Leeds vs Crystal Palace Prédiction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Leeds
56%
25%
19%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Leeds vs Crystal Palace : Sportiko estime que Leeds a 56% de chances de s'imposer, Crystal Palace 19% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Sep 2026, 14:53.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
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Match Report

Leeds and Crystal Palace played out a goalless draw at Elland Road in Matchday 5 of the Premier League, with neither side able to find the breakthrough despite a competitive and at times feisty encounter. The match was evenly contested throughout, with Palace shading possession at 51% but Leeds edging the shots on target count four to two.

The key moment came just after half-time when Crystal Palace had a goal disallowed through VAR, Tyrick Mitchell's effort ruled out in the 52nd minute to deny the visitors what would have been the opener. Discipline was an issue for both sides, with five yellow cards distributed across the afternoon — Jayden Bogle and Ao Tanaka both picking up bookings that led to their early withdrawal through substitution.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leeds win as the most likely outcome at 56%, though in the end a point apiece was all either side could manage. Leeds remain without a win in this fixture, while Palace will feel the VAR decision proved costly in what was otherwise a hard-fought stalemate.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jayden Bogle Yellow Card
38'
45'
Takehiro Tomiyasu ⇄ Jefferson Lerma
HT 0–0
🖵 52'
Tyrick Mitchell Goal cancelled
Ao Tanaka Yellow Card
62'
64'
Adam Wharton Yellow Card
Jayden Bogle ⇄ Daniel James
67'
Ao Tanaka ⇄ Brenden Aaronson
67'
Noah Okafor ⇄ Lukas Nmecha
76'
81'
Yéremy Pino Yellow Card
82'
Yéremy Pino ⇄ Ismaïla Sarr
82'
Jørgen Strand Larsen ⇄ Eddie Nketiah
Gabriel Gudmundsson ⇄ Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
90+2'
90+3'
Jefferson Lerma Yellow Card
FT 0–0
Leeds

Match Stats

Crystal Palace
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
415 Total passes 413
337 Passes accurate 335
11 Free Kicks 9
Leeds
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 James Trafford G 7.5 90' 36 (24%)
5 Tarik Muharemović D 7.4 90' 4 74 (64%) 1
24 James Justin D 7.2 90' 1 38 (30%) 3
30 Nico Elvedi D 7.1 90' 1 60 (58%)
22 Ao Tanaka M 6.7 67' 2 30 (29%) 1
18 Anton Stach M 6.6 90' 1 29 (22%) 1
11 Brenden Aaronson M 6.5 23' 10 (8%) 1
14 Lukas Nmecha F 6.5 14' 1 1
4 Ethan Ampadu M 6.4 90' 53 (44%) 3
7 Daniel James F 6.4 23' 4 (3%)
19 Noah Okafor F 6.3 76' 1 11 (10%) 2
3 Gabriel Gudmundsson M 6.3 92' 34 (25%) 3
2 Jayden Bogle M 6.2 67' 2 18 (11%)
9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F 6.2 90' 1 16 (8%)
Crystal Palace
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Jaydee Canvot D 7.1 90' 46 (43%) 1
26 Chris Richards D 6.9 90' 38 (36%) 2
9 Eddie Nketiah F 6.8 8' 4 (2%)
8 Jefferson Lerma M 6.7 44' 1 17 (15%) 2
17 Takehiro Tomiyasu D 6.7 46' 22 (20%)
23 Q. Timber M 6.6 90' 2 31 (27%) 3
44 Walter Benítez G 6.6 90' 26 (16%)
7 Ismaïla Sarr F 6.5 8' 1 (1%)
20 Adam Wharton M 6.5 90' 3 54 (41%) 2
18 Daichi Kamada M 6.4 90' 3 45 (38%) 1
3 Tyrick Mitchell M 6.4 90' 40 (29%) 5
22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F 6.3 82' 1 13 (11%)
10 Yéremy Pino M 6.2 82' 2 35 (27%)
25 Anan Khalaili M 6.1 90' 36 (25%) 2
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Leeds
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Leeds
DWLDD
Crystal Palace
DWLWW
Last 3 meetings Leeds · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Leeds will face Crystal Palace. Leeds has shown a solid offensive record, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season, while their defensive statistics indicate a vulnerability, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, boasts a more balanced approach, scoring 1.4 goals per game and conceding 1.2, highlighting their defensive resilience. Both teams will need to capitalize on set-pieces and errors to secure a crucial three points in this competitive matchup. The outcome may hinge on Leeds' ability to tighten their defense against Palace's counter-attacking style.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 65.3%. Late goal chance: 38.6%.

53' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Crystal Palace win: 60.3%. BTTS: 54.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 75.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 45.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Leeds
D. Calvert-Lewin 3 gls
Crystal Palace

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

1 Leeds Wins
1 Draws
1 Crystal Palace Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Mar 2026 Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds
20 Dec 2025 Leeds 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
09 Apr 2023 Leeds 1 - 5 Crystal Palace
Voir les 8 confrontations — Premium

Leeds — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Crystal Palace D 0 - 0
14 Sep H Newcastle W 4 - 1
09 Sep A Chelsea L 6 - 3
05 Sep A Brighton D 1 - 1
30 Aug H Brentford D 1 - 1

Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Leeds D 0 - 0
17 Sep H Lech Poznan W 4 - 0
12 Sep H Ipswich L 2 - 3
08 Sep H Middlesbrough W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Fulham W 2 - 3

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Crystal Palace

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: P. Sage
44 Benítez
6 Canvot
17 Tomiyasu
26 Richards
3 Mitchell
20 Wharton
23 Timber
25 Khalaili
10 Pino
18 Kamada
22 Larsen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
44 W. Benítez G
26 C. Richards D
17 T. Tomiyasu D
6 J. Canvot D
25 A. Khalaili M
23 Q. Timber M
20 A. Wharton M
3 T. Mitchell M
18 D. Kamada M
10 Yeremy Pino M
22 J. Strand Larsen F

Substitutes

31 R. Matthews G
33 B. Chilwell D
30 Óscar Mingueza D
8 J. Lerma M
28 C. Doucouré M
11 D. McNeil F
24 D. Osorio M
7 I. Sarr F
9 E. Nketiah F

Leeds

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: D. Farke
1 Trafford
5 Muharemović
30 Elvedi
24 Justin
3 Gudmundsson
22 Tanaka
4 Ampadu
18 Stach
2 Bogle
19 Okafor
9 Calvert-Lewin

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Trafford G
24 J. Justin D
30 N. Elvedi D
5 T. Muharemović D
2 J. Bogle M
18 A. Stach M
4 E. Ampadu M
22 A. Tanaka M
3 G. Gudmundsson M
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
19 N. Okafor F

Substitutes

16 M. Zetterer G
26 M. Bard D
15 J. Bijol D
8 S. Longstaff M
7 D. James F
11 B. Aaronson M
23 J. Bahoya F
14 L. Nmecha F
44 I. Gruev M

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