Necaxa vs Monterrey Prognose

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 2
FT
Post on X
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
KI-Tipp Monterrey oder Unentschieden
28%
28%
44%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Necaxa vs. Monterrey Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Necaxa eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 28%, für Monterrey 44% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Jul 2026, 01:01.

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Timeline

Ricardo Monreal Yellow Card
5' ▮
🖵 19'
Stefan Medina Card upgrade confirmed
▮ 20'
Stefan Medina Red Card
Lorenzo Faravelli Yellow Card
27' ▮
▮ 32'
Ricardo Chávez Yellow Card
▮ 36'
Carlos Salcedo Yellow Card
Ricardo Monreal ⇄ Emilio Rodriguez
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Jesús Corona ⇄ Orbelín Pineda
HT 0–0
Julián Carranza assist: F. Méndez
56' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 60'
Diego Rossi ⇄ Hugo Cuypers
⇄ 60'
Gerardo Arteaga ⇄ Alonso Aceves
🖵 63'
Luca Orellano Penalty confirmed
⚽ 1–1 67'
Lucas Ocampos Penalty
Juan Torres ⇄ Miguel Pedroza
75' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Luca Orellano ⇄ Luis Reyes
Yellow Card
79' ▮
Lorenzo Faravelli ⇄ Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
87' ⇄
Carlos Vargas ⇄ Mauro Zaleta
87' ⇄
Javier Ruiz ⇄ J. Valencia
90' ⇄
J. Valencia assist: Mauro Zaleta
90+1' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 90+3'
Jorge Rodríguez
FT 2–1
Necaxa

Match Stats

Monterrey
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Corner Kicks 1
2 Offsides 2
21 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
436 Total passes 239
365 Passes accurate 172
14 Free Kicks 20
Necaxa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Julián Carranza F 7.9 90' 1 – 6 19 (12%) 1
F. Méndez 7.8 90' – 1 2 67 (59%) –
3 Agustín Oliveros D 7.2 90' – – 1 54 (47%) –
99 Emilio Rodriguez M 7.2 44' – – – 23 (21%) 3
10 Javier Ruiz F 6.9 90' – – – 19 (18%) 2
12 Luis Jimenez G 6.8 90' – – – 21 (19%) –
8 Lorenzo Faravelli M 6.8 87' – – 2 25 (22%) 1
14 Mauro Zaleta M 6.7 3' – 1 – 3 (3%) –
88 Carlos Vargas M 6.7 87' – – 1 33 (26%) 5
R. Martínez 6.6 90' – – – 44 (41%) 1
6 Danny Leyva M 6.5 90' – – 2 75 (58%) 1
17 Rogelio Cortéz Pineda M 6.4 3' – – – 8 (7%) –
30 Ricardo Monreal M 6.2 46' – – – 17 (13%) –
Monterrey
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Luis Cárdenas G 7.4 90' – – – 44 (29%) –
10 Luca Orellano M 6.7 77' – – 2 11 (8%) 2
7 Lucas Ocampos M 6.6 90' 1 – 3 21 (14%) 2
Óliver Torres 6.5 90' – – – 22 (17%) 4
17 Jesús Corona M 6.4 46' – – – 12 (10%) 1
19 Alonso Aceves D 6.3 30' – – – 3 (2%) –
3 Gerardo Arteaga D 6.3 60' – – – 19 (15%) 1
13 Carlos Salcedo D 6.3 90' – – – 28 (22%) 3
25 Orbelín Pineda M 6.2 44' – – – 12 (9%) –
2 Ricardo Chávez D 6.1 90' – – – 18 (15%) 1
21 Luis Reyes D 6.1 13' – – – 3 (2%) 1
99 Hugo Cuypers F 6.0 30' – – 1 5 (1%) –
9 Diego Rossi F 5.9 60' – – – 8 (5%) –
30 Jorge Rodríguez M 5.7 93' – – – 22 (14%) 1
33 Stefan Medina D 5.3 20' – – – 10 (9%) –
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Monterrey oder Unentschieden
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Necaxa
LLDLD
Monterrey
WDLDL
Last 2 meetings Necaxa · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Necaxa will face Monterrey, a team known for their strong attacking capabilities, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season. Necaxa, however, has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match. Monterrey's possession and pass accuracy are among the league's best, which could help them control the game's tempo. If Necaxa can tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks, they may pose a threat. Overall, Monterrey enters as the favorite based on their recent form and goal-scoring prowess.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
44%
45%

