Macarthur vs Adelaide United Prognose

A-League · Regular Season - 14

25 Jan 2027, 08:00

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Adelaide United

Away

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20%

27%

53%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Macarthur vs. Adelaide United Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Macarthur eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 20%, für Adelaide United 53% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Macarthur

WWWLW

Adelaide United

LWLDD

Last 3 meetings Macarthur · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Macarthur and Adelaide United are set to clash in this A-League match on January 25, 2027. Both teams have shown competitive form recently, with Macarthur averaging 1.5 goals per match and maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Adelaide United, known for their attacking prowess, has been scoring at a rate of 1.8 goals per match but may struggle against Macarthur's structured defense. Key players to watch include Macarthur's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Adelaide's playmaker, who contributes significantly to their attacking dynamics. This matchup promises to be closely contested, highlighting contrasting styles of play.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

20%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

53%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Adelaide United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	11	10	6	2	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	5	3	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Macarthur goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

27%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

27%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	10.7%	10.3%	5.8%	2.5%
1	5.3%	13.1%	9.8%	5.5%	2.3%
2	3.3%	5.5%	4.6%	2.6%	1.1%
3	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Macarthur	Draw	Adelaide United
Macarthur	11.2%	4.1%	2.4%
Draw	8.0%	17.2%	18.6%
Adelaide United	1.2%	4.0%	33.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Macarthur vs Adelaide United

2 Macarthur Wins

1 Draws

0 Adelaide United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Adelaide United	0 - 1	Macarthur
30 Jan 2026	Adelaide United	1 - 1	Macarthur
27 Oct 2025	Macarthur	2 - 1	Adelaide United

Macarthur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Uni Azzurri	W	0 - 3
24 Apr	H Wellington Phoenix	W	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Adelaide United	W	0 - 1
12 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	3 - 1
02 Apr	H Newcastle Jets	W	3 - 2

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 May	A Auckland	L	1 - 0
26 Apr	A Melbourne City	W	1 - 2
19 Apr	H Macarthur	L	0 - 1
11 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	D	1 - 1
03 Apr	H Auckland	D	1 - 1

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.