Newcastle vs Bournemouth Predviđanje

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Post on X

Bournemouth

Away

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

AI predikcija Newcastle ili neriješeno

46%

28%

26%

Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Newcastle vs Bournemouth: Sportiko procjenjuje da Newcastle ima 46% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Bournemouth 26%, a neriješeno 28%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Marcus Tavernier broke the deadlock on 32 minutes to give Bournemouth a deserved half-time lead, and the visitors' expected goals figure of 2.99 against Newcastle's 1.59 reflected their overall superiority throughout the contest despite both sides finishing level on shots and possession reasonably balanced.

Newcastle drew level through William Osula on 68 minutes — a goal confirmed by VAR three minutes later — and briefly looked to have found a foothold in the match following a flurry of substitutions from both benches around the hour mark. However, Adrien Truffert restored Bournemouth's advantage on 85 minutes to seal all three points for the away side in a lively closing spell.

The match was not short of controversy, with five yellow cards distributed across both teams and a tense final quarter that saw Newcastle unable to find a second equaliser. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Newcastle win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved wide of the mark as Bournemouth claimed a well-earned victory at St. James' Park.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 32'

Marcus Tavernier assist: Rayan

HT 0–1

Lewis Hall ⇄ Kieran Trippier

46' ⇄

▮ 52'

Ryan Christie Yellow Card

▮ 55'

Marcus Tavernier Yellow Card

Jacob Ramsey ⇄ Bruno Guimarães

62' ⇄

Anthony Elanga ⇄ Jacob Murphy

62' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Ryan Christie ⇄ Tyler Adams

⇄ 66'

Eli Junior Kroupi ⇄ David Brooks

William Osula

68' ⚽ 1–1

William Osula Goal confirmed

71' 🖵

Valentino Livramento ⇄ Dan Burn

74' ⇄

Sven Botman Yellow Card

77' ▮

⇄ 78'

Rayan ⇄ Ben Gannon-Doak

Jacob Murphy Yellow Card

80' ▮

▮ 82'

Alex Scott Yellow Card

⚽ 1–2 85'

Adrien Truffert

Sandro Tonali ⇄ Nick Woltemade

86' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Evanilson ⇄ Enes Ünal

⇄ 89'

Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Alex Tóth

▮ 90+4'

Đorđe Petrović Yellow Card

FT 1–2

Newcastle

Match Stats

Bournemouth

54% Ball Possession 46%

1.59 Expected Goals (xG) 2.99

12 Total Shots 12

3 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 6

5 Blocked Shots 3

11 Shots insidebox 7

1 Shots outsidebox 5

2 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 1

11 Fouls 12

2 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

436 Total passes 386

346 Passes accurate 288

79% Passes % 75%

0.12 goals_prevented 0.12

Newcastle

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 William Osula F	7.5	90'	1	–	1	14 (12%)	–
4 Sven Botman D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	60 (46%)	–
39 Bruno Guimarães M	7.0	28'	–	–	1	16 (15%)	2
21 Valentino Livramento D	7.0	74'	–	–	–	43 (37%)	2
67 Lewis Miley M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	57 (44%)	2
8 Sandro Tonali M	6.9	86'	–	–	1	44 (36%)	2
20 Anthony Elanga F	6.7	62'	–	–	–	21 (14%)	–
3 Lewis Hall D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	3
2 Kieran Trippier D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	1
27 Nick Woltemade F	6.5	14'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
11 Harvey Barnes F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	26 (18%)	1
12 Malick Thiaw D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	33 (32%)	1
23 Jacob Murphy M	6.3	28'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	–
41 Jacob Ramsey M	6.3	62'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	1
32 Aaron Ramsdale G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	38 (24%)	–
33 Dan Burn D	6.0	16'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–

Bournemouth

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Alex Scott M	8.5	90'	–	–	–	46 (43%)	3
5 Marcos Senesi D	7.7	90'	–	–	–	55 (42%)	2
23 James Hill D	7.7	90'	–	–	2	43 (26%)	1
37 Rayan M	7.3	78'	–	1	1	30 (20%)	1
16 Marcus Tavernier M	7.2	89'	1	–	2	27 (18%)	–
10 Ryan Christie M	6.9	65'	–	–	1	29 (23%)	2
20 Álex Jiménez D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	39 (28%)	6
3 Adrien Truffert D	6.9	90'	1	–	1	32 (28%)	2
1 Đorđe Petrović G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	26 (13%)	–
22 Eli Junior Kroupi M	6.7	66'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
27 Alex Tóth M	6.7	11'	–	–	–	1	–
11 Ben Gannon-Doak F	6.6	12'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	3
26 Enes Ünal F	6.6	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
12 Tyler Adams M	6.3	25'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	1
7 David Brooks M	6.2	24'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	1
9 Evanilson F	5.9	89'	–	–	2	13 (11%)	3

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Naša prednost

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Newcastle

WLWDW

Bournemouth

LWDWD

Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on April 18, 2026, Newcastle hosts Bournemouth at St. James' Park. Newcastle has shown strong form at home, boasting a win rate of 67% in their last 10 league matches, while Bournemouth struggles on the road with only 20% of their away games resulting in points this season. Key players for Newcastle, such as their leading scorer, will likely exploit Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities, which have allowed an average of 2 goals per match in away fixtures. Given these statistics, Newcastle appears well-positioned to secure a crucial three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bournemouth goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	10	4	1
1	14	13	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Newcastle goals · most likely 1–0 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

Bournemouth

M. Tavernier 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

0 Newcastle Wins

2 Draws

1 Bournemouth Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	Newcastle	2 - 2	Bournemouth
21 Sep 2025	Bournemouth	0 - 0	Newcastle
18 Jan 2025	Newcastle	1 - 4	Bournemouth

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Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Liverpool	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Brentford	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	H Lincoln	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	A Newcastle	D	2 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2