Botafogo vs Gremio Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

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Botafogo

Home

3 : 2

HT 1 - 1

Gremio

Away

Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Botafogo

52%

27%

21%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Botafogo vs Gremio: Sportiko assegna a Botafogo una probabilità di vittoria del 52%, a Gremio del 21% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 17 Sep 2026, 09:00.

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Casa a Segno 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Danilo Santos assist: Álvaro Montoro

30' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 36'

Jovane Cabral

HT 1–1

Lucas Monzón ⇄ Gabriel Justino

46' ⇄

Edenilson ⇄ Danilo

46' ⇄

Álvaro Montoro assist: Vitinho

52' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 60'

Jovane Cabral ⇄ José Enamorado

⇄ 66'

Filip Krovinović ⇄ Martin Braithwaite

Júnior Santos ⇄ Marçal

73' ⇄

▮ 78'

Mathias Villasanti Yellow Card

⇄ 78'

Cristian Pavón ⇄ Tetê

⇄ 78'

Erick Noriega ⇄ Matheus Nascimento

Danilo Santos assist: Álvaro Montoro

79' ⚽ 3–1

Álvaro Montoro ⇄ Allan

85' ⇄

Arthur Cabral ⇄ Tiquinho Soares

86' ⇄

⚽ 3–2 88'

Gustavo Martins assist: Tetê

🖵 90+3'

Carlos Vinícius Goal cancelled

Danilo Santos Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

🖵 90+7'

Matheus Nascimento Card reviewed

FT 3–2

Botafogo

Match Stats

Gremio

36% Ball Possession 64%

0.89 Expected Goals (xG) 0.57

10 Total Shots 13

7 Shots on Goal 3

2 Shots off Goal 8

1 Blocked Shots 2

6 Shots insidebox 8

4 Shots outsidebox 5

3 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 2

13 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

368 Total passes 646

286 Passes accurate 571

78% Passes % 88%

-2.03 goals_prevented -2.03

Botafogo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Álvaro Montoro M	8.9	79'	1	2	2	31 (22%)	1
8 Danilo Santos M	8.7	100'	2	–	3	48 (36%)	–
75 Huguinho M	7.2	100'	–	–	–	38 (36%)	3
2 Vitinho D	7.0	100'	–	1	1	33 (29%)	6
7 Júnior Santos M	6.9	73'	–	–	1	15 (12%)	–
13 Alex Telles D	6.7	100'	–	–	1	31 (22%)	1
88 Edenilson M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	–
9 Tiquinho Soares F	6.7	14'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	1
34 Gabriel Justino D	6.5	55'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	–
33 Lucas Monzón D	6.5	45'	–	–	–	25 (23%)	–
90 Danilo F	6.5	55'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
21 Marçal D	6.3	27'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	1
25 Allan M	6.3	21'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
3 Arthur Chaves D	6.0	100'	–	–	–	46 (42%)	–
12 Gabriel Batista G	5.9	100'	–	–	–	28 (12%)	–
19 Arthur Cabral F	5.6	86'	–	–	1	19 (12%)	–

Gremio

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
77 Jovane Cabral M	7.7	59'	1	–	3	31 (29%)	1
6 Gustavo Martins D	7.6	100'	1	–	2	82 (73%)	2
99 José Enamorado F	7.0	41'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	–
11 Tetê F	6.9	22'	–	1	–	10 (6%)	–
95 Carlos Vinícius F	6.7	100'	–	–	3	15 (12%)	–
22 Martin Braithwaite F	6.7	34'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
10 Filip Krovinović M	6.7	66'	–	–	1	43 (39%)	–
7 Cristian Pavón M	6.5	78'	–	–	–	54 (47%)	2
30 Matheus Nascimento F	6.5	22'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
82 Wallace D	6.3	100'	–	–	–	79 (76%)	1
27 Diego Caito D	6.3	100'	–	–	1	73 (64%)	1
20 Mathias Villasanti M	6.2	100'	–	–	–	83 (75%)	1
8 Erick Noriega M	6.2	78'	–	–	1	54 (47%)	1
38 Caio Paulista D	5.9	100'	–	–	–	55 (47%)	1
1 Weverton G	5.7	100'	–	–	–	35 (28%)	–

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Botafogo

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Botafogo

LWDDL

Gremio

DLLLW

Last 3 meetings Botafogo · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

21%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gremio goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	7	4	1
1	12	14	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Botafogo goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Botafogo

Danilo Santos 9 gls

Arthur Cabral 7 gls

Gremio

Carlos Vinícius 10 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	7.5%	4.1%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.5%	14.4%	5.7%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.8%	8.8%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
3	4.6%	4.1%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Botafogo	Draw	Gremio
Botafogo	27.3%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	18.5%	20.6%	10.1%
Gremio	2.0%	4.0%	12.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Botafogo vs Gremio

1 Botafogo Wins

1 Draws

1 Gremio Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Feb 2026	Gremio	5 - 3	Botafogo
22 Nov 2025	Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
24 Sep 2025	Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo

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Botafogo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Mirassol	L	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Gremio	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	H RB Bragantino	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Flamengo	L	3 - 0

Gremio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0
16 Sep	A Botafogo	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Vasco DA Gama	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Vitoria	L	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Internacional	W	3 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Botafogo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Franclim Carvalho

12 Batista

13 Telles

33 Monzon

3 Chaves

2 Vitinho

8 Santos

75 Huguinho

10 Montoro

88 Edenilson

7 Santos

19 Cabral

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Gabriel Batista	G
2	Vitinho	D
3	Arthur Chaves	D
33	L. Monzon	D
13	Alex Telles	D
75	Huguinho	M
8	Danilo Santos	M
7	Junior Santos	M
88	Edenilson	M
10	A. Montoro	M
19	Arthur Cabral	F

Substitutes

17	Warleson	G
29	Paulinho	D
21	Marcal	D
42	Kadu Santos	D
25	Allan	M
91	D. Andrade	M
34	G. Justino	D
59	Kauan Toledo	M
9	Tiquinho Soares	F
90	Danilo Pereira	F
77	L. M. Villalba Jaume	F
79	L. E. Jales do Nascimento	F

Gremio

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luiz Scolari

1 Weverton

38 Paulista

82 Wallace

6 Martins

27 Caito

20 Villasanti

8 Noriega

77 Cabral

10 Krovinovic

7 Pavon

95 Vinicius

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Weverton	G
27	Diego Caito	D
6	Gustavo Martins	D
82	Wallace	D
38	Caio Paulista	D
8	E. Noriega	M
20	M. Villasanti	M
7	C. Pavon	M
10	F. Krovinovic	M
77	J. Cabral	M
95	Carlos Vinicius	F

Substitutes

12	Gabriel Grando	G
31	G. Menegon	G
14	Marcos Rocha	D
18	Joao Pedro	D
4	Walter Kannemann	D
3	Wagner Leonardo	D
5	J. Nardoni	M
15	Danilo Barbosa	M
22	M. Braithwaite	F
99	J. Enamorado	F
11	Tete	F
30	Matheus Nascimento	F