Hull City vs Aston Villa Prognose

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 3
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KI-Tipp Aston Villa oder Unentschieden
28%
29%
44%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Hull City vs. Aston Villa Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Hull City eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 28%, für Aston Villa 44% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 5 Sep 2026, 18:23.

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Match Report

Hull City and Aston Villa played out a goalless draw at the MKM Stadium, with Villa dominating possession but failing to convert their superiority into goals. The visitors controlled 74% of the ball throughout the contest, yet Hull's resilient defensive shape kept them at bay, limiting Villa to just four shots on target across the ninety minutes.

The match was largely uneventful in the first half, with Semi Ajayi picking up a yellow card just before the break. The second period brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides, with Villa introducing Emiliano Buendía, Ian Maatsen, Nicolas Jackson, and Matty Cash in search of a breakthrough, while Hull made equally significant changes to shore up their shape. Lucas Gourna-Douath was booked in the 67th minute before being withdrawn shortly after.

Despite Hull managing 13 total shots, only one troubled the Villa goalkeeper, underlining how effectively Villa's defensive structure functioned even without the ball. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villa win as the most likely outcome at 44%, though ultimately neither side could find the decisive moment to settle the contest.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Semi Ajayi Yellow Card
39' ▮
HT 0–0
Elliot Stroud ⇄ Sorba Thomas
63' ⇄
Lewie Coyle ⇄ Brooke Norton-Cuffy
64' ⇄
Lucas Gourna-Douath Yellow Card
67' ▮
Nobel Mendy ⇄ Lucas Herrington
71' ⇄
⇄ 75'
George Hemmings ⇄ Alysson
⇄ 75'
Emiliano Buendía ⇄ Alejandro Garnacho
⇄ 75'
Ian Maatsen ⇄ Matteo Ruggeri
Lucas Gourna-Douath ⇄ Jens Hjertø-Dahl
82' ⇄
Mohamed Belloumi ⇄ Mohamed-Ali Cho
82' ⇄
⇄ 85'
Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Tammy Abraham
⇄ 85'
Matty Cash ⇄ Aaron Wan-Bissaka
FT 0–0
Hull City

Match Stats

Aston Villa
26% Ball Possession 74%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 7
0 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 10
7 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
228 Total passes 682
166 Passes accurate 613
4 Free Kicks 10
Hull City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Ryan Giles D 7.1 90' – – – 18 (15%) 1
32 Nobel Mendy D 6.9 71' – – 2 24 (19%) 3
18 Brooke Norton-Cuffy D 6.8 26' – – – 3 (3%) –
15 John Egan D 6.7 90' – – – 18 (13%) 3
10 Mohamed Belloumi M 6.7 82' – – 2 13 (9%) 3
7 Sorba Thomas F 6.6 27' – – – 7 (6%) –
50 Mohamed-Ali Cho F 6.5 8' – – 1 1 –
27 Regan Slater M 6.5 90' – – 2 23 (17%) –
21 Elliot Stroud M 6.4 63' – – 1 9 (6%) –
6 Semi Ajayi D 6.4 90' – – – 25 (23%) 1
29 Lucas Gourna-Douath M 6.3 82' – – – 23 (16%) 2
2 Lewie Coyle D 6.3 64' – – – 8 (7%) –
9 Oli McBurnie F 6.3 90' – – 3 15 (9%) 2
22 Lucas Herrington D 6.2 19' – – – 5 (5%) 1
19 Konstantinos Tzolakis G 6.2 90' – – – 33 (16%) –
14 Jens Hjertø-Dahl M 6.1 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
Aston Villa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Zion Suzuki G 7.7 90' – – – 36 (32%) –
3 Victor Lindelöf D 7.6 90' – – – 103 (99%) –
6 Ross Barkley M 7.2 90' – – 4 99 (92%) –
8 Boubacar Kamara M 7.2 90' – – – 95 (87%) 1
5 Tyrone Mings D 7.1 90' – – 3 75 (68%) 1
22 Ian Maatsen D 7.0 75' – – – 40 (36%) 1
13 Matteo Ruggeri D 6.9 15' – – – 21 (21%) –
2 Matty Cash D 6.7 85' – – – 67 (59%) –
47 Alysson F 6.6 15' – – – 8 (8%) –
17 Alejandro Garnacho F 6.5 15' – – – 9 (8%) –
18 Tammy Abraham F 6.5 5' – – – 2 (1%) 1
53 George Hemmings M 6.4 75' – – 1 19 (17%) 1
11 Nicolas Jackson F 6.3 85' – – 2 20 (16%) –
7 John McGinn M 6.2 90' – – 1 37 (31%) 2
10 Emiliano Buendía M 6.2 75' – – 2 33 (23%) –
29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D 6.1 5' – – – 6 (6%) –
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Aston Villa oder Unentschieden
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Hull City
LDLDW
Aston Villa
WWLWD
Last 3 meetings Hull City · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Hull City faces Aston Villa in a Premier League clash on September 5, 2026. Hull City will need to leverage their defensive organization, as they have struggled against teams with strong attacking prowess. Aston Villa, known for their dynamic midfield and pace on the wings, will aim to exploit any gaps in Hull's defense. Recent form suggests Villa has a superior attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Hull's 1.2. The outcome may hinge on Hull's ability to contain Villa's key playmakers and capitalize on set pieces.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
44%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Hull City
M. Belloumi 2 gls
Aston Villa

