Leeds vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction: Sportiko gives Leeds a 56% chance of winning, Crystal Palace 19% and the draw 25%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 14:53.
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Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Match Report
Leeds and Crystal Palace played out a goalless draw at Elland Road in Matchday 5 of the Premier League, with neither side able to find the breakthrough despite a competitive and at times feisty encounter. The match was evenly contested throughout, with Palace shading possession at 51% but Leeds edging the shots on target count four to two.
The key moment came just after half-time when Crystal Palace had a goal disallowed through VAR, Tyrick Mitchell's effort ruled out in the 52nd minute to deny the visitors what would have been the opener. Discipline was an issue for both sides, with five yellow cards distributed across the afternoon — Jayden Bogle and Ao Tanaka both picking up bookings that led to their early withdrawal through substitution.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leeds win as the most likely outcome at 56%, though in the end a point apiece was all either side could manage. Leeds remain without a win in this fixture, while Palace will feel the VAR decision proved costly in what was otherwise a hard-fought stalemate.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Leeds
Match Stats
Leeds
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 James Trafford G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (24%) | – |
| 5 Tarik Muharemović D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 74 (64%) | 1 |
| 24 James Justin D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (30%) | 3 |
| 30 Nico Elvedi D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (58%) | – |
| 22 Ao Tanaka M | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 30 (29%) | 1 |
| 18 Anton Stach M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (22%) | 1 |
| 11 Brenden Aaronson M | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 14 Lukas Nmecha F | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 4 Ethan Ampadu M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (44%) | 3 |
| 7 Daniel James F | 6.4 | 23' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 19 Noah Okafor F | 6.3 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | 2 |
| 3 Gabriel Gudmundsson M | 6.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | 3 |
| 2 Jayden Bogle M | 6.2 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 18 (11%) | – |
| 9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 16 (8%) | – |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jaydee Canvot D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (43%) | 1 |
| 26 Chris Richards D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (36%) | 2 |
| 9 Eddie Nketiah F | 6.8 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 8 Jefferson Lerma M | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | 2 |
| 17 Takehiro Tomiyasu D | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | – |
| 23 Q. Timber M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (27%) | 3 |
| 44 Walter Benítez G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (16%) | – |
| 7 Ismaïla Sarr F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 20 Adam Wharton M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 54 (41%) | 2 |
| 18 Daichi Kamada M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 45 (38%) | 1 |
| 3 Tyrick Mitchell M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (29%) | 5 |
| 22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 10 Yéremy Pino M | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 35 (27%) | – |
| 25 Anan Khalaili M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (25%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 65.3%. Late goal chance: 38.6%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Crystal Palace win: 60.3%. BTTS: 54.6%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 75.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 45.2%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
D. Calvert-Lewin
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Leeds vs Crystal Palace
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0 - 0 | Leeds |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Leeds | 4 - 1 | Crystal Palace |
| 09 Apr 2023 | Leeds | 1 - 5 | Crystal Palace |
Leeds — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Crystal Palace | D | 0 - 0 |
| 14 Sep | H Newcastle | W | 4 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | A Chelsea | L | 6 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Brighton | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Brentford | D | 1 - 1 |
Crystal Palace — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Leeds | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Sep | H Lech Poznan | W | 4 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Ipswich | L | 2 - 3 |
| 08 Sep | H Middlesbrough | W | 3 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Fulham | W | 2 - 3 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | W. Benítez | G |
| 26 | C. Richards | D |
| 17 | T. Tomiyasu | D |
| 6 | J. Canvot | D |
| 25 | A. Khalaili | M |
| 23 | Q. Timber | M |
| 20 | A. Wharton | M |
| 3 | T. Mitchell | M |
| 18 | D. Kamada | M |
| 10 | Yeremy Pino | M |
| 22 | J. Strand Larsen | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | R. Matthews | G |
| 33 | B. Chilwell | D |
| 30 | Óscar Mingueza | D |
| 8 | J. Lerma | M |
| 28 | C. Doucouré | M |
| 11 | D. McNeil | F |
| 24 | D. Osorio | M |
| 7 | I. Sarr | F |
| 9 | E. Nketiah | F |
Leeds
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: D. Farke
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Trafford | G |
| 24 | J. Justin | D |
| 30 | N. Elvedi | D |
| 5 | T. Muharemović | D |
| 2 | J. Bogle | M |
| 18 | A. Stach | M |
| 4 | E. Ampadu | M |
| 22 | A. Tanaka | M |
| 3 | G. Gudmundsson | M |
| 9 | D. Calvert-Lewin | F |
| 19 | N. Okafor | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | M. Zetterer | G |
| 26 | M. Bard | D |
| 15 | J. Bijol | D |
| 8 | S. Longstaff | M |
| 7 | D. James | F |
| 11 | B. Aaronson | M |
| 23 | J. Bahoya | F |
| 14 | L. Nmecha | F |
| 44 | I. Gruev | M |