Most likely scores

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Players in form

Necaxa
J. Carranza 5 gls
Monterrey
L. Ocampos 5 gls

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Head to Head: Necaxa vs Monterrey

0 Necaxa Wins
0 Draws
2 Monterrey Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Jan 2026 Necaxa 0 - 2 Monterrey
23 Aug 2025 Monterrey 3 - 0 Necaxa

Necaxa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Atletico San Luis L 3 - 1
12 Sep H Puebla L 0 - 1
06 Sep A Tigres UANL D 1 - 1
29 Aug H Cruz Azul L 1 - 3
24 Aug A U.N.A.M. - Pumas D 1 - 1

Monterrey — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Cruz Azul W 1 - 0
13 Sep H Tigres UANL D 0 - 0
07 Sep A Toluca L 2 - 0
03 Sep A Club America D 2 - 2
31 Aug H Atletico San Luis L 1 - 3

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toluca
9 6 1 2 +11 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 +9 18
3
Club America
8 5 2 1 +9 17
4
Cruz Azul
9 5 0 4 +1 15
5
Club Queretaro
8 4 2 2 +3 14
6
Club Tijuana
8 4 2 2 +2 14
7
Leon
9 4 2 3 +2 14
8
Puebla
9 4 2 3 0 14
9
Atlas
9 4 2 3 -2 14
10
Monterrey
8 4 1 3 +4 13
11
CF Pachuca
9 3 3 3 +5 12
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Atletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 -5 9
14
Atlante FC
9 1 5 3 -5 8
15
Necaxa
9 2 2 5 -6 8
16
Tigres UANL
9 1 4 4 -4 7
17
Santos Laguna
9 2 1 6 -6 7
18
FC Juarez
9 1 0 8 -17 3

Monterrey

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Almeyda
22 Cárdenas
3 Arteaga
13 Salcedo
33 Medina
2 Chávez
30 Rodríguez
8 Torres
7 Ocampos
17 Corona
10 Orellano
9 Rossi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Luis Cárdenas G
2 Ricardo Chávez D
33 Stefan Medina D
13 Carlos Salcedo D
3 Gerardo Arteaga D
8 Óliver Torres M
30 Jorge Rodríguez M
10 Luca Orellano M
17 Jesús Corona M
7 Lucas Ocampos M
9 Diego Rossi F

Substitutes

31 César Ramos G
19 Alonso Aceves D
21 Luis Reyes D
4 Victor Guzmán D
11 Iker Fimbres M
25 Orbelín Pineda M
5 Fidel Ambríz M
99 Hugo Cuypers F
194 Cristian Reyes M
32 Uroš Đurđević F

Necaxa

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Varini
12 Jimenez
30 Monreal
3 Oliveros
20 Méndez
11 Torres
88 Vargas
6 Leyva
8 Faravelli
9 Carranza
10 Ruiz

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Luis Jimenez G
20 Francisco Méndez D
3 Agustín Oliveros D
30 Ricardo Monreal M
8 Lorenzo Faravelli M
6 Danny Leyva M
88 Carlos Vargas M
11 Juan Torres F
10 Javier Ruiz F
9 Julián Carranza F

Substitutes

1 Christopher Andrade G
5 Kaiky Naves D
2 Emilio Martinez D
21 Matías Espíndola M
16 Pedro Pedraza M
14 Mauro Zaleta M
17 Rogelio Cortéz Pineda M
99 Emilio Rodriguez M
27 Miguel Pedroza F
90 Juan Valencia F

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