Inter vs AS Roma Prognose
Inter vs. AS Roma Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Inter eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 64%, für AS Roma 14% und für ein Unentschieden 22%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Match Report
Inter produced a clinical performance at home to dismantle AS Roma 5–2 in Serie A matchday 31, despite the visitors dominating large portions of the contest. Lautaro Martínez set the tone with a goal inside the opening minute, and although Roma pulled level before the interval, Hakan Çalhanoğlu restored Inter's advantage just before half-time to make it 2–1 at the break. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Inter win as the most likely outcome at 64%, and the Nerazzurri duly delivered.
The second half belonged entirely to Inter, who struck twice in quick succession through Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram to effectively end the contest as a competitive affair. Both scorers were withdrawn before the hour mark, a luxury afforded by the comfortable cushion Inter had built. Roma added a late consolation goal, but the damage had long been done.
The result was particularly striking given the underlying statistics, which heavily favoured Roma — the visitors held 56% possession, registered 17 total shots and nine on target compared to Inter's three. Inter's ruthless efficiency in front of goal proved the decisive factor.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Inter
Match Stats
Inter
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Marcus Thuram F | 9.3 | 66' | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 (9%) | – |
| 20 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M | 8.7 | 67' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 45 (41%) | 3 |
| 10 Lautaro Martínez F | 8.7 | 58' | 2 | – | 3 | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 23 Nicolò Barella M | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 61 (53%) | 1 |
| 14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F | 7.7 | 32' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 7 Piotr Zieliński M | 7.5 | 76' | – | 1 | 1 | 44 (37%) | 4 |
| 25 Manuel Akanji D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | 3 |
| 1 Yann Sommer G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (42%) | – |
| 32 Federico Dimarco M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (36%) | 2 |
| 8 Petar Sučić M | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 21 (21%) | 1 |
| 15 Francesco Acerbi D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (52%) | 1 |
| 36 Matteo Darmian D | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | – |
| 2 D. Dumfries M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 95 Alessandro Bastoni D | 6.2 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 37 (31%) | 5 |
| 94 Francesco Pio Esposito F | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | – |
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Lorenzo Pellegrini F | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 28 (21%) | 1 |
| 14 D. Malen F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 4 Bryan Cristante M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (36%) | 4 |
| 18 Matías Soulé F | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 24 (21%) | – |
| 19 Zeki Çelik M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 1 |
| 23 Gianluca Mancini D | 6.6 | 45' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 2 Devyne Rensch M | 6.6 | 58' | – | 1 | – | 21 (17%) | – |
| 92 Stephan El Shaarawy F | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 24 Jan Ziółkowski D | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (41%) | 2 |
| 12 Konstantinos Tsimikas D | 6.5 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 87 Daniele Ghilardi D | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 5 Evan Ndicka D | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (39%) | 1 |
| 99 Mile Svilar G | 5.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
| 22 Mario Hermoso D | 5.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 42 (37%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Lautaro Martínez
4 gls
M. Thuram
2 gls
F. Esposito
2 gls
D. Malen
6 gls
M. Soulé
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Inter vs AS Roma
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | AS Roma | 2 - 2 | Inter |
| 18 Oct 2025 | AS Roma | 0 - 1 | Inter |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Inter | 0 - 1 | AS Roma |
Inter — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A AS Roma | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | H Udinese | W | 5 - 3 |
| 08 Sep | A Real Madrid | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Napoli | W | 3 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | A Cagliari | W | 0 - 1 |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Inter | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A Torino | W | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | A Fenerbahçe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Atalanta | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A Lecce | W | 0 - 4 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | M. Svilar | G |
| 23 | G. Mancini | D |
| 5 | E. Ndicka | D |
| 22 | M. Hermoso | D |
| 19 | Z. Celik | M |
| 4 | B. Cristante | M |
| 61 | N. Pisilli | M |
| 2 | D. Rensch | M |
| 18 | M. Soule | F |
| 7 | L. Pellegrini | F |
| 14 | D. Malen | F |
Substitutes
| 70 | G. De Marzi | G |
| 95 | P. Gollini | G |
| 92 | S. El Shaarawy | F |
| 12 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 97 | B. Zaragoza | F |
| 24 | J. Ziolkowski | D |
| 78 | R. Vaz | F |
| 3 | Angelino | D |
| 87 | D. Ghilardi | D |
| 8 | N. El Aynaoui | M |
| 20 | L. Venturino | F |
Inter
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Cristian Chivu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Y. Sommer | G |
| 25 | M. Akanji | D |
| 15 | F. Acerbi | D |
| 95 | A. Bastoni | D |
| 2 | D. Dumfries | M |
| 23 | N. Barella | M |
| 20 | H. Calhanoglu | M |
| 7 | P. Zielinski | M |
| 32 | F. Dimarco | M |
| 9 | M. Thuram | F |
| 10 | L. Martinez | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | R. Di Gennaro | G |
| 13 | J. Martinez | G |
| 36 | M. Darmian | D |
| 22 | H. Mkhitaryan | M |
| 6 | S. de Vrij | D |
| 16 | D. Frattesi | M |
| 17 | A. Diouf | M |
| 94 | F. Esposito | F |
| 8 | P. Sucic | M |
| 43 | M. Cocchi | D |
| 11 | Luis Henrique | F |
| 14 | A. Bonny | F |