato D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	51 (49%)	4
27 Malo Gusto D	6.6	89'	–	–	–	47 (40%)	–
14 Dário Essugo M	6.6	17'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	1
9 Liam Delap F	6.5	72'	–	–	–	10 (6%)	–
23 Trevoh Chalobah D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	59 (50%)	–
29 Wesley Fofana D	6.3	45'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	–
49 Alejandro Garnacho F	6.3	45'	–	–	1	10 (10%)	–
38 Marc Guiu F	6.3	18'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
3 Marc Cucurella D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
8 Enzo Fernández M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	53 (44%)	1
7 Pedro Neto M	5.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	–
34 Josh Acheampong D	—	1'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

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Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Brighton

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Brighton

WWWDL

Chelsea

LDWLW

Last 3 meetings Brighton · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on April 25, 2026, Brighton hosts Chelsea in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Brighton has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.1 goals per game this season. Conversely, Chelsea's attacking prowess has been notable, averaging 2.3 goals per match, bolstered by their dynamic front line. The matchup will likely hinge on Brighton's ability to contain Chelsea's attack while exploiting any defensive vulnerabilities, particularly on the counter-attack. Expect a tactical battle with potential implications for both teams' aspirations in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chelsea goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	8	4	1
1	13	12	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Brighton goals · most likely 1–0 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Brighton

P. Groß 3 gls

C. Kostoulas 2 gls

M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

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Head to Head: Brighton vs Chelsea

2 Brighton Wins

0 Draws

1 Chelsea Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Chelsea	4 - 3	Brighton
27 Sep 2025	Chelsea	1 - 3	Brighton
14 Feb 2025	Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea

Vezi toate cele 10 întâlniri — Premium

Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Manchester United	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Coventry	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	H Leeds	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Chelsea	L	4 - 3

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2