Inter vs AS Roma Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 31
FT
Post on X
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Inter
64%
22%
14%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Inter vs AS Roma: Sportiko assegna a Inter una probabilità di vittoria del 64%, a AS Roma del 14% e al pareggio del 22%. Ultimo aggiornamento 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Inter produced a clinical performance at home to dismantle AS Roma 5–2 in Serie A matchday 31, despite the visitors dominating large portions of the contest. Lautaro Martínez set the tone with a goal inside the opening minute, and although Roma pulled level before the interval, Hakan Çalhanoğlu restored Inter's advantage just before half-time to make it 2–1 at the break. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Inter win as the most likely outcome at 64%, and the Nerazzurri duly delivered.

The second half belonged entirely to Inter, who struck twice in quick succession through Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram to effectively end the contest as a competitive affair. Both scorers were withdrawn before the hour mark, a luxury afforded by the comfortable cushion Inter had built. Roma added a late consolation goal, but the damage had long been done.

The result was particularly striking given the underlying statistics, which heavily favoured Roma — the visitors held 56% possession, registered 17 total shots and nine on target compared to Inter's three. Inter's ruthless efficiency in front of goal proved the decisive factor.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Lautaro Martínez assist: Marcus Thuram
1' 1–0
1–1 40'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
45' 2–1
HT 2–1
46'
Lautaro Martínez assist: Marcus Thuram
52' 3–1
Marcus Thuram assist: Hakan Çalhanoğlu
55' 4–1
58'
Lautaro Martínez ⇄ Ange-Yoan Bonny
58'
58'
60'
Yellow Card
63' 5–1
64'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu ⇄ Petar Sučić
66'
Marcus Thuram
67'
5–2 70'
76'
81'
FT 5–2
Inter

Match Stats

AS Roma
56% Ball Possession 44%
1.51 Expected Goals (xG) 0.96
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 1
13 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 3
7 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
508 Total passes 405
437 Passes accurate 342
86% Passes % 84%
-2.46 goals_prevented -2.46
Inter
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Marcus Thuram F 9.3 66' 1 2 2 15 (9%)
20 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M 8.7 67' 1 1 2 45 (41%) 3
10 Lautaro Martínez F 8.7 58' 2 3 7 (5%) 1
23 Nicolò Barella M 8.0 90' 1 1 61 (53%) 1
14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F 7.7 32' 11 (9%) 1
7 Piotr Zieliński M 7.5 76' 1 1 44 (37%) 4
25 Manuel Akanji D 7.2 90' 50 (46%) 3
1 Yann Sommer G 6.9 90' 55 (42%)
32 Federico Dimarco M 6.9 90' 43 (36%) 2
8 Petar Sučić M 6.3 23' 21 (21%) 1
15 Francesco Acerbi D 6.3 90' 54 (52%) 1
36 Matteo Darmian D 6.3 32' 20 (18%)
22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M 6.3 14' 18 (16%)
2 D. Dumfries M 6.2 90' 2 15 (12%)
95 Alessandro Bastoni D 6.2 58' 1 37 (31%) 5
94 Francesco Pio Esposito F 6.2 24' 1 12 (9%)
AS Roma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini F 7.6 90' 1 2 28 (21%) 1
14 D. Malen F 6.9 90' 3 13 (12%)
4 Bryan Cristante M 6.9 90' 46 (36%) 4
18 Matías Soulé F 6.9 64' 1 24 (21%)
19 Zeki Çelik M 6.7 90' 32 (27%) 1
23 Gianluca Mancini D 6.6 45' 1 1 29 (26%) 1
2 Devyne Rensch M 6.6 58' 1 21 (17%)
92 Stephan El Shaarawy F 6.6 26' 12 (11%)
24 Jan Ziółkowski D 6.6 9' 3 (2%) 1
61 Niccolò Pisilli M 6.5 90' 48 (41%) 2
12 Konstantinos Tsimikas D 6.5 32' 1 13 (11%)
87 Daniele Ghilardi D 6.0 45' 21 (19%) 1
5 Evan Ndicka D 5.2 90' 44 (39%) 1
99 Mile Svilar G 5.2 90' 29 (22%)
22 Mario Hermoso D 5.2 81' 42 (37%) 1
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Inter
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Inter
DWLWW
AS Roma
DWDWW
Last 3 meetings Inter · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Inter will host AS Roma in a crucial Serie A clash on April 4, 2026. Inter currently has a strong home record, showcasing a 75% win rate at the San Siro this season, while Roma struggles on the road with a 40% win rate away from home. The key matchup will be Inter’s robust defense, which has conceded only 0.8 goals per game, against Roma’s attack averaging 1.5 goals per game. Additionally, Inter’s midfield control, led by their playmaker, will be pivotal in dictating the tempo. Expect a tactical battle as both teams vie for vital points in their pursuit of European qualification.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Inter
Lautaro Martínez 4 gls
M. Thuram 2 gls
F. Esposito 2 gls
AS Roma
D. Malen 6 gls
M. Soulé 2 gls

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Head to Head: Inter vs AS Roma

1 Inter Wins
1 Draws
1 AS Roma Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Sep 2026 AS Roma 2 - 2 Inter
18 Oct 2025 AS Roma 0 - 1 Inter
27 Apr 2025 Inter 0 - 1 AS Roma
Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Inter — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A AS Roma D 2 - 2
14 Sep H Udinese W 5 - 3
08 Sep A Real Madrid L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Napoli W 3 - 2
30 Aug A Cagliari W 0 - 1

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Inter D 2 - 2
14 Sep A Torino W 0 - 2
10 Sep A Fenerbahçe D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Atalanta W 2 - 1
31 Aug A Lecce W 0 - 4

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

AS Roma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
99 Svilar
22 Hermoso
5 Ndicka
23 Mancini
2 Rensch
61 Pisilli
4 Cristante
19 Celik
7 Pellegrini
18 Soule
14 Malen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 M. Hermoso D
19 Z. Celik M
4 B. Cristante M
61 N. Pisilli M
2 D. Rensch M
18 M. Soule F
7 L. Pellegrini F
14 D. Malen F

Substitutes

70 G. De Marzi G
95 P. Gollini G
92 S. El Shaarawy F
12 K. Tsimikas D
97 B. Zaragoza F
24 J. Ziolkowski D
78 R. Vaz F
3 Angelino D
87 D. Ghilardi D
8 N. El Aynaoui M
20 L. Venturino F

Inter

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Cristian Chivu
1 Sommer
95 Bastoni
15 Acerbi
25 Akanji
32 Dimarco
7 Zielinski
20 Calhanoglu
23 Barella
2 Dumfries
10 Martinez
9 Thuram

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Y. Sommer G
25 M. Akanji D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Calhanoglu M
7 P. Zielinski M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
10 L. Martinez F

Substitutes

12 R. Di Gennaro G
13 J. Martinez G
36 M. Darmian D
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
6 S. de Vrij D
16 D. Frattesi M
17 A. Diouf M
94 F. Esposito F
8 P. Sucic M
43 M. Cocchi D
11 Luis Henrique F
14 A. Bonny F

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