Burnley vs Brighton Prognose
Burnley vs. Brighton Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Burnley eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 13%, für Brighton 61% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Burnley fell to a 2–0 home defeat against Brighton in Premier League Matchday 32, with the visitors proving clinical despite an evenly contested affair. Brighton broke the deadlock just before half-time when Mats Wieffer converted in the 43rd minute to give his side a deserved lead, with the expected goals figures — 0.88 for Burnley against Brighton's 1.93 — reflecting the visitors' superior threat throughout.
The second half saw both sides make a flurry of substitutions as the game opened up, but it was Brighton who remained the more dangerous outfit. Wieffer sealed the victory with a second goal in the 89th minute, completing a composed and controlled performance from the away side. Burnley's eight corner kicks underlined their desperation to find a way back into the match, but they lacked the cutting edge to trouble Brighton meaningfully.
The result was in line with pre-match expectations — our AI model had rated a Brighton win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that proved correct. Brighton move on with a clean sheet and a confident display.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Burnley
Match Stats
Burnley
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Hjalmar Ekdal D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (38%) | 1 |
| 1 Martin Dubravka G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (29%) | – |
| 10 Marcus Edwards M | 7.3 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 21 (16%) | – |
| 12 Bashir Humphreys D | 7.0 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 43 (34%) | 2 |
| 20 James Ward-Prowse M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (60%) | 2 |
| 19 Zian Flemming F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 13 (8%) | – |
| 31 Mike Trésor F | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | 1 |
| 2 Kyle Walker D | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 5 Maxime Estève D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (51%) | 2 |
| 16 Florentino Luís M | 6.5 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 30 (27%) | – |
| 7 Jacob Bruun Larsen F | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
| 27 Armando Broja F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 8 Lesley Ugochukwu M | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 11 Jaidon Anthony M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (34%) | 2 |
| 23 Lucas Pires D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 3 Quilindschy Hartman D | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 48 (36%) | – |
Brighton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 M. Wieffer D | 9.3 | 90' | 2 | – | 2 | 28 (21%) | 6 |
| 1 B. Verbruggen G | 8.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | – |
| 21 Olivier Boscagli D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 82 (69%) | 2 |
| 25 Diego Gómez M | 7.3 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 28 (23%) | 3 |
| 24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (41%) | 3 |
| 30 Pascal Groß M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 57 (51%) | 2 |
| 26 Yasin Ayari M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 46 (36%) | 4 |
| 6 J. van Hecke D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (52%) | 2 |
| 13 Jack Hinshelwood M | 7.3 | 75' | – | – | 2 | 19 (17%) | 2 |
| 17 Carlos Baleba M | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 34 Joël Veltman D | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 22 Kaoru Mitoma M | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 2 |
| 10 Georginio Rutter F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 11 Yankuba Minteh M | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 26 (16%) | 2 |
| 18 Danny Welbeck F | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | 3 | 11 (10%) | – |
Vollständige KI-Analyse für Burnley vs Brighton freischalten
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
P. Groß
3 gls
C. Kostoulas
2 gls
M. Yalcouyé
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Burnley vs Brighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan 2026 | Brighton | 2 - 0 | Burnley |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Burnley | 1 - 1 | Brighton |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Brighton | 1 - 1 | Burnley |
Burnley — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Derby | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Swansea | L | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Wrexham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Bristol City | L | 1 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H Middlesbrough | D | 1 - 1 |
Brighton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Arsenal | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Manchester United | W | 2 - 3 |
| 13 Sep | A Coventry | W | 0 - 5 |
| 05 Sep | H Leeds | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Chelsea | L | 4 - 3 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Burnley
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mike Jackson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Dubravka | G |
| 12 | B. Humphreys | D |
| 18 | H. Ekdal | D |
| 5 | M. Esteve | D |
| 3 | Q. Hartman | D |
| 20 | J. Ward-Prowse | M |
| 16 | Florentino | M |
| 10 | M. Edwards | M |
| 8 | L. Ugochukwu | M |
| 11 | J. Anthony | M |
| 19 | Z. Flemming | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | M. Weiss | G |
| 2 | K. Walker | D |
| 31 | M. Tresor Ndayishimiye | F |
| 4 | J. Worrall | D |
| 27 | A. Broja | F |
| 17 | L. Tchaouna | F |
| 23 | Lucas Pires | D |
| 7 | J. Bruun Larsen | F |
| 9 | L. Foster | F |
Brighton
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: F. Hürzeler
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Verbruggen | G |
| 27 | M. Wieffer | D |
| 6 | J. P. van Hecke | D |
| 21 | O. Boscagli | D |
| 24 | F. Kadioglu | D |
| 26 | Y. Ayari | M |
| 30 | P. Gross | M |
| 25 | D. Gomez | M |
| 13 | J. Hinshelwood | M |
| 11 | Y. Minteh | M |
| 18 | D. Welbeck | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | J. Steele | G |
| 34 | J. Veltman | D |
| 7 | S. March | M |
| 3 | Igor | D |
| 22 | K. Mitoma | M |
| 17 | C. Baleba | M |
| 19 | C. Kostoulas | F |
| 10 | G. Rutter | F |
| 29 | M. De Cuyper | D |