Brighton vs Chelsea Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

Post on X

Chelsea

Away

American Express Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Brighton

52%

26%

23%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Brighton vs Chelsea: Sportiko assegna a Brighton una probabilità di vittoria del 52%, a Chelsea del 23% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Brighton produced a dominant performance to beat Chelsea 3–0 at the Amex, with the result never seriously in doubt after Ferdi Kadıoğlu struck inside three minutes to give the hosts an early lead. Chelsea struggled to respond and headed into the break a goal down, with Wesley Fofana picking up a yellow card in first-half stoppage time before being substituted at the interval.

The second half followed a similar pattern. Jack Hinshelwood doubled Brighton's advantage on 56 minutes, and despite Chelsea enjoying 53% possession, they were unable to convert that control into genuine chances — finishing with zero shots on target compared to Brighton's nine. Danny Welbeck added a third in stoppage time to complete a comfortable victory, with Brighton's expected goals figure of 2.14 against Chelsea's 0.37 underlining just how one-sided the contest was in terms of clear-cut opportunities.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brighton win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that proved well-founded. The result continues to highlight Chelsea's inconsistency away from home this season.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ferdi Kadıoğlu

3' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 45+1'

Wesley Fofana Yellow Card

HT 1–0

M. Wieffer ⇄ Joël Veltman

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Wesley Fofana ⇄ Alejandro Garnacho

Jack Hinshelwood assist: Georginio Rutter

56' ⚽ 2–0

Yankuba Minteh Yellow Card

58' ▮

⇄ 72'

Liam Delap ⇄ Marc Guiu

⇄ 73'

Roméo Lavia ⇄ Dário Essugo

Yankuba Minteh ⇄ Maxim De Cuyper

77' ⇄

Kaoru Mitoma ⇄ Yasin Ayari

82' ⇄

Georginio Rutter ⇄ Danny Welbeck

83' ⇄

Danny Welbeck assist: Maxim De Cuyper

90' ⚽ 3–0

Jack Hinshelwood ⇄ Matt O'Riley

90+2' ⇄

⇄ 90+2'

Malo Gusto ⇄ Josh Acheampong

FT 3–0

Brighton

Match Stats

Chelsea

53% Ball Possession 47%

2.14 Expected Goals (xG) 0.37

15 Total Shots 6

9 Shots on Goal 0

4 Shots off Goal 2

2 Blocked Shots 4

13 Shots insidebox 3

2 Shots outsidebox 3

6 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 4

15 Fouls 6

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 4

532 Total passes 475

456 Passes accurate 400

86% Passes % 84%

0.22 goals_prevented 0.22

Brighton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D	9.0	90'	1	–	3	41 (37%)	1
22 Kaoru Mitoma M	7.7	82'	–	–	3	32 (29%)	1
6 J. van Hecke D	7.6	90'	–	–	2	80 (69%)	1
18 Danny Welbeck F	7.5	12'	1	–	1	4 (3%)	–
34 Joël Veltman D	7.5	45'	–	–	–	21 (20%)	–
30 Pascal Groß M	7.3	90'	–	–	1	56 (48%)	1
29 Maxim De Cuyper D	7.3	13'	–	1	–	5 (4%)	1
21 Olivier Boscagli D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	85 (75%)	2
17 Carlos Baleba M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	46 (41%)	1
13 Jack Hinshelwood M	7.2	89'	1	–	2	23 (22%)	1
1 B. Verbruggen G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	69 (54%)	–
11 Yankuba Minteh M	6.9	77'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	4
27 M. Wieffer D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	–
10 Georginio Rutter F	6.7	83'	–	1	1	18 (13%)	1
26 Yasin Ayari M	6.5	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
33 Matt O'Riley M	—	1'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

Chelsea

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Robert Sánchez G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	36 (18%)	–
45 Roméo Lavia M	6.9	73'	–	–	1	40 (39%)	–
25 Moisés Caicedo M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	70 (63%)	1
21 J. Hato D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	51 (49%)	4
27 Malo Gusto D	6.6	89'	–	–	–	47 (40%)	–
14 Dário Essugo M	6.6	17'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	1
9 Liam Delap F	6.5	72'	–	–	–	10 (6%)	–
23 Trevoh Chalobah D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	59 (50%)	–
29 Wesley Fofana D	6.3	45'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	–
49 Alejandro Garnacho F	6.3	45'	–	–	1	10 (10%)	–
38 Marc Guiu F	6.3	18'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
3 Marc Cucurella D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
8 Enzo Fernández M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	53 (44%)	1
7 Pedro Neto M	5.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	–
34 Josh Acheampong D	—	1'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

Premium

Sblocca l'analisi completa dell'AI su Brighton vs Chelsea

Tutti i 70+ mercati di probabilità
Report di analisi approfondita AI
Value Edge — modello vs mercato
Tipologie di esito che scegli

Passa a Premium

Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Brighton

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Brighton

WWWDL

Chelsea

LDWLW

Last 3 meetings Brighton · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on April 25, 2026, Brighton hosts Chelsea in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Brighton has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.1 goals per game this season. Conversely, Chelsea's attacking prowess has been notable, averaging 2.3 goals per match, bolstered by their dynamic front line. The matchup will likely hinge on Brighton's ability to contain Chelsea's attack while exploiting any defensive vulnerabilities, particularly on the counter-attack. Expect a tactical battle with potential implications for both teams' aspirations in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chelsea goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	8	4	1
1	13	12	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Brighton goals · most likely 1–0 (13.1%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Brighton

P. Groß 3 gls

C. Kostoulas 2 gls

M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Perché questa scelta? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Brighton vs Chelsea

2 Brighton Wins

0 Draws

1 Chelsea Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Chelsea	4 - 3	Brighton
27 Sep 2025	Chelsea	1 - 3	Brighton
14 Feb 2025	Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea

Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Manchester United	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Coventry	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	H Leeds	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Chelsea	L	4 - 3

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2