Osasuna vs Getafe Prediction

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 3
FT
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AI прогноза Osasuna или равен
42%
32%
25%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Osasuna vs Getafe prediction: Sportiko gives Osasuna a 42% chance of winning, Getafe 25% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 19:32.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 75%
  • Домакинът да вкара 72%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
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Match Report

Osasuna secured a narrow but hard-fought 1–0 victory over Getafe at El Sadar, with the decisive moment arriving in first-half stoppage time. Ante Budimir converted a penalty in the 45+2nd minute to give the hosts the lead they would ultimately protect, though the build-up to that moment was disrupted by Jorge Herrando's early yellow card and subsequent substitution before the half-hour mark.

The second half was fractious and tightly contested, with VAR disallowing an Enes Ünal equaliser for offside just after the break. Getafe struggled to find a way through despite generating the better chances on paper, finishing with an expected goals figure of 1.70 compared to Osasuna's 0.65 — a reflection of how the hosts rode their luck at times. A flurry of yellow cards across both sides added to the tension, with seven bookings issued after the interval alone.

Osasuna's win came despite being outperformed statistically for much of the match, a result our pre-match AI model had identified as the most probable outcome at 42%. The three points move the hosts into positive territory early in the La Liga season.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jorge Herrando Yellow Card
17' ▮
Jorge Herrando ⇄ Flavien Boyomo
39' ⇄
▮ 45'
Djené Yellow Card
Ante Budimir Penalty
45+2' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
Rubén García ⇄ Jonathan Dubasin
46' ⇄
🖵 52'
Enes Ünal Goal Disallowed - offside
▮ 58'
Johan Mojica Yellow Card
▮ 60'
Enes Ünal Yellow Card
▮ 65'
Orel Mangala Yellow Card
⇄ 65'
Andrés García ⇄ Alberto Risco
Iker Muñoz Yellow Card
67' ▮
Aimar Oroz ⇄ Raúl García de Haro
71' ⇄
Iker Muñoz ⇄ Lucas Torró
71' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Francho Serrano ⇄ Nemanja Gudelj
Moi Gómez ⇄ Kike Barja
78' ⇄
Raúl García de Haro Yellow Card
81' ▮
⇄ 87'
Martín Satriano ⇄ Borja Mayoral
Sergio Herrera Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
Kike Barja Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
FT 1–0
Osasuna

Match Stats

Getafe
45% Ball Possession 55%
1.70 Expected Goals (xG) 0.65
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
382 Total passes 454
299 Passes accurate 374
78% Passes % 82%
-0.00 goals_prevented -0.00
Osasuna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Sergio Herrera G 7.5 94' – – – 20 (15%) –
17 Ante Budimir F 7.3 94' 1 – 1 18 (10%) 1
16 Moi Gómez M 7.3 77' – – – 38 (35%) 1
27 Iñigo Arguibide D 7.3 94' – – 1 32 (25%) 2
24 Alejandro Catena D 7.2 94' – – – 58 (46%) 2
7 Jon Moncayola M 7.2 94' – – – 42 (38%) 3
9 Raúl García de Haro F 7.0 23' – – – 7 (5%) –
11 Kike Barja F 6.9 17' – – 1 4 (2%) 1
23 Abel Bretones D 6.9 94' – – 1 18 (13%) 4
14 Rubén García M 6.7 45' – – – 17 (12%) 1
10 Aimar Oroz M 6.7 71' – – – 24 (18%) 1
6 Lucas Torró M 6.7 23' – – – 13 (11%) 1
5 Jorge Herrando D 6.6 39' – – – 30 (27%) 1
22 Flavien Boyomo D 6.3 55' – – – 11 (8%) 2
8 Iker Muñoz M 6.2 71' – – – 33 (23%) 1
21 Jonathan Dubasin F 6.2 49' – – 2 17 (11%) –
Getafe
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Zaid Romero D 7.3 94' – – – 55 (46%) 3
13 David Soria G 7.2 94' – – – 32 (17%) –
17 Kiko Femenia D 7.2 94' – – – 63 (60%) 2
11 Ramón Terrats M 7.0 94' – – 4 36 (28%) 3
23 Orel Mangala M 6.9 94' – – – 46 (44%) –
8 Nemanja Gudelj M 6.7 18' – – – 12 (12%) –
21 Andrés García M 6.6 65' – – 1 24 (22%) 2
22 Johan Mojica D 6.5 94' – – 1 44 (32%) 1
9 Borja Mayoral F 6.5 8' – – – 1 –
16 Francho Serrano M 6.5 76' – – – 35 (28%) 1
10 Martín Satriano F 6.3 86' – – 2 25 (18%) 1
19 Enes Ünal F 6.3 94' – – – 18 (12%) 2
28 Alberto Risco M 6.2 29' – – – 11 (10%) –
2 Djené D 6.0 94' – – – 52 (45%) 2
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Osasuna или равен
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Osasuna
DLLLW
Getafe
WLDDL
Last 3 meetings Osasuna · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Osasuna will host Getafe in a La Liga clash on August 31, 2026. Osasuna has shown a strong defensive record at home, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match over the previous season while maintaining a solid possession rate. Getafe, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net, scoring only 0.9 goals per away match last season. This match will likely hinge on Osasuna’s ability to capitalize on their defensive strength and home form against a Getafe side that may struggle to create scoring opportunities. Expect a tightly contested match, possibly favoring Osasuna due to their recent form.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
42%
45%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
25%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Osasuna
A. Budimir 5 gls
Getafe

