Monaco vs Marseille Previsione
Pronostico Monaco vs Marseille: Sportiko assegna a Monaco una probabilità di vittoria del 53%, a Marseille del 25% e al pareggio del 22%. Ultimo aggiornamento 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Match Report
Monaco claimed a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Marseille in Ligue 1 matchday 28, with all three goals arriving in a frantic second half after a goalless first period. The hosts dominated proceedings throughout, finishing with 19 total shots to Marseille's seven, eight corner kicks to none, and an expected goals figure of 2.23 against 1.58 for the visitors.
Marseille broke the deadlock against the run of play in the 59th minute, but Monaco responded swiftly. Folarin Balogun levelled in the 74th minute before being substituted off just ten minutes later, and Amine Gouiri then completed the turnaround with a decisive strike in the 85th minute to seal all three points for the home side. The match also featured four yellow cards across both teams, with Monaco's Lamine Camara and Marseille's Facundo Medina both booked in the first half.
The result reflected Monaco's overall control of the contest, and it aligned with the pre-match assessment from our AI model, which had rated a Monaco win as the most likely outcome at 53%.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Monaco
Match Stats
Monaco
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lukáš Hrádecký G | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (12%) | – |
| 10 Aleksandr Golovin F | 7.9 | 75' | 1 | – | 1 | 27 (25%) | 1 |
| 9 Folarin Balogun F | 7.6 | 84' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 4 Jordan Teze M | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 27 (25%) | 5 |
| 5 Thilo Kehrer D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (44%) | 4 |
| 6 Denis Zakaria D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (41%) | 1 |
| 28 Mamadou Coulibaly M | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | 1 |
| 23 Aladji Bamba M | 6.9 | 25' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 31 Ansu Fati F | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 24 Simon Adingra F | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
| 27 Krépin Diatta M | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | 2 |
| 15 Lamine Camara M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (64%) | 3 |
| 13 Christian Mawissa M | 6.6 | 65' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 25 Wout Faes D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (48%) | 1 |
| 14 Mika Biereth F | 6.5 | 13' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 11 Maghnes Akliouche F | 6.3 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 28 (23%) | – |
Marseille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Amine Gouiri F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | – |
| 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 59 (51%) | – |
| 32 Facundo Medina D | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 50 (45%) | 1 |
| 27 Q. Timber M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 58 (48%) | 3 |
| 8 Himad Abdelli M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 22 Tim Weah M | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 41 (36%) | 2 |
| 14 Igor Paixão M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 30 (24%) | – |
| 5 Leonardo Balerdi D | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | – | 15 (15%) | – |
| 4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D | 6.5 | 77' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | 3 |
| 1 Gerónimo Rulli G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | – |
| 20 Hamed Junior Traorè F | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 20 (13%) | 1 |
| 11 Ethan Nwaneri M | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 33 Emerson Palmieri D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 17 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 28 Benjamin Pavard D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (39%) | 1 |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Paris Josua Brunner
4 gls
A. Gouiri
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Monaco vs Marseille
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Monaco | 2 - 0 | Marseille |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Marseille | 1 - 0 | Monaco |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Monaco | 3 - 0 | Marseille |
Monaco — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Lens | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Strasbourg | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Paris Saint Germain | W | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Marseille | W | 2 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | H Gornik Zabrze | W | 4 - 1 |
Marseille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Sep | A Beşiktaş | L | 4 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Rennes | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Paris FC | L | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Monaco | L | 2 - 0 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Marseille
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Habib Beye
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Rulli | G |
| 28 | B. Pavard | D |
| 4 | C. Egan-Riley | D |
| 32 | F. Medina | D |
| 22 | T. Weah | M |
| 27 | Q. Timber | M |
| 23 | P. Hojbjerg | M |
| 14 | I. Paixao | M |
| 20 | H. J. Traore | F |
| 17 | P. Aubameyang | F |
| 9 | A. Gouiri | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | J. De Lange | G |
| 33 | Emerson | D |
| 8 | H. Abdelli | M |
| 11 | E. Nwaneri | M |
| 26 | B. Nadir | M |
| 18 | A. Vermeeren | M |
| 6 | T. Nnadi | M |
| 78 | E. Lago | F |
| 5 | L. Balerdi | D |
Monaco
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Sebastien Pocognoli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Hradecky | G |
| 5 | T. Kehrer | D |
| 6 | D. Zakaria | D |
| 25 | W. Faes | D |
| 4 | J. Teze | M |
| 28 | M. Coulibaly | M |
| 15 | L. Camara | M |
| 13 | C. Mawissa | M |
| 11 | M. Akliouche | F |
| 10 | A. Golovin | F |
| 9 | F. Balogun | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | P. Kohn | G |
| 8 | P. Pogba | M |
| 3 | E. Dier | D |
| 27 | K. Diatta | M |
| 14 | M. Biereth | F |
| 23 | A. Bamba | M |
| 17 | S. Idumbo | M |
| 31 | A. Fati | F |
| 24 | S. Adingra | F |