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VPS vs KuPS Prédiction

Veikkausliiga Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 25
FT
Post on X
VPS

VPS

Home
0 : 2
HT 0 - 2
KuPS

KuPS

Away
Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Prédiction IA KuPS ou match nul
28%
29%
43%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic VPS vs KuPS : Sportiko estime que VPS a 28% de chances de s'imposer, KuPS 43% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 19 Sep 2026, 15:55.

Pronostics Premium

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  • Plus de 1,5 buts 75%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 29'
T. Jyry
⚽ 0–2 35'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba assist: P. Pennanen
Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima Yellow Card
45' ▮
HT 0–2
M. Niemi Yellow Card
56' ▮
▮ 60'
A. Aiki Yellow Card
⇄ 62'
A. Aiki ⇄ K. Adams
⇄ 62'
P. Pennanen ⇄ S. Touray
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi Yellow Card
69' ▮
⇄ 70'
B. Magassa ⇄ T. Hämäläinen
Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima ⇄ A. Räisänen
72' ⇄
Y. Daoussi ⇄ X. Odhiambo
72' ⇄
L. Mane Yellow Card
77' ▮
S. Lindholm ⇄ C. Holmelund
79' ⇄
M. Niemi ⇄ J. Vahtera
79' ⇄
⇄ 90'
T. Jyry ⇄ S. Pasanen
E. Okereke Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
FT 0–2
VPS

Match Stats

KuPS
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 2
9 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 4
10 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 0
17 Fouls 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
399 Total passes 429
300 Passes accurate 317
7 Free Kicks 17
VPS
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Y. Daoussi D 6.7 72' – – – 28 (24%) –
19 M. Haukioja D 6.6 90' – – 2 51 (37%) –
14 S. Lindholm M 6.5 79' – – 1 14 (10%) 2
20 X. Odhiambo F 6.4 18' – – – 3 (1%) –
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan M 6.3 90' – – 4 35 (26%) 1
9 C. Holmelund F 6.2 11' – – – 5 (3%) –
41 M. Jalloh G 6.2 90' – – – 41 (27%) –
13 Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi F 6.1 90' – – 4 31 (24%) –
8 Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima M 6.1 72' – – 2 30 (24%) –
34 A. Räisänen M 6.0 18' – – 1 14 (11%) –
30 J. Vahtera M 6.0 11' – – – 5 (4%) –
6 E. Okereke D 5.9 90' – – 2 39 (34%) –
3 Razak Simpson D 5.8 90' – – – 37 (26%) 3
2 L. Mane M 5.7 90' – – – 28 (22%) –
23 M. Niemi D 5.6 79' – – 1 24 (17%) 1
KuPS
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba M 8.2 90' 1 – 2 16 (14%) 3
16 T. Jyry M 8.2 90' 1 – 1 31 (25%) 2
23 A. Lötjönen D 7.4 90' – – – 53 (45%) –
28 B. Magassa D 7.4 70' – – – 34 (27%) 1
8 P. Pennanen M 7.2 62' – 1 1 33 (24%) –
4 K. Adams D 7.2 28' – – – 16 (15%) 1
33 T. Hämäläinen D 7.1 20' – – – 12 (10%) 1
22 S. Touray M 6.9 28' – – – 16 (11%) –
6 S. Savolainen D 6.9 90' – – 1 33 (24%) 3
1 J. Kreidl G 6.8 90' – – – 49 (27%) –
10 V. Gasc M 6.7 90' – – – 43 (36%) 1
25 C. Antwi D 6.7 90' – – – 49 (33%) –
11 J. Moreno F 6.4 90' – – 2 22 (12%) –
15 A. Aiki M 6.3 62' – – – 13 (10%) –
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Notre approche
KuPS ou match nul
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VPS
LLWLW
KuPS
WDDLW
Last 1 meetings VPS · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: KuPS leads 0-2. Win probability: 98.9%. Comeback chance: 1.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. KuPS leads. Win probability: 93.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.5%.

38' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. KuPS win: 75.2%. BTTS: 100%.

36' Goal 85% sure

KuPS now leads 0-2 with 92.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.6%.

29' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. KuPS win: 74.1%. BTTS: 54.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
43%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

VPS
L. Smyth 5 gls
KuPS
J. Moreno 5 gls
J. Luyeye-Lutumba 3 gls
B. Armah 3 gls
P. Pennanen 2 gls
G. Engvall 2 gls

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Head to Head: VPS vs KuPS

0 VPS Wins
0 Draws
1 KuPS Wins
Date Home Score Away
25 Jul 2026 KuPS 3 - 1 VPS

VPS — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H KuPS L 0 - 2
14 Sep A Inter Turku L 1 - 0
08 Sep H AC Oulu W 1 - 0
31 Aug H Lahti L 0 - 1
22 Aug A Ilves W 0 - 1

KuPS — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A VPS W 0 - 2
13 Sep H HJK Helsinki D 0 - 0
08 Sep A Gnistan D 1 - 1
31 Aug A Inter Turku L 1 - 0
27 Aug H Shamrock Rovers W 1 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
KuPS
25 13 9 3 +17 48
2
Inter Turku
25 13 9 3 +14 48
3
HJK Helsinki
25 12 6 7 +10 42
4
Gnistan
25 11 8 6 +8 41
5
VPS
25 10 6 9 +5 36
6
AC Oulu
25 10 4 11 -3 34

Relegation Play-Off

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lahti
25 10 6 9 +6 36
2
Ilves
25 10 4 11 +4 34
3
Turku PS
25 8 8 9 +1 32
4
SJK
25 5 9 11 -7 24
5
Mariehamn
25 4 5 16 -27 17
6
FF Jaro
25 3 8 14 -28 17

KuPS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Nuutinen
1 Kreidl
25 Antwi
23 Lötjönen
28 Magassa
6 Savolainen
8 Pennanen
10 Gasc
15 Aiki
16 Jyry
21 Luyeye-Lutumba
11 Moreno

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Kreidl G
6 S. Savolainen D
28 B. Magassa D
23 A. Lötjönen D
25 C. Antwi D
10 V. Gasc M
8 P. Pennanen M
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba M
16 T. Jyry M
15 A. Aiki M
11 J. Moreno F

Substitutes

19 C. Kabuye F
13 N. Kujasalo M
14 S. Pasanen M
29 A. Puukko D
12 H. Riihimäki G
22 S. Touray M
17 A. Heinonen M
33 T. Hämäläinen D
4 K. Adams D

VPS

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: J. Nuorela
41 Jalloh
24 Daoussi
19 Haukioja
6 Okereke
3 Simpson
23 Niemi
14 Lindholm
8 Lima
2 Mane
27 Kouassivi-Benissan
13 Ogunniyi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
41 M. Jalloh G
23 M. Niemi D
3 Razak Simpson D
6 E. Okereke D
19 M. Haukioja D
24 Y. Daoussi D
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan M
2 L. Mane M
8 Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima M
14 S. Lindholm M
13 Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi F

Substitutes

26 R. Forsbacka M
9 C. Holmelund F
20 X. Odhiambo F
34 A. Räisänen M
17 Dren Tërrnava M
30 J. Vahtera M
12 L. Väyrynen G
21 Arnold Adu-Boahen D
28 Sahid Ngobi F

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