Monaco vs Marseille Predicție

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
Stade Louis-II, Monaco
Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Monaco
53%
22%
25%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Monaco vs Marseille: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 53% pentru victoria lui Monaco, 25% pentru Marseille și 22% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Monaco claimed a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Marseille in Ligue 1 matchday 28, with all three goals arriving in a frantic second half after a goalless first period. The hosts dominated proceedings throughout, finishing with 19 total shots to Marseille's seven, eight corner kicks to none, and an expected goals figure of 2.23 against 1.58 for the visitors.

Marseille broke the deadlock against the run of play in the 59th minute, but Monaco responded swiftly. Folarin Balogun levelled in the 74th minute before being substituted off just ten minutes later, and Amine Gouiri then completed the turnaround with a decisive strike in the 85th minute to seal all three points for the home side. The match also featured four yellow cards across both teams, with Monaco's Lamine Camara and Marseille's Facundo Medina both booked in the first half.

The result reflected Monaco's overall control of the contest, and it aligned with the pre-match assessment from our AI model, which had rated a Monaco win as the most likely outcome at 53%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Lamine Camara Yellow Card
8' ▮
▮ 34'
Facundo Medina Yellow Card
HT 0–0
59' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ Krépin Diatta
65' ⇄
65' ⇄
Yellow Card
70' ▮
⇄ 73'
Folarin Balogun
74' ⚽ 2–0
75' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Folarin Balogun
84' ⇄
Maghnes Akliouche ⇄ Simon Adingra
84' ⇄
⚽ 2–1 85'
Amine Gouiri assist: Facundo Medina
▮ 87'
Yellow Card
⇄ 89'
Tim Weah
⇄ 89'
FT 2–1
Monaco

Match Stats

Marseille
48% Ball Possession 52%
1.58 Expected Goals (xG) 2.23
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Goal 9
3 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 12
0 Shots outsidebox 7
0 Corner Kicks 8
2 Offsides 4
14 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
7 Goalkeeper Saves 1
409 Total passes 441
342 Passes accurate 369
84% Passes % 84%
-0.56 goals_prevented -0.56
Monaco
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G 8.2 90' – – – 29 (12%) –
10 Aleksandr Golovin F 7.9 75' 1 – 1 27 (25%) 1
9 Folarin Balogun F 7.6 84' 1 – 1 10 (6%) –
4 Jordan Teze M 7.6 90' – 1 – 27 (25%) 5
5 Thilo Kehrer D 7.5 90' – – – 47 (44%) 4
6 Denis Zakaria D 7.3 90' – – 1 42 (41%) 1
28 Mamadou Coulibaly M 6.9 65' – – – 25 (18%) 1
23 Aladji Bamba M 6.9 25' – – – 8 (5%) 1
31 Ansu Fati F 6.7 15' – – – 5 (5%) –
24 Simon Adingra F 6.6 13' – – 1 1 –
27 Krépin Diatta M 6.6 25' – – – 7 (4%) 2
15 Lamine Camara M 6.6 90' – – – 69 (64%) 3
13 Christian Mawissa M 6.6 65' – – – 25 (20%) 1
25 Wout Faes D 6.5 90' – – – 57 (48%) 1
14 Mika Biereth F 6.5 13' – – – 2 (2%) –
11 Maghnes Akliouche F 6.3 84' – – 2 28 (23%) –
Marseille
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Amine Gouiri F 8.2 90' 1 – 1 30 (25%) –
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 7.3 89' – – 2 59 (51%) –
32 Facundo Medina D 7.0 90' – 1 1 50 (45%) 1
27 Q. Timber M 6.9 90' – – 2 58 (48%) 3
8 Himad Abdelli M 6.7 8' – – – 8 (8%) –
22 Tim Weah M 6.6 89' – – 1 41 (36%) 2
14 Igor Paixão M 6.6 90' – – 4 30 (24%) –
5 Leonardo Balerdi D 6.6 13' – – – 15 (15%) –
4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D 6.5 77' – – – 28 (24%) 3
1 Gerónimo Rulli G 6.3 90' – – – 26 (19%) –
20 Hamed Junior Traorè F 6.3 73' – – 1 20 (13%) 1
11 Ethan Nwaneri M 6.3 17' – – – 9 (9%) –
33 Emerson Palmieri D 6.3 8' – – – 4 (3%) –
17 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F 6.2 90' – – 2 13 (10%) –
28 Benjamin Pavard D 5.6 90' – – – 50 (39%) 1
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Confidence Medium (65%)

At a glance

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Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Monaco
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Monaco
WDWWW
Marseille
LLLLL
Last 3 meetings Monaco · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Monaco hosts Marseille in a crucial Ligue 1 clash, set for April 5, 2026. Monaco has shown strong attacking form this season, averaging 2.1 goals per game, propelled by standout performances from their forwards. Conversely, Marseille has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match, which could be exploited by Monaco's dynamic attack. Historically, this matchup has been competitive, with Monaco winning 3 of the last 5 encounters. Expect a high-tempo game with both teams vying for European qualification spots, making this a pivotal fixture in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Players in form

Monaco
Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls
Marseille
A. Gouiri 4 gls

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Head to Head: Monaco vs Marseille

2 Monaco Wins
0 Draws
1 Marseille Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Aug 2026 Monaco 2 - 0 Marseille
14 Dec 2025 Marseille 1 - 0 Monaco
12 Apr 2025 Monaco 3 - 0 Marseille
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Monaco — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Lens W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Strasbourg D 1 - 1
04 Sep A Paris Saint Germain W 1 - 2
30 Aug H Marseille W 2 - 0
27 Aug H Gornik Zabrze W 4 - 1

Marseille — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Paris Saint Germain L 1 - 2
17 Sep A Beşiktaş L 4 - 1
11 Sep A Rennes L 1 - 0
06 Sep H Paris FC L 2 - 3
30 Aug A Monaco L 2 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Marseille

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Habib Beye
1 Rulli
32 Medina
4 Egan-Riley
28 Pavard
14 Paixao
23 Hojbjerg
27 Timber
22 Weah
20 Traore
9 Gouiri
17 Aubameyang

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 G. Rulli G
28 B. Pavard D
4 C. Egan-Riley D
32 F. Medina D
22 T. Weah M
27 Q. Timber M
23 P. Hojbjerg M
14 I. Paixao M
20 H. J. Traore F
17 P. Aubameyang F
9 A. Gouiri F

Substitutes

12 J. De Lange G
33 Emerson D
8 H. Abdelli M
11 E. Nwaneri M
26 B. Nadir M
18 A. Vermeeren M
6 T. Nnadi M
78 E. Lago F
5 L. Balerdi D

Monaco

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Sebastien Pocognoli
1 Hradecky
25 Faes
6 Zakaria
5 Kehrer
13 Mawissa
15 Camara
28 Coulibaly
4 Teze
10 Golovin
11 Akliouche
9 Balogun

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Hradecky G
5 T. Kehrer D
6 D. Zakaria D
25 W. Faes D
4 J. Teze M
28 M. Coulibaly M
15 L. Camara M
13 C. Mawissa M
11 M. Akliouche F
10 A. Golovin F
9 F. Balogun F

Substitutes

16 P. Kohn G
8 P. Pogba M
3 E. Dier D
27 K. Diatta M
14 M. Biereth F
23 A. Bamba M
17 S. Idumbo M
31 A. Fati F
24 S. Adingra F

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