Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prognoza

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 33
FT
Post on X
St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Typowanie AI Newcastle lub remis
46%
28%
26%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Newcastle vs Bournemouth: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Newcastle na 46%, Bournemouth na 26%, a remisu na 28%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Marcus Tavernier broke the deadlock on 32 minutes to give Bournemouth a deserved half-time lead, and the visitors' expected goals figure of 2.99 against Newcastle's 1.59 reflected their overall superiority throughout the contest despite both sides finishing level on shots and possession reasonably balanced.

Newcastle drew level through William Osula on 68 minutes — a goal confirmed by VAR three minutes later — and briefly looked to have found a foothold in the match following a flurry of substitutions from both benches around the hour mark. However, Adrien Truffert restored Bournemouth's advantage on 85 minutes to seal all three points for the away side in a lively closing spell.

The match was not short of controversy, with five yellow cards distributed across both teams and a tense final quarter that saw Newcastle unable to find a second equaliser. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Newcastle win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved wide of the mark as Bournemouth claimed a well-earned victory at St. James' Park.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 32'
Marcus Tavernier assist: Rayan
HT 0–1
Lewis Hall ⇄ Kieran Trippier
46' ⇄
▮ 52'
Ryan Christie Yellow Card
▮ 55'
Marcus Tavernier Yellow Card
Jacob Ramsey ⇄ Bruno Guimarães
62' ⇄
Anthony Elanga ⇄ Jacob Murphy
62' ⇄
⇄ 65'
Ryan Christie ⇄ Tyler Adams
⇄ 66'
Eli Junior Kroupi ⇄ David Brooks
William Osula
68' ⚽ 1–1
William Osula Goal confirmed
71' 🖵
Valentino Livramento ⇄ Dan Burn
74' ⇄
Sven Botman Yellow Card
77' ▮
⇄ 78'
Rayan ⇄ Ben Gannon-Doak
Jacob Murphy Yellow Card
80' ▮
▮ 82'
Alex Scott Yellow Card
⚽ 1–2 85'
Adrien Truffert
Sandro Tonali ⇄ Nick Woltemade
86' ⇄
⇄ 89'
Evanilson ⇄ Enes Ünal
⇄ 89'
Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Alex Tóth
▮ 90+4'
Đorđe Petrović Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Newcastle

Match Stats

Bournemouth
54% Ball Possession 46%
1.59 Expected Goals (xG) 2.99
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 7
1 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
436 Total passes 386
346 Passes accurate 288
79% Passes % 75%
0.12 goals_prevented 0.12
Newcastle
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 William Osula F 7.5 90' 1 – 1 14 (12%) –
4 Sven Botman D 7.2 90' – – – 60 (46%) –
39 Bruno Guimarães M 7.0 28' – – 1 16 (15%) 2
21 Valentino Livramento D 7.0 74' – – – 43 (37%) 2
67 Lewis Miley M 7.0 90' – – – 57 (44%) 2
8 Sandro Tonali M 6.9 86' – – 1 44 (36%) 2
20 Anthony Elanga F 6.7 62' – – – 21 (14%) –
3 Lewis Hall D 6.7 45' – – – 17 (13%) 3
2 Kieran Trippier D 6.7 45' – – – 22 (17%) 1
27 Nick Woltemade F 6.5 14' – – – 4 (4%) –
11 Harvey Barnes F 6.5 90' – – 1 26 (18%) 1
12 Malick Thiaw D 6.3 90' – – 1 33 (32%) 1
23 Jacob Murphy M 6.3 28' – – 1 6 (5%) –
41 Jacob Ramsey M 6.3 62' – – – 23 (19%) 1
32 Aaron Ramsdale G 6.2 90' – – – 38 (24%) –
33 Dan Burn D 6.0 16' – – 1 12 (10%) –
Bournemouth
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Alex Scott M 8.5 90' – – – 46 (43%) 3
5 Marcos Senesi D 7.7 90' – – – 55 (42%) 2
23 James Hill D 7.7 90' – – 2 43 (26%) 1
37 Rayan M 7.3 78' – 1 1 30 (20%) 1
16 Marcus Tavernier M 7.2 89' 1 – 2 27 (18%) –
10 Ryan Christie M 6.9 65' – – 1 29 (23%) 2
20 Álex Jiménez D 6.9 90' – – – 39 (28%) 6
3 Adrien Truffert D 6.9 90' 1 – 1 32 (28%) 2
1 Đorđe Petrović G 6.7 90' – – – 26 (13%) –
22 Eli Junior Kroupi M 6.7 66' – – – 12 (9%) –
27 Alex Tóth M 6.7 11' – – – 1 –
11 Ben Gannon-Doak F 6.6 12' – – – 7 (6%) 3
26 Enes Ünal F 6.6 11' – – – 1 (1%) –
12 Tyler Adams M 6.3 25' – – – 17 (14%) 1
7 David Brooks M 6.2 24' – – – 8 (6%) 1
9 Evanilson F 5.9 89' – – 2 13 (11%) 3
Premium

