VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Previsione

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
MHPArena, Stuttgart
Previsione AI Troppo equilibrato per una previsione
40%
25%
36%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: Sportiko assegna a VfB Stuttgart una probabilità di vittoria del 40%, a Borussia Dortmund del 36% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 19 Sep 2026, 18:24.

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  • Under 4.5 72%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 71%
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Timeline

Ermedin Demirović Yellow Card
13'
Angelo Stiller Yellow Card
17'
32'
Nico Schlotterbeck Yellow Card
HT 0–0
46'
Joey Veerman Yellow Card
57'
Joane Gadou Yellow Card
62'
Joey Veerman ⇄ Jobe Bellingham
62'
Ethan Nwaneri ⇄ Konstantinos Karetsas
Chris Führich ⇄ Jamie Leweling
64'
Deniz Undav ⇄ Dženan Pejčinović
64'
0–1 70'
Maximilian Beier assist: Jobe Bellingham
74'
Serhou Guirassy ⇄ Fábio Silva
81'
Jobe Bellingham Yellow Card
82'
Julian Ryerson Yellow Card
82'
Maximilian Beier ⇄ Marcel Sabitzer
82'
Julian Ryerson ⇄ Ramy Bensebaini
Bilal El Khannouss ⇄ L. Sauer
84'
Grischa Prömel ⇄ Nikolas Nartey
84'
FT 0–1
VfB Stuttgart

Match Stats

Borussia Dortmund
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 3
6 Corner Kicks 2
4 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
542 Total passes 431
472 Passes accurate 333
14 Free Kicks 9
VfB Stuttgart
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Maximilian Mittelstädt D 8.0 90' 2 68 (62%)
24 Jeff Chabot D 7.2 90' 44 (41%) 2
6 Angelo Stiller M 6.9 90' 80 (74%)
29 Finn Jeltsch D 6.8 90' 60 (55%) 2
11 Bilal El Khannouss M 6.7 84' 3 33 (30%) 1
18 Jamie Leweling F 6.6 26' 11 (10%)
4 Josha Vagnoman M 6.5 90' 2 51 (42%)
1 Fabian Bredlow G 6.5 90' 43 (35%)
17 Dženan Pejčinović F 6.5 26' 1 14 (9%)
10 Chris Führich M 6.4 64' 34 (29%) 3
28 Nikolas Nartey M 6.4 6' 10 (9%)
44 L. Sauer F 6.3 6' 1 3 (1%)
21 Grischa Prömel M 6.2 84' 1 50 (43%) 1
26 Deniz Undav M 6.1 64' 1 21 (16%)
9 Ermedin Demirović F 6.0 90' 1 15 (12%) 1
Borussia Dortmund
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Maximilian Beier M 7.9 82' 1 3 19 (14%) 3
1 Gregor Kobel G 7.6 90' 38 (19%)
3 Waldemar Anton D 7.3 90' 46 (39%) 1
25 Joey Veerman M 7.2 62' 1 55 (48%) 2
19 Konstantinos Karetsas M 7.2 28' 2 6 (5%) 1
8 Felix Nmecha M 7.1 90' 1 42 (39%) 3
22 Joane Gadou D 7.1 90' 38 (34%) 1
5 Ramy Bensebaini D 7.0 8' 4 (1%)
7 Jobe Bellingham M 6.9 28' 1 8 (4%) 1
18 Ethan Nwaneri M 6.8 62' 1 23 (19%)
4 Nico Schlotterbeck D 6.7 90' 1 59 (44%) 1
20 Marcel Sabitzer M 6.7 8' 3 (2%)
24 Daniel Svensson M 6.5 90' 33 (27%) 2
21 Fábio Silva F 6.5 16' 1 6 (3%)
26 Julian Ryerson M 6.4 82' 29 (21%)
9 Serhou Guirassy F 6.3 74' 3 20 (15%)
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Troppo equilibrato per una previsione
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VfB Stuttgart
LLWWL
Borussia Dortmund
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings VfB Stuttgart · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, VfB Stuttgart faces Borussia Dortmund with both teams aiming to capitalize on their attacking capabilities. Stuttgart has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Dortmund has been prolific in their away matches, scoring 2.4 goals per game. Defensively, Stuttgart has struggled, conceding 1.5 goals per match compared to Dortmund's relatively tighter defense at 1.2 goals conceded. The matchup could hinge on Stuttgart's ability to contain Dortmund's offensive threats, particularly their fast-paced transitions and set-piece efficiency. Expect a high-tempo contest with both teams looking to secure crucial points early in the season.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Borussia Dortmund leads 0-1. Win probability: 80.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 19.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 81.6%. Over 1.5 remaining: 55.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
36%
10%

Most likely scores

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Players in form

VfB Stuttgart
J. Vagnoman 2 gls
Borussia Dortmund
S. Guirassy 2 gls
F. Nmecha 2 gls

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Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

1 VfB Stuttgart Wins
1 Draws
1 Borussia Dortmund Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Apr 2026 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund
22 Nov 2025 Borussia Dortmund 3 - 3 VfB Stuttgart
08 Feb 2025 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 2 VfB Stuttgart
Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Borussia Dortmund L 0 - 1
12 Sep A 1899 Hoffenheim L 2 - 1
09 Sep H Viking W 3 - 1
04 Sep H 1. FC Köln W 4 - 1
28 Aug A Bayern München L 5 - 1

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A VfB Stuttgart W 0 - 1
12 Sep H SC Paderborn 07 W 3 - 0
08 Sep H Villarreal W 3 - 2
05 Sep A 1899 Hoffenheim W 2 - 3
01 Sep A HEBC W 0 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Borussia Dortmund

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: N. Kovač
1 Kobel
4 Schlotterbeck
3 Anton
22 Gadou
24 Svensson
8 Nmecha
25 Veerman
26 Ryerson
14 Beier
18 Nwaneri
9 Guirassy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 G. Kobel G
22 Kouakou Joane Gadou D
3 W. Anton D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
26 J. Ryerson M
25 J. Veerman M
8 F. Nmecha M
24 D. Svensson M
18 E. Nwaneri M
14 M. Beier M
9 S. Guirassy F

Substitutes

17 C. Chukwuemeka M
40 S. Inacio F
19 K. Karetsas M
33 A. Meyer G
49 L. Reggiani D
20 M. Sabitzer M
21 Fábio Silva F
7 J. Bellingham M
5 R. Bensebaïni D

VfB Stuttgart

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: S. Hoeneb
1 Bredlow
7 Mittelstädt
24 Chabot
29 Jeltsch
10 Führich
6 Stiller
21 Prömel
4 Vagnoman
26 Undav
11 Khannouss
9 Demirović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Bredlow G
29 Finn Jeltsch D
24 J. Chabot D
7 M. Mittelstädt D
4 J. Vagnoman M
21 G. Prömel M
6 A. Stiller M
10 C. Führich M
11 B. El Khannouss M
26 D. Undav M
9 E. Demirović F

Substitutes

28 N. Nartey M
17 D. Pejčinović F
44 L. Sauer F
2 A. Al Dakhil D
33 M. Funk G
3 R. Hendriks D
47 Y. Spalt D
16 A. Karazor M
18 J. Leweling F

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