Brighton vs Chelsea Tahmin
Brighton - Chelsea tahmini: Sportiko, Brighton takımına %52 kazanma olasılığı, Chelsea takımına %23 ve beraberliğe %26 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Brighton produced a dominant performance to beat Chelsea 3–0 at the Amex, with the result never seriously in doubt after Ferdi Kadıoğlu struck inside three minutes to give the hosts an early lead. Chelsea struggled to respond and headed into the break a goal down, with Wesley Fofana picking up a yellow card in first-half stoppage time before being substituted at the interval.
The second half followed a similar pattern. Jack Hinshelwood doubled Brighton's advantage on 56 minutes, and despite Chelsea enjoying 53% possession, they were unable to convert that control into genuine chances — finishing with zero shots on target compared to Brighton's nine. Danny Welbeck added a third in stoppage time to complete a comfortable victory, with Brighton's expected goals figure of 2.14 against Chelsea's 0.37 underlining just how one-sided the contest was in terms of clear-cut opportunities.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brighton win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that proved well-founded. The result continues to highlight Chelsea's inconsistency away from home this season.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Brighton
Match Stats
Brighton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 41 (37%) | 1 |
| 22 Kaoru Mitoma M | 7.7 | 82' | – | – | 3 | 32 (29%) | 1 |
| 6 J. van Hecke D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 80 (69%) | 1 |
| 18 Danny Welbeck F | 7.5 | 12' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 34 Joël Veltman D | 7.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 30 Pascal Groß M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (48%) | 1 |
| 29 Maxim De Cuyper D | 7.3 | 13' | – | 1 | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 21 Olivier Boscagli D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 85 (75%) | 2 |
| 17 Carlos Baleba M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | 1 |
| 13 Jack Hinshelwood M | 7.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 23 (22%) | 1 |
| 1 B. Verbruggen G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (54%) | – |
| 11 Yankuba Minteh M | 6.9 | 77' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 4 |
| 27 M. Wieffer D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | – |
| 10 Georginio Rutter F | 6.7 | 83' | – | 1 | 1 | 18 (13%) | 1 |
| 26 Yasin Ayari M | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 33 Matt O'Riley M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
Chelsea
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Robert Sánchez G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (18%) | – |
| 45 Roméo Lavia M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 40 (39%) | – |
| 25 Moisés Caicedo M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 70 (63%) | 1 |
| 21 J. Hato D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (49%) | 4 |
| 27 Malo Gusto D | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | – | 47 (40%) | – |
| 14 Dário Essugo M | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 9 Liam Delap F | 6.5 | 72' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | – |
| 23 Trevoh Chalobah D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (50%) | – |
| 29 Wesley Fofana D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
| 49 Alejandro Garnacho F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 38 Marc Guiu F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 3 Marc Cucurella D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 8 Enzo Fernández M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (44%) | 1 |
| 7 Pedro Neto M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | – |
| 34 Josh Acheampong D | — | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
Brighton vs Chelsea maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç
- 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
- Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
- Değer Avantajı — model ile piyasa karşılaştırması
- Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
P. Groß
3 gls
C. Kostoulas
2 gls
M. Yalcouyé
2 gls
João Pedro
3 gls
M. Rogers
3 gls
C. Palmer
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Brighton vs Chelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Chelsea | 4 - 3 | Brighton |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Chelsea | 1 - 3 | Brighton |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Brighton | 3 - 0 | Chelsea |
Brighton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Arsenal | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Manchester United | W | 2 - 3 |
| 13 Sep | A Coventry | W | 0 - 5 |
| 05 Sep | H Leeds | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Chelsea | L | 4 - 3 |
Chelsea — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Brentford | L | 3 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Hull City | D | 2 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | H Leeds | W | 6 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A Arsenal | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Brighton | W | 4 - 3 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Chelsea
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Calum McFarlane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Sanchez | G |
| 27 | M. Gusto | D |
| 29 | W. Fofana | D |
| 23 | T. Chalobah | D |
| 21 | J. Hato | D |
| 3 | M. Cucurella | D |
| 7 | P. Neto | M |
| 45 | R. Lavia | M |
| 25 | M. Caicedo | M |
| 8 | E. Fernandez | M |
| 9 | L. Delap | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | T. Sharman-Lowe | G |
| 49 | A. Garnacho | F |
| 17 | Andrey Santos | M |
| 19 | M. Sarr | D |
| 38 | M. Guiu | F |
| 4 | T. Adarabioyo | D |
| 14 | D. Essugo | M |
| 34 | J. Acheampong | D |
| 55 | J. Derry | F |
Brighton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: F. Hürzeler
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Verbruggen | G |
| 27 | M. Wieffer | D |
| 6 | J. P. van Hecke | D |
| 21 | O. Boscagli | D |
| 24 | F. Kadioglu | D |
| 30 | P. Gross | M |
| 17 | C. Baleba | M |
| 11 | Y. Minteh | M |
| 13 | J. Hinshelwood | M |
| 22 | K. Mitoma | M |
| 10 | G. Rutter | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | J. Steele | G |
| 18 | D. Welbeck | F |
| 34 | J. Veltman | D |
| 5 | L. Dunk | D |
| 3 | Igor | D |
| 33 | M. O'Riley | M |
| 26 | Y. Ayari | M |
| 19 | C. Kostoulas | F |
| 29 | M. De Cuyper | D |