AC Milan vs Inter Napoved

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Post on X

Inter

Away

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

UI napoved Inter ali neodločeno

30%

23%

47%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved AC Milan proti Inter: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za AC Milan na 30%, za Inter na 47%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 23%. Zadnja posodobitev: 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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UI poglobljeno poročilo o tekmi
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Inter ali neodločeno

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AC Milan

WLDDW

Inter

DWLWW

Last 3 meetings AC Milan · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

The upcoming Serie A clash between AC Milan and Inter, known as the Derby della Madonnina, is set to be a thrilling encounter. As of October 2023, AC Milan has displayed a strong home record, with a 75% win rate at San Siro this season, bolstered by key players like Rafael Leão contributing significantly to their attack. Conversely, Inter boasts a solid away performance, maintaining a strong defensive record with only 10 goals conceded in their last 10 league matches. This match will likely hinge on Milan's ability to break down Inter's disciplined defense while also managing the pace of counter-attacks led by Lautaro Martínez. Expect a tightly contested battle with potential implications for the title race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

47%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inter goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4	8	7	4	2	1
1	6	11	9	6	2	1
2	4	7	6	4	2	1
3	2	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ AC Milan goals · most likely 1–1 (10.6%)

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Inter

2 AC Milan Wins

1 Draws

0 Inter Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Nov 2025	Inter	0 - 1	AC Milan
02 Feb 2025	AC Milan	1 - 1	Inter
22 Sep 2024	Inter	1 - 2	AC Milan

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AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Inter — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A AS Roma	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H Udinese	W	5 - 3
08 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Napoli	W	3 - 2
30 Aug	A Cagliari	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	22	3	5	66	24	+42	69
2	AC Milan	30	18	9	3	47	23	+24	63
3	Napoli	30	19	5	6	46	30	+16	62
4	Como	30	16	9	5	53	22	+31	57
5	Juventus	30	15	9	6	52	29	+23	54
6	AS Roma	30	17	3	10	40	23	+17	54
7	Atalanta	30	13	11	6	41	27	+14	50
8	Lazio	30	11	10	9	31	28	+3	43
9	Bologna	30	12	6	12	38	36	+2	42
10	Sassuolo	30	11	6	13	36	40	-4	39
11	Udinese	30	11	6	13	35	42	-7	39
12	Parma	30	8	10	12	21	38	-17	34
13	Genoa	30	8	9	13	36	42	-6	33
14	Torino	30	9	6	15	34	53	-19	33
15	Cagliari	30	7	9	14	31	42	-11	30
16	Fiorentina	30	6	11	13	35	44	-9	29
17	Cremonese	30	6	9	15	25	44	-19	27
18	Lecce	30	7	6	17	21	40	-19	27
19	Hellas Verona	30	3	9	18	22	52	-30	18
20	Pisa	30	2	12	16	23	54	-31	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.