Hull City vs Aston Villa Prognoza

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

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Aston Villa

Away

Typowanie AI Aston Villa lub remis

28%

29%

44%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Hull City vs Aston Villa: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Hull City na 28%, Aston Villa na 44%, a remisu na 29%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 5 Sep 2026, 18:23.

Typy Premium

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1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Poniżej 3.5 gola 72%

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Match Report

Hull City and Aston Villa played out a goalless draw at the MKM Stadium, with Villa dominating possession but failing to convert their superiority into goals. The visitors controlled 74% of the ball throughout the contest, yet Hull's resilient defensive shape kept them at bay, limiting Villa to just four shots on target across the ninety minutes.

The match was largely uneventful in the first half, with Semi Ajayi picking up a yellow card just before the break. The second period brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides, with Villa introducing Emiliano Buendía, Ian Maatsen, Nicolas Jackson, and Matty Cash in search of a breakthrough, while Hull made equally significant changes to shore up their shape. Lucas Gourna-Douath was booked in the 67th minute before being withdrawn shortly after.

Despite Hull managing 13 total shots, only one troubled the Villa goalkeeper, underlining how effectively Villa's defensive structure functioned even without the ball. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villa win as the most likely outcome at 44%, though ultimately neither side could find the decisive moment to settle the contest.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Semi Ajayi Yellow Card

39' ▮

HT 0–0

Elliot Stroud ⇄ Sorba Thomas

63' ⇄

Lewie Coyle ⇄ Brooke Norton-Cuffy

64' ⇄

Lucas Gourna-Douath Yellow Card

67' ▮

Nobel Mendy ⇄ Lucas Herrington

71' ⇄

⇄ 75'

George Hemmings ⇄ Alysson

⇄ 75'

Emiliano Buendía ⇄ Alejandro Garnacho

⇄ 75'

Ian Maatsen ⇄ Matteo Ruggeri

Lucas Gourna-Douath ⇄ Jens Hjertø-Dahl

82' ⇄

Mohamed Belloumi ⇄ Mohamed-Ali Cho

82' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Tammy Abraham

⇄ 85'

Matty Cash ⇄ Aaron Wan-Bissaka

FT 0–0

Hull City

Match Stats

Aston Villa

26% Ball Possession 74%

11 Total Shots 13

4 Shots on Goal 1

7 Shots off Goal 7

0 Blocked Shots 5

4 Shots insidebox 10

7 Shots outsidebox 3

3 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 2

10 Fouls 5

2 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

228 Total passes 682

166 Passes accurate 613

4 Free Kicks 10

Hull City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Ryan Giles D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	1
32 Nobel Mendy D	6.9	71'	–	–	2	24 (19%)	3
18 Brooke Norton-Cuffy D	6.8	26'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
15 John Egan D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	3
10 Mohamed Belloumi M	6.7	82'	–	–	2	13 (9%)	3
7 Sorba Thomas F	6.6	27'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
50 Mohamed-Ali Cho F	6.5	8'	–	–	1	1	–
27 Regan Slater M	6.5	90'	–	–	2	23 (17%)	–
21 Elliot Stroud M	6.4	63'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	–
6 Semi Ajayi D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	25 (23%)	1
29 Lucas Gourna-Douath M	6.3	82'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	2
2 Lewie Coyle D	6.3	64'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
9 Oli McBurnie F	6.3	90'	–	–	3	15 (9%)	2
22 Lucas Herrington D	6.2	19'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	1
19 Konstantinos Tzolakis G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	33 (16%)	–
14 Jens Hjertø-Dahl M	6.1	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Aston Villa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Zion Suzuki G	7.7	90'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	–
3 Victor Lindelöf D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	103 (99%)	–
6 Ross Barkley M	7.2	90'	–	–	4	99 (92%)	–
8 Boubacar Kamara M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	95 (87%)	1
5 Tyrone Mings D	7.1	90'	–	–	3	75 (68%)	1
22 Ian Maatsen D	7.0	75'	–	–	–	40 (36%)	1
13 Matteo Ruggeri D	6.9	15'	–	–	–	21 (21%)	–
2 Matty Cash D	6.7	85'	–	–	–	67 (59%)	–
47 Alysson F	6.6	15'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
17 Alejandro Garnacho F	6.5	15'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
18 Tammy Abraham F	6.5	5'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
53 George Hemmings M	6.4	75'	–	–	1	19 (17%)	1
11 Nicolas Jackson F	6.3	85'	–	–	2	20 (16%)	–
7 John McGinn M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	37 (31%)	2
10 Emiliano Buendía M	6.2	75'	–	–	2	33 (23%)	–
29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D	6.1	5'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Aston Villa lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Hull City

LDLDW

Aston Villa

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings Hull City · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Hull City faces Aston Villa in a Premier League clash on September 5, 2026. Hull City will need to leverage their defensive organization, as they have struggled against teams with strong attacking prowess. Aston Villa, known for their dynamic midfield and pace on the wings, will aim to exploit any gaps in Hull's defense. Recent form suggests Villa has a superior attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Hull's 1.2. The outcome may hinge on Hull's ability to contain Villa's key playmakers and capitalize on set pieces.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

44%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aston Villa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	8	4	2
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Hull City goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Hull City

M. Belloumi 2 gls

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	8.8%	7.9%	4.0%	1.5%
1	6.3%	13.7%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.6%	7.1%	5.4%	2.8%	1.1%
3	1.8%	2.8%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hull City	Draw	Aston Villa
Hull City	18.0%	5.8%	3.6%
Draw	9.3%	17.5%	19.0%
Aston Villa	1.1%	3.2%	22.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hull City vs Aston Villa

1 Hull City Wins

0 Draws

2 Aston Villa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Feb 2015	Hull City	2 - 0	Aston Villa
31 Aug 2014	Aston Villa	2 - 1	Hull City
03 May 2014	Aston Villa	3 - 1	Hull City

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Hull City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Newcastle	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Chelsea	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Aston Villa	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Coventry	W	0 - 1

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2