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Osasuna vs Getafe

1 Osasuna Wins
0 Draws
2 Getafe Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 May 2026 Getafe 1 - 0 Osasuna
03 Oct 2025 Osasuna 2 - 1 Getafe
16 Mar 2025 Osasuna 1 - 2 Getafe
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rayo Vallecano D 1 - 1
16 Sep A Atletico Madrid L 4 - 0
12 Sep H Espanyol L 0 - 2
06 Sep A Alaves L 5 - 2
31 Aug H Getafe W 1 - 0

Getafe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Malaga W 1 - 0
17 Sep A Real Betis L 1 - 0
13 Sep H Deportivo La Coruna D 1 - 1
07 Sep H Celta Vigo D 1 - 1
31 Aug A Osasuna L 1 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Getafe

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez
13 Soria
22 Mojica
24 Romero
2 Djené
17 Femenía
11 Terrats
23 Mangala
16 Serrano
21 García
10 Satriano
19 Ünal

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 David Soria G
17 Kiko Femenía D
2 Djené D
24 Zaid Romero D
22 Johan Mojica D
21 Andrés García M
16 Francho Serrano M
23 Orel Mangala M
11 Ramón Terrats M
19 Enes Ünal F
10 Martín Satriano F

Substitutes

35 Diego Ferrer G
1 Jiří Letáček G
26 Jean Ives Valou D
3 Davinchi D
31 Mohamed Hamdoune D
15 Sebastián Boselli D
4 Saba Sazonov D
30 Oscar Lopez M
28 Alberto Risco M
8 Nemanja Gudelj M
32 José Luis Pérez F
9 Borja Mayoral F

Osasuna

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Miguel Ramis Luis
1 Herrera
23 Bretones
5 Herrando
24 Catena
27 Arguibide
8 Muñoz
7 Moncayola
16 Gómez
10 Oroz
14 García
17 Budimir

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Sergio Herrera G
27 Iñigo Arguibide D
24 Alejandro Catena D
5 Jorge Herrando D
23 Abel Bretones D
7 Jon Moncayola M
8 Iker Muñoz M
14 Rubén García M
10 Aimar Oroz M
16 Moi Gómez M
17 Ante Budimir F

Substitutes

22 Enzo Boyomo D
13 Aitor Fernández G
29 Asier Osambela M
48 Rockson Yeboah D
15 Diego Rico D
26 Mauro Echegoyen M
21 Jonathan Dubasin F
18 Raúl Moro F
6 Lucas Torró M
30 Asier Bonel F
9 Raúl García de Haro F
11 Kike Barja F

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