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Canada vs Morocco Prediction

World Cup World Cup · Round of 16
FT
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Canada

Canada

Home
0 : 3
HT 0 - 0
Morocco

Morocco

Away
AI predikcija Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Morocco
17%
30%
53%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Canada vs Morocco prediction: Sportiko gives Canada a 17% chance of winning, Morocco 53% and the draw 30%. Last updated 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

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Match Report

Morocco eliminated Canada from the World Cup with a commanding 3-0 victory in the Round of 16, though the scoreline belied a tense, card-filled first half that ended goalless. Both sides were involved in a fractious spell before the break, with five yellow cards shown across the two teams in the final minutes of the first half alone, setting a combative tone heading into the interval.

Morocco took control after the restart when Azzedine Ounahi broke the deadlock five minutes into the second half. The Moroccan midfielder then doubled his tally with a second goal on 82 minutes, effectively ending Canada's hopes of a comeback. Soufiane Rahimi added a third in stoppage time to seal a convincing win. Despite Canada enjoying 55 percent possession, Morocco generated far greater attacking threat, recording ten total shots to Canada's five and winning eleven corner kicks compared to just one for the Canadians.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Morocco win as the most likely outcome at 53 percent, a call that proved correct. Morocco advance to the quarterfinals.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 20'
Redouane Halhal Yellow Card
⇄ 22'
Ismael Saibari ⇄ Soufiane Rahimi
Richie Laryea Yellow Card
40' ▮
▮ 40'
Achraf Hakimi Yellow Card
Jonathan David Yellow Card
43' ▮
▮ 45'
Azzedine Ounahi Yellow Card
▮ 45+6'
Bilal El Khannouss Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Luc De Fougerolles Yellow Card
49' ▮
⚽ 0–1 50'
Azzedine Ounahi assist: Achraf Hakimi
Tani Oluwaseyi ⇄ Cyle Larin
63' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Ayyoub Bouaddi ⇄ Sofyan Amrabat
⇄ 63'
Bilal El Khannouss ⇄ Chemsdine Talbi
Cyle Larin Yellow Card
67' ▮
Richie Laryea ⇄ Jacob Shaffelburg
78' ⇄
Ali Ahmed ⇄ Promise David
78' ⇄
⚽ 0–2 82'
Azzedine Ounahi assist: Brahim Díaz
Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Jayden Nelson
87' ⇄
Niko Sigur ⇄ Jonathan Osorio
87' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Azzedine Ounahi ⇄ Samir El Mourabet
⇄ 87'
Issa Diop ⇄ Marwane Saadane
⚽ 0–3 90'
Soufiane Rahimi assist: Brahim Díaz
FT 0–3
Canada

Match Stats

Morocco
45% Ball Possession 55%
0.84 Expected Goals (xG) 0.82
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 0
6 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 2
11 Corner Kicks 1
2 Offsides 3
24 Fouls 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
359 Total passes 473
272 Passes accurate 388
76% Passes % 82%
0.53 goals_prevented 0.53
Canada
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Stephen Eustaquio M 7.5 90' – – – 64 (49%) 4
12 Tani Oluwaseyi F 7.3 63' – – 2 10 (3%) 3
23 Niko Sigur M 6.9 87' – – – 32 (26%) 1
20 Ali Ahmed M 6.9 78' – – – 12 (8%) 4
14 Jacob Shaffelburg F 6.9 12' – – – 7 (6%) –
22 Richie Laryea D 6.7 78' – – – 21 (17%) 1
26 Jayden Nelson F 6.6 13' – – 1 7 (5%) –
24 Promise David F 6.5 12' – – – 5 (3%) –
10 Jonathan David F 6.3 90' – – 2 24 (18%) 3
21 Jonathan Osorio M 6.3 13' – – – 5 (4%) –
9 Cyle Larin F 6.2 27' – – – 5 (5%) –
2 Alistair Johnston D 6.0 90' – – – 35 (29%) 1
16 Maxime Crépeau G 5.9 90' – – – 23 (17%) –
17 Tajon Buchanan M 5.9 87' – – 1 15 (11%) 1
4 Luc De Fougerolles D 5.6 90' – – 1 48 (38%) –
15 Moise Bombito D 5.3 90' – – – 46 (33%) –
Morocco
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Azzedine Ounahi M 9.0 87' 2 – 2 44 (33%) –
1 Bono G 7.9 90' – – – 40 (26%) –
3 Noussair Mazraoui D 7.9 90' – – – 36 (30%) 3
2 Achraf Hakimi D 7.5 90' – 1 – 56 (42%) 2
14 Issa Diop D 7.3 87' – – – 75 (69%) –
10 Brahim Díaz M 7.3 90' – 2 – 19 (15%) 1
9 Soufiane Rahimi F 7.2 68' 1 – 3 10 (5%) 2
6 Ayyoub Bouaddi M 7.0 63' – – – 31 (27%) 1
5 Marwane Saadane D 6.9 13' – – – 1 –
25 Redouane Halhal D 6.9 90' – – – 66 (63%) –
7 Chemsdine Talbi F 6.9 27' – – – 7 (4%) 2
24 Neil El Aynaoui M 6.7 90' – – – 55 (47%) –
15 Samir El Mourabet M 6.7 13' – – – 3 (3%) –
23 Bilal El Khannouss M 6.5 63' – – – 18 (13%) 2
11 Ismael Saibari F 6.3 22' – – – 1 (1%) –
4 Sofyan Amrabat M 6.2 27' – – – 11 (10%) –
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Morocco
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Canada
LWLWD
Morocco
LWDWW