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Hull City vs Aston Villa

1 Hull City Wins
0 Draws
2 Aston Villa Wins
Date Home Score Away
10 Feb 2015 Hull City 2 - 0 Aston Villa
31 Aug 2014 Aston Villa 2 - 1 Hull City
03 May 2014 Aston Villa 3 - 1 Hull City
Alle 4 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Hull City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Newcastle L 2 - 1
12 Sep A Chelsea D 2 - 2
08 Sep A Sunderland L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Aston Villa D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Coventry W 0 - 1

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Tottenham W 2 - 3
16 Sep A Coventry W 1 - 3
12 Sep H Nottingham Forest L 1 - 2
08 Sep A Club Brugge KV W 2 - 3
05 Sep A Hull City D 0 - 0

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Unai Emery
1 Suzuki
22 Maatsen
5 Mings
3 Lindelöf
2 Cash
6 Barkley
8 Kamara
53 Hemmings
10 Buendía
7 McGinn
11 Jackson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Z. Suzuki G
2 M. Cash D
3 V. Lindelöf D
5 T. Mings D
22 I. Maatsen D
8 B. Kamara M
6 R. Barkley M
7 J. McGinn M
10 E. Buendía M
53 George Hemmings M
11 N. Jackson F

Substitutes

18 T. Abraham F
47 Alysson Edward F
17 A. Garnacho F
40 M. Bizot G
13 M. Ruggeri D
14 Pau Torres D
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
19 I. Mbaye F
26 L. Bogarde M

Hull City

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: S. Jakirović
19 Tzolakis
3 Giles
32 Mendy
15 Egan
6 Ajayi
2 Coyle
21 Stroud
29 Gourna-Douath
27 Slater
10 Belloumi
9 McBurnie

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 K. Tzolakis G
2 L. Coyle D
6 S. Ajayi D
15 J. Egan D
32 N. Mendy D
3 R. Giles D
10 M. Belloumi M
27 R. Slater M
29 L. Gourna-Douath M
21 E. Stroud M
9 O. McBurnie F

Substitutes

50 M. Cho F
47 R. Vaz F
36 C. Mouzakitis M
18 B. Norton-Cuffy D
7 S. Thomas F
14 J. Hjertø-Dahl M
23 M. Targett D
22 L. Herrington D
12 D. Phillips G

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