AC Milan vs Inter Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Previsione AI Inter o pareggio
30%
23%
47%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico AC Milan vs Inter: Sportiko assegna a AC Milan una probabilità di vittoria del 30%, a Inter del 47% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Inter o pareggio
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AC Milan
WLDDW
Inter
DWLWW
Last 3 meetings AC Milan · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

The upcoming Serie A clash between AC Milan and Inter, known as the Derby della Madonnina, is set to be a thrilling encounter. As of October 2023, AC Milan has displayed a strong home record, with a 75% win rate at San Siro this season, bolstered by key players like Rafael Leão contributing significantly to their attack. Conversely, Inter boasts a solid away performance, maintaining a strong defensive record with only 10 goals conceded in their last 10 league matches. This match will likely hinge on Milan's ability to break down Inter's disciplined defense while also managing the pace of counter-attacks led by Lautaro Martínez. Expect a tightly contested battle with potential implications for the title race.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
30%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
47%
45%

Most likely scores

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Inter

2 AC Milan Wins
1 Draws
0 Inter Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Nov 2025 Inter 0 - 1 AC Milan
02 Feb 2025 AC Milan 1 - 1 Inter
22 Sep 2024 Inter 1 - 2 AC Milan
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AC Milan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lecce W 3 - 0
16 Sep H Benfica L 0 - 2
12 Sep A Lazio D 2 - 2
06 Sep A Juventus D 1 - 1
28 Aug H Venezia W 2 - 0

Inter — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A AS Roma D 2 - 2
14 Sep H Udinese W 5 - 3
08 Sep A Real Madrid L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Napoli W 3 - 2
30 Aug A Cagliari W 0 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Inter
30 22 3 5 +42 69
2
AC Milan
30 18 9 3 +24 63
3
Napoli
30 19 5 6 +16 62
4
Como
30 16 9 5 +31 57
5
Juventus
30 15 9 6 +23 54
6
AS Roma
30 17 3 10 +17 54
7
Atalanta
30 13 11 6 +14 50
8
Lazio
30 11 10 9 +3 43
9
Bologna
30 12 6 12 +2 42
10
Sassuolo
30 11 6 13 -4 39
11
Udinese
30 11 6 13 -7 39
12
Parma
30 8 10 12 -17 34
13
Genoa
30 8 9 13 -6 33
14
Torino
30 9 6 15 -19 33
15
Cagliari
30 7 9 14 -11 30
16
Fiorentina
30 6 11 13 -9 29
17
Cremonese
30 6 9 15 -19 27
18
Lecce
30 7 6 17 -19 27
19
Hellas Verona
30 3 9 18 -30 18
20
Pisa
30 2 12 16 -31 18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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