Match summary

In this World Cup matchup, Canada will face Morocco in a neutral venue on July 4, 2026. Both teams bring distinct styles; Canada typically relies on a strong counter-attacking approach, while Morocco is known for its solid defensive organization and technical play. Key players like Canada's Alphonso Davies and Morocco's Achraf Hakimi could be pivotal in creating scoring opportunities. With both teams aiming to secure crucial points in the tournament, expect a competitive clash that may hinge on set-pieces and individual brilliance.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
17%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
53%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Canada
J. David 3 gls
Morocco
I. Saibari 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Canada vs Morocco

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Canada — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Jul H Morocco L 0 - 3
28 Jun A South Africa W 0 - 1
24 Jun A Switzerland L 2 - 1
18 Jun H Qatar W 6 - 0
12 Jun H Bosnia & Herzegovina D 1 - 1

Morocco — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
09 Jul A France L 2 - 0
04 Jul A Canada W 0 - 3
30 Jun A Netherlands D 1 - 1
24 Jun H Haiti W 4 - 2
19 Jun A Scotland W 0 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mexico
3 3 0 0 +6 9
2
South Africa
3 1 1 1 -1 4
4
Czechia
3 0 1 2 -4 1

Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Canada
3 1 1 1 +5 4
4
Qatar
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Brazil
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Morocco
3 2 1 0 +3 7
4
Haiti
3 0 0 3 -6 0

Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
USA
3 2 0 1 +4 6
2
Australia
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Türkiye
3 1 0 2 -2 3

Group E

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Germany
3 2 0 1 +6 6
2
Ivory Coast
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Curaçao
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group F

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Netherlands
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 +4 5
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Group G

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Belgium
3 1 2 0 +4 5
2
Egypt
3 1 2 0 +2 5
4
New Zealand
3 0 1 2 -6 1

Group H

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
3 2 1 0 +5 7
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 0 3
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 -4 2

Group I

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
3 3 0 0 +8 9
2
Norway
3 2 0 1 +1 6
4
Iraq
3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group J

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentina
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Austria
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Jordan
3 0 0 3 -5 0

Group K

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Colombia
3 2 1 0 +3 7
2
Portugal
3 1 2 0 +5 5
4
Uzbekistan
3 0 0 3 -9 0

Group L

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
England
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Croatia
3 2 0 1 0 6
4
Panama
3 0 0 3 -4 0

Group Stage

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Congo DR
3 1 1 1 +1 4
2
Sweden
3 1 1 1 0 4
3
Ghana
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Ecuador
3 1 1 1 0 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 1 1 -1 4
6
Algeria
3 1 1 1 -2 4
7
Paraguay
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Senegal
3 1 0 2 +2 3
9
Iran
3 0 3 0 0 3
10
South Korea
3 1 0 2 -1 3
11
Scotland
3 1 0 2 -3 3
12
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 -1 2

Morocco

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mohamed Ouahbi
1 Bono
3 Mazraoui
25 Halhal
14 Diop
2 Hakimi
24 Aynaoui
6 Bouaddi
23 Khannouss
8 Ounahi
10 Diaz
11 Saibari

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Bono G
2 A. Hakimi D
14 I. Diop D
25 R. Halhal D
3 N. Mazraoui D
6 A. Bouaddi M
24 N. El Aynaoui M
10 B. Diaz M
8 A. Ounahi M
23 B. El Khannouss M
11 I. Saibari F

Substitutes

22 A. Tagnaouti G
12 Munir G
4 S. Amrabat M
20 A. El Kaabi F
19 Y. Belammari D
17 A. Sbai F
7 C. Talbi F
15 S. El Mourabet M
16 G. Yassine F
5 M. Saadane D
9 S. Rahimi F
26 A. Salah-Eddine D
18 C. Riad D
21 A. Amaimouni F
13 Z. El Ouahdi D

Canada

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jesse Marsch
16 Crepeau
22 Laryea
4 Fougerolles
15 Bombito
2 Johnston
20 Ahmed
7 Eustaquio
23 Sigur
17 Buchanan
12 Oluwaseyi
10 David

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 M. Crepeau G
2 A. Johnston D
15 M. Bombito D
4 L. De Fougerolles D
22 R. Laryea D
17 T. Buchanan M
23 N. Sigur M
7 S. Eustaquio M
20 A. Ahmed M
10 J. David F
12 T. Oluwaseyi F

Substitutes

1 D. St.Clair G
18 O. Goodman G
9 C. Larin F
5 J. Waterman D
19 A. Davies D
13 D. Cornelius D
14 J. Shaffelburg F
26 J. Nelson F
21 J. Osorio M
3 A. Jones D
11 L. Millar F
6 M. Choiniere M
25 N. Saliba M
24 P. David F

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