Necaxa vs Monterrey Prediction
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
AI call
Monterrey or draw
28%
28%
44%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Necaxa vs Monterrey prediction: Sportiko gives Necaxa a 28% chance of winning, Monterrey 44% and the draw 28%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 01:01.
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Timeline
Ricardo Monreal
Yellow Card
5'
▮
🖵
19'
Stefan Medina
Card upgrade confirmed
▮
20'
Stefan Medina
Red Card
Lorenzo Faravelli
Yellow Card
27'
▮
▮
32'
Ricardo Chávez
Yellow Card
▮
36'
Carlos Salcedo
Yellow Card
Ricardo Monreal
⇄ Emilio Rodriguez
45'
⇄
⇄
45'
Jesús Corona
⇄ Orbelín Pineda
HT 0–0
Julián Carranza
assist: F. Méndez
56'
⚽
1–0
⇄
60'
Diego Rossi
⇄ Hugo Cuypers
⇄
60'
Gerardo Arteaga
⇄ Alonso Aceves
🖵
63'
Luca Orellano
Penalty confirmed
⚽
1–1
67'
Lucas Ocampos
Penalty
Juan Torres
⇄ Miguel Pedroza
75'
⇄
⇄
77'
Luca Orellano
⇄ Luis Reyes
Yellow Card
79'
▮
Lorenzo Faravelli
⇄ Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
87'
⇄
Carlos Vargas
⇄ Mauro Zaleta
87'
⇄
Javier Ruiz
⇄ J. Valencia
90'
⇄
J. Valencia
assist: Mauro Zaleta
90+1'
⚽
2–1
⇄
90+3'
Jorge Rodríguez
FT 2–1
Necaxa
Match Stats
Monterrey
65%
Ball Possession
35%
18
Total Shots
6
9
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots off Goal
2
3
Blocked Shots
2
11
Shots insidebox
4
7
Shots outsidebox
2
4
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
2
21
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
7
436
Total passes
239
365
Passes accurate
172
14
Free Kicks
20
Necaxa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Julián Carranza F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 6 | 19 (12%) | 1 |
| F. Méndez | 7.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 67 (59%) | – |
| 3 Agustín Oliveros D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (47%) | – |
| 99 Emilio Rodriguez M | 7.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 23 (21%) | 3 |
| 10 Javier Ruiz F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | 2 |
| 12 Luis Jimenez G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | – |
| 8 Lorenzo Faravelli M | 6.8 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 14 Mauro Zaleta M | 6.7 | 3' | – | 1 | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 88 Carlos Vargas M | 6.7 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 33 (26%) | 5 |
| R. Martínez | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (41%) | 1 |
| 6 Danny Leyva M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 75 (58%) | 1 |
| 17 Rogelio Cortéz Pineda M | 6.4 | 3' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 30 Ricardo Monreal M | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | – |
Monterrey
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Luis Cárdenas G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (29%) | – |
| 10 Luca Orellano M | 6.7 | 77' | – | – | 2 | 11 (8%) | 2 |
| 7 Lucas Ocampos M | 6.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 21 (14%) | 2 |
| Óliver Torres | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | 4 |
| 17 Jesús Corona M | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 19 Alonso Aceves D | 6.3 | 30' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 3 Gerardo Arteaga D | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 13 Carlos Salcedo D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | 3 |
| 25 Orbelín Pineda M | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 2 Ricardo Chávez D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 1 |
| 21 Luis Reyes D | 6.1 | 13' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 99 Hugo Cuypers F | 6.0 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 5 (1%) | – |
| 9 Diego Rossi F | 5.9 | 60' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 30 Jorge Rodríguez M | 5.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 22 (14%) | 1 |
| 33 Stefan Medina D | 5.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (44%)
At a glance
Our lean
Monterrey or draw
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Necaxa
LLDLD
Monterrey
WDLDL
Last 2 meetings
Necaxa · 0W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Necaxa will face Monterrey, a team known for their strong attacking capabilities, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season. Necaxa, however, has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match. Monterrey's possession and pass accuracy are among the league's best, which could help them control the game's tempo. If Necaxa can tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks, they may pose a threat. Overall, Monterrey enters as the favorite based on their recent form and goal-scoring prowess.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
44%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Necaxa
J. Carranza
5 gls
Monterrey
L. Ocampos
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Necaxa vs Monterrey
0
Necaxa Wins
0
Draws
2
Monterrey Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | Necaxa | 0 - 2 | Monterrey |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Monterrey | 3 - 0 | Necaxa |
Necaxa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Atletico San Luis | L | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Puebla | L | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Tigres UANL | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Cruz Azul | L | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Aug | A U.N.A.M. - Pumas | D | 1 - 1 |
Monterrey — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Cruz Azul | W | 1 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Tigres UANL | D | 0 - 0 |
| 07 Sep | A Toluca | L | 2 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | A Club America | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | H Atletico San Luis | L | 1 - 3 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
Monterrey
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Almeyda
22
Cárdenas
3
Arteaga
13
Salcedo
33
Medina
2
Chávez
30
Rodríguez
8
Torres
7
Ocampos
17
Corona
10
Orellano
9
Rossi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Luis Cárdenas | G |
| 2 | Ricardo Chávez | D |
| 33 | Stefan Medina | D |
| 13 | Carlos Salcedo | D |
| 3 | Gerardo Arteaga | D |
| 8 | Óliver Torres | M |
| 30 | Jorge Rodríguez | M |
| 10 | Luca Orellano | M |
| 17 | Jesús Corona | M |
| 7 | Lucas Ocampos | M |
| 9 | Diego Rossi | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | César Ramos | G |
| 19 | Alonso Aceves | D |
| 21 | Luis Reyes | D |
| 4 | Victor Guzmán | D |
| 11 | Iker Fimbres | M |
| 25 | Orbelín Pineda | M |
| 5 | Fidel Ambríz | M |
| 99 | Hugo Cuypers | F |
| 194 | Cristian Reyes | M |
| 32 | Uroš Đurđević | F |
Necaxa
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Varini
12
Jimenez
30
Monreal
3
Oliveros
20
Méndez
11
Torres
88
Vargas
6
Leyva
8
Faravelli
9
Carranza
10
Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Luis Jimenez | G |
| 20 | Francisco Méndez | D |
| 3 | Agustín Oliveros | D |
| 30 | Ricardo Monreal | M |
| 8 | Lorenzo Faravelli | M |
| 6 | Danny Leyva | M |
| 88 | Carlos Vargas | M |
| 11 | Juan Torres | F |
| 10 | Javier Ruiz | F |
| 9 | Julián Carranza | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Christopher Andrade | G |
| 5 | Kaiky Naves | D |
| 2 | Emilio Martinez | D |
| 21 | Matías Espíndola | M |
| 16 | Pedro Pedraza | M |
| 14 | Mauro Zaleta | M |
| 17 | Rogelio Cortéz Pineda | M |
| 99 | Emilio Rodriguez | M |
| 27 | Miguel Pedroza | F |
| 90 | Juan Valencia | F |