VPS vs KuPS Predviđanje

Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 25

Post on X

VPS

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 2

KuPS

Away

Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa

AI predikcija KuPS ili neriješeno

28%

29%

43%

Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: VPS vs KuPS: Sportiko procjenjuje da VPS ima 28% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, KuPS 43%, a neriješeno 29%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 19 Sep 2026, 15:55.

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Više od 1,5 golova 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 29'

T. Jyry

⚽ 0–2 35'

J. Luyeye-Lutumba assist: P. Pennanen

Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 0–2

M. Niemi Yellow Card

56' ▮

▮ 60'

A. Aiki Yellow Card

⇄ 62'

A. Aiki ⇄ K. Adams

⇄ 62'

P. Pennanen ⇄ S. Touray

Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi Yellow Card

69' ▮

⇄ 70'

B. Magassa ⇄ T. Hämäläinen

Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima ⇄ A. Räisänen

72' ⇄

Y. Daoussi ⇄ X. Odhiambo

72' ⇄

L. Mane Yellow Card

77' ▮

S. Lindholm ⇄ C. Holmelund

79' ⇄

M. Niemi ⇄ J. Vahtera

79' ⇄

⇄ 90'

T. Jyry ⇄ S. Pasanen

E. Okereke Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 0–2

VPS

Match Stats

KuPS

63% Ball Possession 37%

17 Total Shots 7

1 Shots on Goal 4

7 Shots off Goal 2

9 Blocked Shots 1

12 Shots insidebox 3

5 Shots outsidebox 4

10 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 0

17 Fouls 8

5 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

399 Total passes 429

300 Passes accurate 317

7 Free Kicks 17

VPS

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Y. Daoussi D	6.7	72'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	–
19 M. Haukioja D	6.6	90'	–	–	2	51 (37%)	–
14 S. Lindholm M	6.5	79'	–	–	1	14 (10%)	2
20 X. Odhiambo F	6.4	18'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan M	6.3	90'	–	–	4	35 (26%)	1
9 C. Holmelund F	6.2	11'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
41 M. Jalloh G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	41 (27%)	–
13 Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi F	6.1	90'	–	–	4	31 (24%)	–
8 Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima M	6.1	72'	–	–	2	30 (24%)	–
34 A. Räisänen M	6.0	18'	–	–	1	14 (11%)	–
30 J. Vahtera M	6.0	11'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
6 E. Okereke D	5.9	90'	–	–	2	39 (34%)	–
3 Razak Simpson D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	37 (26%)	3
2 L. Mane M	5.7	90'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	–
23 M. Niemi D	5.6	79'	–	–	1	24 (17%)	1

KuPS

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba M	8.2	90'	1	–	2	16 (14%)	3
16 T. Jyry M	8.2	90'	1	–	1	31 (25%)	2
23 A. Lötjönen D	7.4	90'	–	–	–	53 (45%)	–
28 B. Magassa D	7.4	70'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	1
8 P. Pennanen M	7.2	62'	–	1	1	33 (24%)	–
4 K. Adams D	7.2	28'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	1
33 T. Hämäläinen D	7.1	20'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
22 S. Touray M	6.9	28'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	–
6 S. Savolainen D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	33 (24%)	3
1 J. Kreidl G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	49 (27%)	–
10 V. Gasc M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	43 (36%)	1
25 C. Antwi D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	49 (33%)	–
11 J. Moreno F	6.4	90'	–	–	2	22 (12%)	–
15 A. Aiki M	6.3	62'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Naša prednost

KuPS ili neriješeno

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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VPS

LLWLW

KuPS

WDDLW

Last 1 meetings VPS · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: KuPS leads 0-2. Win probability: 98.9%. Comeback chance: 1.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. KuPS leads. Win probability: 93.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.5%.

38' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. KuPS win: 75.2%. BTTS: 100%.

36' Goal 85% sure

KuPS now leads 0-2 with 92.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.6%.

29' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. KuPS win: 74.1%. BTTS: 54.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KuPS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ VPS goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Players in form

VPS

L. Smyth 5 gls

KuPS

J. Moreno 5 gls

J. Luyeye-Lutumba 3 gls

B. Armah 3 gls

P. Pennanen 2 gls

G. Engvall 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	9.2%	7.9%	3.9%	1.4%
1	6.8%	14.0%	9.1%	4.5%	1.6%
2	4.8%	7.1%	5.2%	2.6%	0.9%
3	1.9%	2.7%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	VPS	Draw	KuPS
VPS	17.0%	4.0%	1.6%
Draw	10.3%	18.2%	12.6%
KuPS	1.7%	5.0%	29.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: VPS vs KuPS

0 VPS Wins

0 Draws

1 KuPS Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jul 2026	KuPS	3 - 1	VPS

VPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H KuPS	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H AC Oulu	W	1 - 0
31 Aug	H Lahti	L	0 - 1
22 Aug	A Ilves	W	0 - 1

KuPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VPS	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	0 - 0
08 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
27 Aug	H Shamrock Rovers	W	1 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

KuPS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Nuutinen

1 Kreidl

25 Antwi

23 Lötjönen

28 Magassa

6 Savolainen

8 Pennanen

10 Gasc

15 Aiki

16 Jyry

21 Luyeye-Lutumba

11 Moreno

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Kreidl	G
6	S. Savolainen	D
28	B. Magassa	D
23	A. Lötjönen	D
25	C. Antwi	D
10	V. Gasc	M
8	P. Pennanen	M
21	J. Luyeye-Lutumba	M
16	T. Jyry	M
15	A. Aiki	M
11	J. Moreno	F

Substitutes

19	C. Kabuye	F
13	N. Kujasalo	M
14	S. Pasanen	M
29	A. Puukko	D
12	H. Riihimäki	G
22	S. Touray	M
17	A. Heinonen	M
33	T. Hämäläinen	D
4	K. Adams	D

VPS

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: J. Nuorela

41 Jalloh

24 Daoussi

19 Haukioja

6 Okereke

3 Simpson

23 Niemi

14 Lindholm

8 Lima

2 Mane

27 Kouassivi-Benissan

13 Ogunniyi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
41	M. Jalloh	G
23	M. Niemi	D
3	Razak Simpson	D
6	E. Okereke	D
19	M. Haukioja	D
24	Y. Daoussi	D
27	K. Kouassivi-Benissan	M
2	L. Mane	M
8	Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima	M
14	S. Lindholm	M
13	Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi	F

Substitutes

26	R. Forsbacka	M
9	C. Holmelund	F
20	X. Odhiambo	F
34	A. Räisänen	M
17	Dren Tërrnava	M
30	J. Vahtera	M
12	L. Väyrynen	G
21	Arnold Adu-Boahen	D
28	Sahid Ngobi	F