Odblokuj pełną analizę AI dla meczu Newcastle vs Bournemouth

  • Wszystkie 70+ rynków prawdopodobieństwa
  • Raport meczowy AI Deep-Dive
  • Value Edge — model vs rynek
  • Wybrane przez Ciebie typy rynków
Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Newcastle lub remis
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Newcastle
WLWDW
Bournemouth
LWDWD
Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on April 18, 2026, Newcastle hosts Bournemouth at St. James' Park. Newcastle has shown strong form at home, boasting a win rate of 67% in their last 10 league matches, while Bournemouth struggles on the road with only 20% of their away games resulting in points this season. Key players for Newcastle, such as their leading scorer, will likely exploit Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities, which have allowed an average of 2 goals per match in away fixtures. Given these statistics, Newcastle appears well-positioned to secure a crucial three points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Newcastle
J. Willock 2 gls
Bournemouth
M. Tavernier 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

0 Newcastle Wins
2 Draws
1 Bournemouth Wins
Date Home Score Away
05 Sep 2026 Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth
21 Sep 2025 Bournemouth 0 - 0 Newcastle
18 Jan 2025 Newcastle 1 - 4 Bournemouth
Zobacz wszystkie 10 spotkania — Premium

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Hull City W 2 - 1
14 Sep A Leeds L 4 - 1
08 Sep A Millwall W 0 - 1
05 Sep H Bournemouth D 2 - 2
29 Aug A Tottenham W 0 - 2

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Liverpool L 0 - 1
17 Sep A Real Sociedad W 1 - 2
12 Sep H Brentford D 2 - 2
08 Sep H Lincoln W 4 - 0
05 Sep A Newcastle D 2 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Newcastle

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Eddie Howe
32 Ramsdale
3 Hall
4 Botman
12 Thiaw
21 Livramento
41 Ramsey
67 Miley
8 Tonali
11 Barnes
18 Osula
20 Elanga

Starting XI

# Player Pos
32 A. Ramsdale G
21 V. Livramento D
12 M. Thiaw D
4 S. Botman D
3 L. Hall D
8 S. Tonali M
67 L. Miley M
41 J. Ramsey M
20 A. Elanga F
18 W. Osula F
11 H. Barnes F

Substitutes

1 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
33 D. Burn D
28 J. Willock M
9 Y. Wissa F
27 N. Woltemade F
39 Bruno Guimaraes M
23 J. Murphy M
37 A. Murphy D

Bournemouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Andoni Iraola
1 Petrovic
3 Truffert
5 Senesi
23 Hill
20 Jimenez
10 Christie
8 Scott
16 Tavernier
22 Kroupi
37 Rayan
9 Evanilson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Petrovic G
20 A. Jimenez D
23 J. Hill D
5 M. Senesi D
3 A. Truffert D
8 A. Scott M
10 R. Christie M
37 Rayan M
22 E. J. Kroupi M
16 M. Tavernier M
9 Evanilson F

Substitutes

29 C. Mandas G
15 A. Smith D
26 E. Unal F
12 T. Adams M
18 B. Diakite D
7 D. Brooks M
21 A. Adli F
11 B. Doak F
27 A. Toth M

Asystent Sportiko

Funkcje, konkurs lub piłka nożna

Zarejestruj się za darmo, aby rozmawiać z Asystentem Sportiko — pytaj o prognozy, konkurs i wszystko o piłce nożnej.

Zarejestruj się za darmo Masz już konto? Zaloguj się