VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prognose
FT
MHPArena, Stuttgart
KI-Tipp
Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose
40%
25%
36%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Dortmund Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für VfB Stuttgart eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 40%, für Borussia Dortmund 36% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 18:24.
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- 1st Half Home or Draw 71%
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Timeline
Ermedin Demirović
Yellow Card
13'
▮
Angelo Stiller
Yellow Card
17'
▮
▮
32'
Nico Schlotterbeck
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
▮
46'
Joey Veerman
Yellow Card
▮
57'
Joane Gadou
Yellow Card
⇄
62'
Joey Veerman
⇄ Jobe Bellingham
⇄
62'
Ethan Nwaneri
⇄ Konstantinos Karetsas
Chris Führich
⇄ Jamie Leweling
64'
⇄
Deniz Undav
⇄ Dženan Pejčinović
64'
⇄
⚽
0–1
70'
Maximilian Beier
assist: Jobe Bellingham
⇄
74'
Serhou Guirassy
⇄ Fábio Silva
▮
81'
Jobe Bellingham
Yellow Card
▮
82'
Julian Ryerson
Yellow Card
⇄
82'
Maximilian Beier
⇄ Marcel Sabitzer
⇄
82'
Julian Ryerson
⇄ Ramy Bensebaini
Bilal El Khannouss
⇄ L. Sauer
84'
⇄
Grischa Prömel
⇄ Nikolas Nartey
84'
⇄
FT 0–1
VfB Stuttgart
Match Stats
Borussia Dortmund
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots off Goal
6
1
Blocked Shots
5
8
Shots insidebox
10
4
Shots outsidebox
3
6
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
542
Total passes
431
472
Passes accurate
333
14
Free Kicks
9
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Maximilian Mittelstädt D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 68 (62%) | – |
| 24 Jeff Chabot D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (41%) | 2 |
| 6 Angelo Stiller M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 80 (74%) | – |
| 29 Finn Jeltsch D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (55%) | 2 |
| 11 Bilal El Khannouss M | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | 3 | 33 (30%) | 1 |
| 18 Jamie Leweling F | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
| 4 Josha Vagnoman M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 51 (42%) | – |
| 1 Fabian Bredlow G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (35%) | – |
| 17 Dženan Pejčinović F | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 10 Chris Führich M | 6.4 | 64' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 3 |
| 28 Nikolas Nartey M | 6.4 | 6' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 44 L. Sauer F | 6.3 | 6' | – | – | 1 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 21 Grischa Prömel M | 6.2 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 50 (43%) | 1 |
| 26 Deniz Undav M | 6.1 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 21 (16%) | – |
| 9 Ermedin Demirović F | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Maximilian Beier M | 7.9 | 82' | 1 | – | 3 | 19 (14%) | 3 |
| 1 Gregor Kobel G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (19%) | – |
| 3 Waldemar Anton D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (39%) | 1 |
| 25 Joey Veerman M | 7.2 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 55 (48%) | 2 |
| 19 Konstantinos Karetsas M | 7.2 | 28' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 8 Felix Nmecha M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (39%) | 3 |
| 22 Joane Gadou D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 5 Ramy Bensebaini D | 7.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 7 Jobe Bellingham M | 6.9 | 28' | – | 1 | – | 8 (4%) | 1 |
| 18 Ethan Nwaneri M | 6.8 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 23 (19%) | – |
| 4 Nico Schlotterbeck D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (44%) | 1 |
| 20 Marcel Sabitzer M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 24 Daniel Svensson M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 2 |
| 21 Fábio Silva F | 6.5 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 6 (3%) | – |
| 26 Julian Ryerson M | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | – | 29 (21%) | – |
| 9 Serhou Guirassy F | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 3 | 20 (15%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
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VfB Stuttgart
LLWWL
Borussia Dortmund
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings
VfB Stuttgart · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, VfB Stuttgart faces Borussia Dortmund with both teams aiming to capitalize on their attacking capabilities. Stuttgart has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Dortmund has been prolific in their away matches, scoring 2.4 goals per game. Defensively, Stuttgart has struggled, conceding 1.5 goals per match compared to Dortmund's relatively tighter defense at 1.2 goals conceded. The matchup could hinge on Stuttgart's ability to contain Dortmund's offensive threats, particularly their fast-paced transitions and set-piece efficiency. Expect a high-tempo contest with both teams looking to secure crucial points early in the season.
Live insights
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Borussia Dortmund leads 0-1. Win probability: 80.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 19.1%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 81.6%. Over 1.5 remaining: 55.1%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
40%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
36%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
VfB Stuttgart
J. Vagnoman
2 gls
Borussia Dortmund
S. Guirassy
2 gls
F. Nmecha
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
1
VfB Stuttgart Wins
1
Draws
1
Borussia Dortmund Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr 2026 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 - 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 2 | VfB Stuttgart |
VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Borussia Dortmund | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A 1899 Hoffenheim | L | 2 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Viking | W | 3 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H 1. FC Köln | W | 4 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | A Bayern München | L | 5 - 1 |
Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A VfB Stuttgart | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H SC Paderborn 07 | W | 3 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Villarreal | W | 3 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A 1899 Hoffenheim | W | 2 - 3 |
| 01 Sep | A HEBC | W | 0 - 5 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Borussia Dortmund
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: N. Kovač
1
Kobel
4
Schlotterbeck
3
Anton
22
Gadou
24
Svensson
8
Nmecha
25
Veerman
26
Ryerson
14
Beier
18
Nwaneri
9
Guirassy
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Kobel | G |
| 22 | Kouakou Joane Gadou | D |
| 3 | W. Anton | D |
| 4 | N. Schlotterbeck | D |
| 26 | J. Ryerson | M |
| 25 | J. Veerman | M |
| 8 | F. Nmecha | M |
| 24 | D. Svensson | M |
| 18 | E. Nwaneri | M |
| 14 | M. Beier | M |
| 9 | S. Guirassy | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | C. Chukwuemeka | M |
| 40 | S. Inacio | F |
| 19 | K. Karetsas | M |
| 33 | A. Meyer | G |
| 49 | L. Reggiani | D |
| 20 | M. Sabitzer | M |
| 21 | Fábio Silva | F |
| 7 | J. Bellingham | M |
| 5 | R. Bensebaïni | D |
VfB Stuttgart
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: S. Hoeneb
1
Bredlow
7
Mittelstädt
24
Chabot
29
Jeltsch
10
Führich
6
Stiller
21
Prömel
4
Vagnoman
26
Undav
11
Khannouss
9
Demirović
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Bredlow | G |
| 29 | Finn Jeltsch | D |
| 24 | J. Chabot | D |
| 7 | M. Mittelstädt | D |
| 4 | J. Vagnoman | M |
| 21 | G. Prömel | M |
| 6 | A. Stiller | M |
| 10 | C. Führich | M |
| 11 | B. El Khannouss | M |
| 26 | D. Undav | M |
| 9 | E. Demirović | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | N. Nartey | M |
| 17 | D. Pejčinović | F |
| 44 | L. Sauer | F |
| 2 | A. Al Dakhil | D |
| 33 | M. Funk | G |
| 3 | R. Hendriks | D |
| 47 | Y. Spalt | D |
| 16 | A. Karazor | M |
| 18 | J. Leweling | F |