Osasuna vs Getafe Previsão

La Liga · Regular Season - 3

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Getafe

Away

Chamada de IA Osasuna ou empate

42%

32%

25%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Osasuna x Getafe: O Sportiko estima 42% de probabilidade de vitória para o Osasuna, 25% para o Getafe e 32% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 19:32.

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1st Half Draw or Away 75%
Mandante Marca 72%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Osasuna secured a narrow but hard-fought 1–0 victory over Getafe at El Sadar, with the decisive moment arriving in first-half stoppage time. Ante Budimir converted a penalty in the 45+2nd minute to give the hosts the lead they would ultimately protect, though the build-up to that moment was disrupted by Jorge Herrando's early yellow card and subsequent substitution before the half-hour mark.

The second half was fractious and tightly contested, with VAR disallowing an Enes Ünal equaliser for offside just after the break. Getafe struggled to find a way through despite generating the better chances on paper, finishing with an expected goals figure of 1.70 compared to Osasuna's 0.65 — a reflection of how the hosts rode their luck at times. A flurry of yellow cards across both sides added to the tension, with seven bookings issued after the interval alone.

Osasuna's win came despite being outperformed statistically for much of the match, a result our pre-match AI model had identified as the most probable outcome at 42%. The three points move the hosts into positive territory early in the La Liga season.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jorge Herrando Yellow Card

17' ▮

Jorge Herrando ⇄ Flavien Boyomo

39' ⇄

▮ 45'

Djené Yellow Card

Ante Budimir Penalty

45+2' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Rubén García ⇄ Jonathan Dubasin

46' ⇄

🖵 52'

Enes Ünal Goal Disallowed - offside

▮ 58'

Johan Mojica Yellow Card

▮ 60'

Enes Ünal Yellow Card

▮ 65'

Orel Mangala Yellow Card

⇄ 65'

Andrés García ⇄ Alberto Risco

Iker Muñoz Yellow Card

67' ▮

Aimar Oroz ⇄ Raúl García de Haro

71' ⇄

Iker Muñoz ⇄ Lucas Torró

71' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Francho Serrano ⇄ Nemanja Gudelj

Moi Gómez ⇄ Kike Barja

78' ⇄

Raúl García de Haro Yellow Card

81' ▮

⇄ 87'

Martín Satriano ⇄ Borja Mayoral

Sergio Herrera Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

Kike Barja Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 1–0

Osasuna

Match Stats

Getafe

45% Ball Possession 55%

1.70 Expected Goals (xG) 0.65

10 Total Shots 11

2 Shots on Goal 1

4 Shots off Goal 7

4 Blocked Shots 3

4 Shots insidebox 7

6 Shots outsidebox 4

1 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 1

17 Fouls 14

4 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

382 Total passes 454

299 Passes accurate 374

78% Passes % 82%

-0.00 goals_prevented -0.00

Osasuna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Sergio Herrera G	7.5	94'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	–
17 Ante Budimir F	7.3	94'	1	–	1	18 (10%)	1
16 Moi Gómez M	7.3	77'	–	–	–	38 (35%)	1
27 Iñigo Arguibide D	7.3	94'	–	–	1	32 (25%)	2
24 Alejandro Catena D	7.2	94'	–	–	–	58 (46%)	2
7 Jon Moncayola M	7.2	94'	–	–	–	42 (38%)	3
9 Raúl García de Haro F	7.0	23'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
11 Kike Barja F	6.9	17'	–	–	1	4 (2%)	1
23 Abel Bretones D	6.9	94'	–	–	1	18 (13%)	4
14 Rubén García M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	1
10 Aimar Oroz M	6.7	71'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	1
6 Lucas Torró M	6.7	23'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	1
5 Jorge Herrando D	6.6	39'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	1
22 Flavien Boyomo D	6.3	55'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	2
8 Iker Muñoz M	6.2	71'	–	–	–	33 (23%)	1
21 Jonathan Dubasin F	6.2	49'	–	–	2	17 (11%)	–

