Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prognose
Newcastle vs. Bournemouth Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Newcastle eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 46%, für Bournemouth 26% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Marcus Tavernier broke the deadlock on 32 minutes to give Bournemouth a deserved half-time lead, and the visitors' expected goals figure of 2.99 against Newcastle's 1.59 reflected their overall superiority throughout the contest despite both sides finishing level on shots and possession reasonably balanced.
Newcastle drew level through William Osula on 68 minutes — a goal confirmed by VAR three minutes later — and briefly looked to have found a foothold in the match following a flurry of substitutions from both benches around the hour mark. However, Adrien Truffert restored Bournemouth's advantage on 85 minutes to seal all three points for the away side in a lively closing spell.
The match was not short of controversy, with five yellow cards distributed across both teams and a tense final quarter that saw Newcastle unable to find a second equaliser. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Newcastle win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved wide of the mark as Bournemouth claimed a well-earned victory at St. James' Park.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Newcastle
Match Stats
Newcastle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 William Osula F | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 4 Sven Botman D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (46%) | – |
| 39 Bruno Guimarães M | 7.0 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | 2 |
| 21 Valentino Livramento D | 7.0 | 74' | – | – | – | 43 (37%) | 2 |
| 67 Lewis Miley M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (44%) | 2 |
| 8 Sandro Tonali M | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 44 (36%) | 2 |
| 20 Anthony Elanga F | 6.7 | 62' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | – |
| 3 Lewis Hall D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 3 |
| 2 Kieran Trippier D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | 1 |
| 27 Nick Woltemade F | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 11 Harvey Barnes F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (18%) | 1 |
| 12 Malick Thiaw D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (32%) | 1 |
| 23 Jacob Murphy M | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 41 Jacob Ramsey M | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 32 Aaron Ramsdale G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (24%) | – |
| 33 Dan Burn D | 6.0 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
Bournemouth
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Alex Scott M | 8.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (43%) | 3 |
| 5 Marcos Senesi D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (42%) | 2 |
| 23 James Hill D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 43 (26%) | 1 |
| 37 Rayan M | 7.3 | 78' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (20%) | 1 |
| 16 Marcus Tavernier M | 7.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 27 (18%) | – |
| 10 Ryan Christie M | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 29 (23%) | 2 |
| 20 Álex Jiménez D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (28%) | 6 |
| 3 Adrien Truffert D | 6.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 32 (28%) | 2 |
| 1 Đorđe Petrović G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (13%) | – |
| 22 Eli Junior Kroupi M | 6.7 | 66' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 27 Alex Tóth M | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 11 Ben Gannon-Doak F | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 3 |
| 26 Enes Ünal F | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 12 Tyler Adams M | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 7 David Brooks M | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 9 Evanilson F | 5.9 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | 3 |
Vollständige KI-Analyse für Newcastle vs Bournemouth freischalten
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
J. Willock
2 gls
M. Tavernier
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Newcastle vs Bournemouth
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep 2026 | Newcastle | 2 - 2 | Bournemouth |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Bournemouth | 0 - 0 | Newcastle |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Newcastle | 1 - 4 | Bournemouth |
Newcastle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Hull City | W | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Leeds | L | 4 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Millwall | W | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Bournemouth | D | 2 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Tottenham | W | 0 - 2 |
Bournemouth — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Liverpool | L | 0 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | A Real Sociedad | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Brentford | D | 2 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | H Lincoln | W | 4 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Newcastle | D | 2 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Newcastle
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Eddie Howe
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | A. Ramsdale | G |
| 21 | V. Livramento | D |
| 12 | M. Thiaw | D |
| 4 | S. Botman | D |
| 3 | L. Hall | D |
| 8 | S. Tonali | M |
| 67 | L. Miley | M |
| 41 | J. Ramsey | M |
| 20 | A. Elanga | F |
| 18 | W. Osula | F |
| 11 | H. Barnes | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | N. Pope | G |
| 2 | K. Trippier | D |
| 33 | D. Burn | D |
| 28 | J. Willock | M |
| 9 | Y. Wissa | F |
| 27 | N. Woltemade | F |
| 39 | Bruno Guimaraes | M |
| 23 | J. Murphy | M |
| 37 | A. Murphy | D |
Bournemouth
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Petrovic | G |
| 20 | A. Jimenez | D |
| 23 | J. Hill | D |
| 5 | M. Senesi | D |
| 3 | A. Truffert | D |
| 8 | A. Scott | M |
| 10 | R. Christie | M |
| 37 | Rayan | M |
| 22 | E. J. Kroupi | M |
| 16 | M. Tavernier | M |
| 9 | Evanilson | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | C. Mandas | G |
| 15 | A. Smith | D |
| 26 | E. Unal | F |
| 12 | T. Adams | M |
| 18 | B. Diakite | D |
| 7 | D. Brooks | M |
| 21 | A. Adli | F |
| 11 | B. Doak | F |
| 27 | A. Toth | M |