Hull City vs Aston Villa Prediction
Hull City vs Aston Villa prediction: Sportiko gives Hull City a 28% chance of winning, Aston Villa 44% and the draw 29%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 18:23.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
Match Report
Hull City and Aston Villa played out a goalless draw at the MKM Stadium, with Villa dominating possession but failing to convert their superiority into goals. The visitors controlled 74% of the ball throughout the contest, yet Hull's resilient defensive shape kept them at bay, limiting Villa to just four shots on target across the ninety minutes.
The match was largely uneventful in the first half, with Semi Ajayi picking up a yellow card just before the break. The second period brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides, with Villa introducing Emiliano Buendía, Ian Maatsen, Nicolas Jackson, and Matty Cash in search of a breakthrough, while Hull made equally significant changes to shore up their shape. Lucas Gourna-Douath was booked in the 67th minute before being withdrawn shortly after.
Despite Hull managing 13 total shots, only one troubled the Villa goalkeeper, underlining how effectively Villa's defensive structure functioned even without the ball. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villa win as the most likely outcome at 44%, though ultimately neither side could find the decisive moment to settle the contest.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Hull City
Match Stats
Hull City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Ryan Giles D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 1 |
| 32 Nobel Mendy D | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 24 (19%) | 3 |
| 18 Brooke Norton-Cuffy D | 6.8 | 26' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 15 John Egan D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | 3 |
| 10 Mohamed Belloumi M | 6.7 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | 3 |
| 7 Sorba Thomas F | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 50 Mohamed-Ali Cho F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
| 27 Regan Slater M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 23 (17%) | – |
| 21 Elliot Stroud M | 6.4 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 6 Semi Ajayi D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | 1 |
| 29 Lucas Gourna-Douath M | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | – | 23 (16%) | 2 |
| 2 Lewie Coyle D | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 9 Oli McBurnie F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 15 (9%) | 2 |
| 22 Lucas Herrington D | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 19 Konstantinos Tzolakis G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (16%) | – |
| 14 Jens Hjertø-Dahl M | 6.1 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Aston Villa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Zion Suzuki G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | – |
| 3 Victor Lindelöf D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 103 (99%) | – |
| 6 Ross Barkley M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 99 (92%) | – |
| 8 Boubacar Kamara M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 95 (87%) | 1 |
| 5 Tyrone Mings D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 75 (68%) | 1 |
| 22 Ian Maatsen D | 7.0 | 75' | – | – | – | 40 (36%) | 1 |
| 13 Matteo Ruggeri D | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 21 (21%) | – |
| 2 Matty Cash D | 6.7 | 85' | – | – | – | 67 (59%) | – |
| 47 Alysson F | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 17 Alejandro Garnacho F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 18 Tammy Abraham F | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 53 George Hemmings M | 6.4 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 11 Nicolas Jackson F | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 20 (16%) | – |
| 7 John McGinn M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (31%) | 2 |
| 10 Emiliano Buendía M | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | 2 | 33 (23%) | – |
| 29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D | 6.1 | 5' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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M. Belloumi
2 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Hull City vs Aston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2015 | Hull City | 2 - 0 | Aston Villa |
| 31 Aug 2014 | Aston Villa | 2 - 1 | Hull City |
| 03 May 2014 | Aston Villa | 3 - 1 | Hull City |
Hull City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Newcastle | L | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Chelsea | D | 2 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Sunderland | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Aston Villa | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Coventry | W | 0 - 1 |
Aston Villa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Tottenham | W | 2 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Coventry | W | 1 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | H Nottingham Forest | L | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Club Brugge KV | W | 2 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Hull City | D | 0 - 0 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Unai Emery
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Suzuki | G |
| 2 | M. Cash | D |
| 3 | V. Lindelöf | D |
| 5 | T. Mings | D |
| 22 | I. Maatsen | D |
| 8 | B. Kamara | M |
| 6 | R. Barkley | M |
| 7 | J. McGinn | M |
| 10 | E. Buendía | M |
| 53 | George Hemmings | M |
| 11 | N. Jackson | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | T. Abraham | F |
| 47 | Alysson Edward | F |
| 17 | A. Garnacho | F |
| 40 | M. Bizot | G |
| 13 | M. Ruggeri | D |
| 14 | Pau Torres | D |
| 29 | A. Wan-Bissaka | D |
| 19 | I. Mbaye | F |
| 26 | L. Bogarde | M |
Hull City
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: S. Jakirović
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | K. Tzolakis | G |
| 2 | L. Coyle | D |
| 6 | S. Ajayi | D |
| 15 | J. Egan | D |
| 32 | N. Mendy | D |
| 3 | R. Giles | D |
| 10 | M. Belloumi | M |
| 27 | R. Slater | M |
| 29 | L. Gourna-Douath | M |
| 21 | E. Stroud | M |
| 9 | O. McBurnie | F |
Substitutes
| 50 | M. Cho | F |
| 47 | R. Vaz | F |
| 36 | C. Mouzakitis | M |
| 18 | B. Norton-Cuffy | D |
| 7 | S. Thomas | F |
| 14 | J. Hjertø-Dahl | M |
| 23 | M. Targett | D |
| 22 | L. Herrington | D |
| 12 | D. Phillips | G |