SJK vs Mariehamn Tahmin

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 25

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SJK

Home

2 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Mariehamn

Away

OmaSP Stadion, Seinäjoki

Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu SJK galibiyet veya beraberlik

51%

27%

22%

Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

SJK - Mariehamn tahmini: Sportiko, SJK takımına %51 kazanma olasılığı, Mariehamn takımına %22 ve beraberliğe %27 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 18 Sep 2026, 16:57.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 36'

Arvid Bergvik

L. Vesterbacka ⇄ A. Cisse

45' ⇄

E. Mastokangas ⇄ A. Boström

45' ⇄

HT 0–1

▮ 57'

Ludvig Richtnér Yellow Card

A. Wilson ⇄ J. Streng

63' ⇄

Amidou Traore ⇄ Araújo

63' ⇄

Kelwin assist: E. Mömmö

64' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 70'

A. Stroud Yellow Card

⇄ 71'

A. Stroud ⇄ M. Hyvönen

J. Streng Yellow Card

75' ▮

R. Paunio ⇄ J. Viitala

77' ⇄

⇄ 78'

A. Huttunen ⇄ A. Soiniemi

Kelvin Pires Yellow Card

79' ▮

▮ 80'

F. Gyamfi Red Card

⇄ 82'

Arvid Bergvik ⇄ T. Koivisto

Araújo Yellow Card

84' ▮

A. Cisse Yellow Card

85' ▮

A. Boström assist: Araújo

87' ⚽ 2–1

FT 2–1

SJK

Match Stats

Mariehamn

59% Ball Possession 41%

12 Total Shots 12

3 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 5

10 Shots insidebox 6

2 Shots outsidebox 6

5 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 12

4 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

477 Total passes 315

403 Passes accurate 239

12 Free Kicks 13

SJK

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 A. Boström M	8.1	44'	1	–	1	27 (24%)	1
15 E. Mömmö M	7.7	90'	–	1	–	52 (44%)	1
7 Kelwin F	7.4	90'	1	–	3	13 (8%)	–
2 Facundo Costantini D	7.2	90'	–	–	2	77 (68%)	–
1 R. Paunio G	7.0	77'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	–
4 Kelvin Pires D	6.8	90'	–	–	2	71 (66%)	–
5 O. Väistö D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	60 (51%)	–
19 E. Mastokangas F	6.7	46'	–	–	–	15 (9%)	1
51 A. Cisse F	6.7	44'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	1
31 E. Onuoha M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	29 (28%)	1
42 Araújo M	6.5	27'	–	1	–	21 (19%)	2
23 A. Wilson M	6.4	63'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	2
9 J. Streng F	6.3	27'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
22 L. Vesterbacka M	6.3	46'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	2
48 Amidou Traore M	6.2	63'	–	–	–	27 (20%)	5
35 J. Viitala G	6.1	13'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–

Mariehamn

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Arvid Bergvik M	7.8	82'	1	–	1	22 (20%)	2
2 N. Nurmi D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	38 (30%)	2
23 V. Widlund M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	37 (30%)	2
19 T. Jakobsen F	6.3	90'	–	–	2	14 (9%)	3
20 E. Patut M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	34 (28%)	1
53 F. Gyamfi D	6.2	80'	–	–	1	51 (46%)	2
5 T. Koivisto D	6.1	8'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
64 M. Hyvönen M	6.1	19'	–	–	–	1	–
3 A. Soiniemi D	5.9	12'	–	–	–	–	–
27 Ludvig Richtnér D	5.9	90'	–	–	3	31 (23%)	1
1 K. Lund G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	28 (18%)	–
31 Samson Ngulube D	5.7	90'	–	–	2	26 (17%)	1
16 A. Huttunen M	5.6	78'	–	–	1	22 (12%)	1
18 A. Stroud M	5.6	71'	–	–	1	8 (4%)	–

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SJK vs Mariehamn maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
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Değer Avantajı — model ile piyasa karşılaştırması
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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz

Zorlu SJK galibiyet veya beraberlik

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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SJK

WDDDL

Mariehamn

LWLWW

Last 1 meetings SJK · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

88' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! SJK win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 66.3%. Late goal chance: 37.6%.

64' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 52.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Mariehamn leads. Win probability: 60%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.7%.

36' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Mariehamn win: 57%. BTTS: 65.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

51%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

22%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mariehamn goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	3	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	3	1	1
5	1	1	1

↑ SJK goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

SJK

E. Mastokangas 2 gls

Mariehamn

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	4.9%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%
1	8.7%	12.6%	6.1%	2.3%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.9%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
3	5.3%	5.8%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.3%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SJK	Draw	Mariehamn
SJK	28.7%	3.4%	1.2%
Draw	20.3%	16.0%	8.0%
Mariehamn	3.7%	5.1%	13.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: SJK vs Mariehamn

0 SJK Wins

0 Draws

1 Mariehamn Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Aug 2026	Mariehamn	2 - 0	SJK

SJK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Turku PS	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A AC Oulu	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Lahti	L	1 - 2

Mariehamn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SJK	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Turku PS	W	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Lahti	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A KuPS	W	2 - 4

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Mariehamn

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. Björknesjö

1 Lund

31 Ngulube

53 Gyamfi

2 Nurmi

27 Richtnér

20 Patut

23 Widlund

18 Stroud

14 Bergvik

16 Huttunen

19 Jakobsen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	K. Lund	G
27	L. Richtnér	D
2	N. Nurmi	D
53	F. Gyamfi	D
31	Samson Ngulube	D
23	V. Widlund	M
20	E. Patut	M
16	A. Huttunen	M
14	Arvid Bergvik	M
18	A. Stroud	M
19	T. Jakobsen	F

Substitutes

3	A. Soiniemi	D
5	T. Koivisto	D
64	M. Hyvönen	M
17	Rasmus Holmberg	M
12	O. Heino	G
43	L. Andersson	F

SJK

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: J. Wiss

1 Paunio

2 Costantini

4 Pires

5 Väistö

15 Mömmö

48 Traore

31 Onuoha

22 Vesterbacka

23 Wilson

19 Mastokangas

7 Kelwin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	R. Paunio	G
5	O. Väistö	D
4	Kelvin Pires	D
2	Facundo Costantini	D
22	L. Vesterbacka	M
31	E. Onuoha	M
48	A. Traore	M
15	E. Mömmö	M
23	A. Wilson	M
7	Kelwin	F
19	E. Mastokangas	F

Substitutes

8	A. Boström	M
51	A. Cisse	F
26	J. Moisio	D
9	J. Streng	F
42	Araújo	M
49	E. Udom	D
28	K. Nwanege	D
27	A. Vellios	F
35	J. Viitala	G