Burnley vs Brighton Parashikim

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 32
FT
Post on X
Turf Moor, Burnley
Parashikim AI Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Brighton
13%
26%
61%
Fitore e ekipit vendas Barazim Fitore e mysafirit

Parashikimi Burnley vs Brighton: Sportiko i jep Burnley 13% probabilitet fitese, Brighton 61% dhe barazimit 26%. Përditësuar së fundmi 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Burnley fell to a 2–0 home defeat against Brighton in Premier League Matchday 32, with the visitors proving clinical despite an evenly contested affair. Brighton broke the deadlock just before half-time when Mats Wieffer converted in the 43rd minute to give his side a deserved lead, with the expected goals figures — 0.88 for Burnley against Brighton's 1.93 — reflecting the visitors' superior threat throughout.

The second half saw both sides make a flurry of substitutions as the game opened up, but it was Brighton who remained the more dangerous outfit. Wieffer sealed the victory with a second goal in the 89th minute, completing a composed and controlled performance from the away side. Burnley's eight corner kicks underlined their desperation to find a way back into the match, but they lacked the cutting edge to trouble Brighton meaningfully.

The result was in line with pre-match expectations — our AI model had rated a Brighton win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that proved correct. Brighton move on with a clean sheet and a confident display.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card
30' ▮
⚽ 0–1 43'
M. Wieffer assist: Pascal Groß
HT 0–1
▮ 48'
J. van Hecke Yellow Card
Yellow Card
60' ▮
67' ⇄
75' ⇄
⇄ 75'
⇄ 75'
⇄ 80'
82' ⇄
82' ⇄
82' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Diego Gómez
⚽ 0–2 89'
M. Wieffer assist: Yasin Ayari
FT 0–2
Burnley

Match Stats

Brighton
50% Ball Possession 50%
0.88 Expected Goals (xG) 1.93
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 4
8 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
475 Total passes 477
387 Passes accurate 397
81% Passes % 83%
1.09 goals_prevented 1.09
Burnley
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Hjalmar Ekdal D 7.9 90' – – – 44 (38%) 1
1 Martin Dubravka G 7.9 90' – – – 48 (29%) –
10 Marcus Edwards M 7.3 75' – – 1 21 (16%) –
12 Bashir Humphreys D 7.0 82' – – 1 43 (34%) 2
20 James Ward-Prowse M 6.9 90' – – – 65 (60%) 2
19 Zian Flemming F 6.7 90' – – 3 13 (8%) –
31 Mike Trésor F 6.7 15' – – – 10 (10%) 1
2 Kyle Walker D 6.7 8' – – – 12 (9%) 1
5 Maxime Estève D 6.6 90' – – – 59 (51%) 2
16 Florentino Luís M 6.5 82' – – 1 30 (27%) –
7 Jacob Bruun Larsen F 6.5 23' – – – 13 (10%) –
27 Armando Broja F 6.5 8' – – – 6 (4%) –
8 Lesley Ugochukwu M 6.3 67' – – 1 19 (17%) –
11 Jaidon Anthony M 6.3 90' – – 1 40 (34%) 2
23 Lucas Pires D 6.3 8' – – – 4 (4%) –
3 Quilindschy Hartman D 6.2 82' – – – 48 (36%) –
Brighton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 M. Wieffer D 9.3 90' 2 – 2 28 (21%) 6
1 B. Verbruggen G 8.9 90' – – – 46 (41%) –
21 Olivier Boscagli D 7.5 90' – – – 82 (69%) 2
25 Diego Gómez M 7.3 88' – – 1 28 (23%) 3
24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D 7.3 90' – – 1 45 (41%) 3
30 Pascal Groß M 7.3 90' – 1 – 57 (51%) 2
26 Yasin Ayari M 7.3 90' – 1 – 46 (36%) 4
6 J. van Hecke D 7.3 90' – – – 61 (52%) 2
13 Jack Hinshelwood M 7.3 75' – – 2 19 (17%) 2
17 Carlos Baleba M 6.9 15' – – – 9 (8%) –
34 Joël Veltman D 6.7 9' – – – 2 –
22 Kaoru Mitoma M 6.6 10' – – – 12 (9%) 2
10 Georginio Rutter F 6.5 15' – – – 5 (3%) 1
11 Yankuba Minteh M 6.2 80' – – – 26 (16%) 2
18 Danny Welbeck F 6.2 75' – – 3 11 (10%) –
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Analizat tona
Fitore ose barazim i vështirë për Brighton
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Burnley
DLDLD
Brighton
WWWDL
Last 3 meetings Burnley · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Burnley faces Brighton in a pivotal Premier League clash on April 11, 2026. Burnley, currently struggling near the relegation zone, will rely on their home advantage, having won 60% of their home matches this season. Brighton, on the other hand, has been solid, sitting mid-table with a strong away record, winning 45% of their away games. Key players to watch include Burnley's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Brighton's creative midfielder, contributing significantly to their attacking plays. This match could be crucial for Burnley’s survival hopes, while Brighton aims to solidify their mid-table position.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Burnley

No scorer data.

Brighton
P. Groß 3 gls
C. Kostoulas 2 gls
M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

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Head to Head: Burnley vs Brighton

0 Burnley Wins
2 Draws
1 Brighton Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Jan 2026 Brighton 2 - 0 Burnley
13 Apr 2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Brighton
09 Dec 2023 Brighton 1 - 1 Burnley
Shiko të gjitha 10 ndeshjet — Premium

Burnley — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Derby D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Swansea L 3 - 1
08 Sep A Wrexham D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Bristol City L 1 - 2
02 Sep H Middlesbrough D 1 - 1

Brighton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Arsenal W 3 - 0
16 Sep A Manchester United W 2 - 3
13 Sep A Coventry W 0 - 5
05 Sep H Leeds D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Chelsea L 4 - 3

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Burnley

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mike Jackson
1 Dubravka
3 Hartman
5 Esteve
18 Ekdal
12 Humphreys
16 Florentino
20 Ward-Prowse
11 Anthony
8 Ugochukwu
10 Edwards
19 Flemming

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Dubravka G
12 B. Humphreys D
18 H. Ekdal D
5 M. Esteve D
3 Q. Hartman D
20 J. Ward-Prowse M
16 Florentino M
10 M. Edwards M
8 L. Ugochukwu M
11 J. Anthony M
19 Z. Flemming F

Substitutes

13 M. Weiss G
2 K. Walker D
31 M. Tresor Ndayishimiye F
4 J. Worrall D
27 A. Broja F
17 L. Tchaouna F
23 Lucas Pires D
7 J. Bruun Larsen F
9 L. Foster F

Brighton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: F. Hürzeler
1 Verbruggen
24 Kadioglu
21 Boscagli
6 Hecke
27 Wieffer
30 Gross
26 Ayari
11 Minteh
13 Hinshelwood
25 Gomez
18 Welbeck

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Verbruggen G
27 M. Wieffer D
6 J. P. van Hecke D
21 O. Boscagli D
24 F. Kadioglu D
26 Y. Ayari M
30 P. Gross M
25 D. Gomez M
13 J. Hinshelwood M
11 Y. Minteh M
18 D. Welbeck F

Substitutes

23 J. Steele G
34 J. Veltman D
7 S. March M
3 Igor D
22 K. Mitoma M
17 C. Baleba M
19 C. Kostoulas F
10 G. Rutter F
29 M. De Cuyper D

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