Getafe

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Zaid Romero D	7.3	94'	–	–	–	55 (46%)	3
13 David Soria G	7.2	94'	–	–	–	32 (17%)	–
17 Kiko Femenia D	7.2	94'	–	–	–	63 (60%)	2
11 Ramón Terrats M	7.0	94'	–	–	4	36 (28%)	3
23 Orel Mangala M	6.9	94'	–	–	–	46 (44%)	–
8 Nemanja Gudelj M	6.7	18'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	–
21 Andrés García M	6.6	65'	–	–	1	24 (22%)	2
22 Johan Mojica D	6.5	94'	–	–	1	44 (32%)	1
9 Borja Mayoral F	6.5	8'	–	–	–	1	–
16 Francho Serrano M	6.5	76'	–	–	–	35 (28%)	1
10 Martín Satriano F	6.3	86'	–	–	2	25 (18%)	1
19 Enes Ünal F	6.3	94'	–	–	–	18 (12%)	2
28 Alberto Risco M	6.2	29'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
2 Djené D	6.0	94'	–	–	–	52 (45%)	2

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Osasuna ou empate

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Osasuna

DLLLW

Getafe

WLDDL

Last 3 meetings Osasuna · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Osasuna will host Getafe in a La Liga clash on August 31, 2026. Osasuna has shown a strong defensive record at home, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match over the previous season while maintaining a solid possession rate. Getafe, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net, scoring only 0.9 goals per away match last season. This match will likely hinge on Osasuna’s ability to capitalize on their defensive strength and home form against a Getafe side that may struggle to create scoring opportunities. Expect a tightly contested match, possibly favoring Osasuna due to their recent form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Getafe goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	9	5	2
1	12	15	6	2
2	9	8	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Osasuna goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Osasuna

A. Budimir 5 gls

Getafe

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

32%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

32%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	8.6%	5.0%	1.6%	0.4%
1	12.0%	14.9%	6.3%	2.0%	0.5%
2	8.7%	8.4%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
3	3.7%	3.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.2%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Osasuna	Draw	Getafe
Osasuna	20.9%	3.3%	1.0%
Draw	19.5%	21.5%	10.7%
Getafe	2.5%	5.0%	15.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Osasuna vs Getafe

1 Osasuna Wins

0 Draws

2 Getafe Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 May 2026	Getafe	1 - 0	Osasuna
03 Oct 2025	Osasuna	2 - 1	Getafe
16 Mar 2025	Osasuna	1 - 2	Getafe

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Osasuna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Espanyol	L	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Alaves	L	5 - 2
31 Aug	H Getafe	W	1 - 0

Getafe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Malaga	W	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	A Osasuna	L	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Getafe

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez

13 Soria

22 Mojica

24 Romero

2 Djené

17 Femenía

11 Terrats

23 Mangala

16 Serrano

21 García

10 Satriano

19 Ünal

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	David Soria	G
17	Kiko Femenía	D
2	Djené	D
24	Zaid Romero	D
22	Johan Mojica	D
21	Andrés García	M
16	Francho Serrano	M
23	Orel Mangala	M
11	Ramón Terrats	M
19	Enes Ünal	F
10	Martín Satriano	F

Substitutes

35	Diego Ferrer	G
1	Jiří Letáček	G
26	Jean Ives Valou	D
3	Davinchi	D
31	Mohamed Hamdoune	D
15	Sebastián Boselli	D
4	Saba Sazonov	D
30	Oscar Lopez	M
28	Alberto Risco	M
8	Nemanja Gudelj	M
32	José Luis Pérez	F
9	Borja Mayoral	F

Osasuna

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Miguel Ramis Luis

1 Herrera

23 Bretones

5 Herrando

24 Catena

27 Arguibide

8 Muñoz

7 Moncayola

16 Gómez

10 Oroz

14 García

17 Budimir

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Sergio Herrera	G
27	Iñigo Arguibide	D
24	Alejandro Catena	D
5	Jorge Herrando	D
23	Abel Bretones	D
7	Jon Moncayola	M
8	Iker Muñoz	M
14	Rubén García	M
10	Aimar Oroz	M
16	Moi Gómez	M
17	Ante Budimir	F

Substitutes

22	Enzo Boyomo	D
13	Aitor Fernández	G
29	Asier Osambela	M
48	Rockson Yeboah	D
15	Diego Rico	D
26	Mauro Echegoyen	M
21	Jonathan Dubasin	F
18	Raúl Moro	F
6	Lucas Torró	M
30	Asier Bonel	F
9	Raúl García de Haro	F
11	Kike Barja	F