Botafogo vs Gremio Prognose

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 21
FT
Post on X
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Botafogo
52%
27%
21%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Botafogo vs. Gremio Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Botafogo eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 52%, für Gremio 21% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 17 Sep 2026, 09:00.

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Timeline

Danilo Santos assist: Álvaro Montoro
30' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 36'
Jovane Cabral
HT 1–1
Lucas Monzón ⇄ Gabriel Justino
46' ⇄
Edenilson ⇄ Danilo
46' ⇄
Álvaro Montoro assist: Vitinho
52' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 60'
Jovane Cabral ⇄ José Enamorado
⇄ 66'
Filip Krovinović ⇄ Martin Braithwaite
Júnior Santos ⇄ Marçal
73' ⇄
▮ 78'
Mathias Villasanti Yellow Card
⇄ 78'
Cristian Pavón ⇄ Tetê
⇄ 78'
Erick Noriega ⇄ Matheus Nascimento
Danilo Santos assist: Álvaro Montoro
79' ⚽ 3–1
Álvaro Montoro ⇄ Allan
85' ⇄
Arthur Cabral ⇄ Tiquinho Soares
86' ⇄
⚽ 3–2 88'
Gustavo Martins assist: Tetê
🖵 90+3'
Carlos Vinícius Goal cancelled
Danilo Santos Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
🖵 90+7'
Matheus Nascimento Card reviewed
FT 3–2
Botafogo

Match Stats

Gremio
36% Ball Possession 64%
0.89 Expected Goals (xG) 0.57
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 8
1 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
368 Total passes 646
286 Passes accurate 571
78% Passes % 88%
-2.03 goals_prevented -2.03
Botafogo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Álvaro Montoro M 8.9 79' 1 2 2 31 (22%) 1
8 Danilo Santos M 8.7 100' 2 – 3 48 (36%) –
75 Huguinho M 7.2 100' – – – 38 (36%) 3
2 Vitinho D 7.0 100' – 1 1 33 (29%) 6
7 Júnior Santos M 6.9 73' – – 1 15 (12%) –
13 Alex Telles D 6.7 100' – – 1 31 (22%) 1
88 Edenilson M 6.7 45' – – – 20 (15%) –
9 Tiquinho Soares F 6.7 14' – – – 5 (5%) 1
34 Gabriel Justino D 6.5 55' – – – 11 (7%) –
33 Lucas Monzón D 6.5 45' – – – 25 (23%) –
90 Danilo F 6.5 55' – – – 9 (6%) –
21 Marçal D 6.3 27' – – – 6 (4%) 1
25 Allan M 6.3 21' – – – 3 (3%) –
3 Arthur Chaves D 6.0 100' – – – 46 (42%) –
12 Gabriel Batista G 5.9 100' – – – 28 (12%) –
19 Arthur Cabral F 5.6 86' – – 1 19 (12%) –
Gremio
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
77 Jovane Cabral M 7.7 59' 1 – 3 31 (29%) 1
6 Gustavo Martins D 7.6 100' 1 – 2 82 (73%) 2
99 José Enamorado F 7.0 41' – – – 18 (17%) –
11 Tetê F 6.9 22' – 1 – 10 (6%) –
95 Carlos Vinícius F 6.7 100' – – 3 15 (12%) –
22 Martin Braithwaite F 6.7 34' – – – 6 (5%) –
10 Filip Krovinović M 6.7 66' – – 1 43 (39%) –
7 Cristian Pavón M 6.5 78' – – – 54 (47%) 2
30 Matheus Nascimento F 6.5 22' – – – 8 (6%) –
82 Wallace D 6.3 100' – – – 79 (76%) 1
27 Diego Caito D 6.3 100' – – 1 73 (64%) 1
20 Mathias Villasanti M 6.2 100' – – – 83 (75%) 1
8 Erick Noriega M 6.2 78' – – 1 54 (47%) 1
38 Caio Paulista D 5.9 100' – – – 55 (47%) 1
1 Weverton G 5.7 100' – – – 35 (28%) –
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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Botafogo
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Botafogo
LWDDL
Gremio
DLLLW
Last 3 meetings Botafogo · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
52%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
21%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Botafogo
Danilo Santos 9 gls
Arthur Cabral 7 gls
Gremio
Carlos Vinícius 10 gls

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Head to Head: Botafogo vs Gremio

1 Botafogo Wins
1 Draws
1 Gremio Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Feb 2026 Gremio 5 - 3 Botafogo
22 Nov 2025 Botafogo 3 - 2 Gremio
24 Sep 2025 Gremio 1 - 1 Botafogo
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Botafogo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Mirassol L 2 - 0
16 Sep H Gremio W 3 - 2
12 Sep H RB Bragantino D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Palmeiras D 0 - 0
30 Aug A Flamengo L 3 - 0

Gremio — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Palmeiras D 0 - 0
16 Sep A Botafogo L 3 - 2
12 Sep H Vasco DA Gama L 1 - 2
07 Sep A Vitoria L 1 - 0
03 Sep H Internacional W 3 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Botafogo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Franclim Carvalho
12 Batista
13 Telles
33 Monzon
3 Chaves
2 Vitinho
8 Santos
75 Huguinho
10 Montoro
88 Edenilson
7 Santos
19 Cabral

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Gabriel Batista G
2 Vitinho D
3 Arthur Chaves D
33 L. Monzon D
13 Alex Telles D
75 Huguinho M
8 Danilo Santos M
7 Junior Santos M
88 Edenilson M
10 A. Montoro M
19 Arthur Cabral F

Substitutes

17 Warleson G
29 Paulinho D
21 Marcal D
42 Kadu Santos D
25 Allan M
91 D. Andrade M
34 G. Justino D
59 Kauan Toledo M
9 Tiquinho Soares F
90 Danilo Pereira F
77 L. M. Villalba Jaume F
79 L. E. Jales do Nascimento F

Gremio

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luiz Scolari
1 Weverton
38 Paulista
82 Wallace
6 Martins
27 Caito
20 Villasanti
8 Noriega
77 Cabral
10 Krovinovic
7 Pavon
95 Vinicius

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Weverton G
27 Diego Caito D
6 Gustavo Martins D
82 Wallace D
38 Caio Paulista D
8 E. Noriega M
20 M. Villasanti M
7 C. Pavon M
10 F. Krovinovic M
77 J. Cabral M
95 Carlos Vinicius F

Substitutes

12 Gabriel Grando G
31 G. Menegon G
14 Marcos Rocha D
18 Joao Pedro D
4 Walter Kannemann D
3 Wagner Leonardo D
5 J. Nardoni M
15 Danilo Barbosa M
22 M. Braithwaite F
99 J. Enamorado F
11 Tete F
30 Matheus Nascimento F

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