SJK vs Mariehamn Prognoza

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 25

Post on X

SJK

Home

2 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Mariehamn

Away

OmaSP Stadion, Seinäjoki

Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis SJK

51%

27%

22%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza SJK vs Mariehamn: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej SJK na 51%, Mariehamn na 22%, a remisu na 27%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 18 Sep 2026, 16:57.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 36'

Arvid Bergvik

L. Vesterbacka ⇄ A. Cisse

45' ⇄

E. Mastokangas ⇄ A. Boström

45' ⇄

HT 0–1

▮ 57'

Ludvig Richtnér Yellow Card

A. Wilson ⇄ J. Streng

63' ⇄

Amidou Traore ⇄ Araújo

63' ⇄

Kelwin assist: E. Mömmö

64' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 70'

A. Stroud Yellow Card

⇄ 71'

A. Stroud ⇄ M. Hyvönen

J. Streng Yellow Card

75' ▮

R. Paunio ⇄ J. Viitala

77' ⇄

⇄ 78'

A. Huttunen ⇄ A. Soiniemi

Kelvin Pires Yellow Card

79' ▮

▮ 80'

F. Gyamfi Red Card

⇄ 82'

Arvid Bergvik ⇄ T. Koivisto

Araújo Yellow Card

84' ▮

A. Cisse Yellow Card

85' ▮

A. Boström assist: Araújo

87' ⚽ 2–1

FT 2–1

SJK

Match Stats

Mariehamn

59% Ball Possession 41%

12 Total Shots 12

3 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 5

10 Shots insidebox 6

2 Shots outsidebox 6

5 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 12

4 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

477 Total passes 315

403 Passes accurate 239

12 Free Kicks 13

SJK

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 A. Boström M	8.1	44'	1	–	1	27 (24%)	1
15 E. Mömmö M	7.7	90'	–	1	–	52 (44%)	1
7 Kelwin F	7.4	90'	1	–	3	13 (8%)	–
2 Facundo Costantini D	7.2	90'	–	–	2	77 (68%)	–
1 R. Paunio G	7.0	77'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	–
4 Kelvin Pires D	6.8	90'	–	–	2	71 (66%)	–
5 O. Väistö D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	60 (51%)	–
19 E. Mastokangas F	6.7	46'	–	–	–	15 (9%)	1
51 A. Cisse F	6.7	44'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	1
31 E. Onuoha M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	29 (28%)	1
42 Araújo M	6.5	27'	–	1	–	21 (19%)	2
23 A. Wilson M	6.4	63'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	2
9 J. Streng F	6.3	27'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
22 L. Vesterbacka M	6.3	46'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	2
48 Amidou Traore M	6.2	63'	–	–	–	27 (20%)	5
35 J. Viitala G	6.1	13'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–

Mariehamn

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Arvid Bergvik M	7.8	82'	1	–	1	22 (20%)	2
2 N. Nurmi D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	38 (30%)	2
23 V. Widlund M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	37 (30%)	2
19 T. Jakobsen F	6.3	90'	–	–	2	14 (9%)	3
20 E. Patut M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	34 (28%)	1
53 F. Gyamfi D	6.2	80'	–	–	1	51 (46%)	2
5 T. Koivisto D	6.1	8'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
64 M. Hyvönen M	6.1	19'	–	–	–	1	–
3 A. Soiniemi D	5.9	12'	–	–	–	–	–
27 Ludvig Richtnér D	5.9	90'	–	–	3	31 (23%)	1
1 K. Lund G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	28 (18%)	–
31 Samson Ngulube D	5.7	90'	–	–	2	26 (17%)	1
16 A. Huttunen M	5.6	78'	–	–	1	22 (12%)	1
18 A. Stroud M	5.6	71'	–	–	1	8 (4%)	–

Premium

Odblokuj pełną analizę AI dla meczu SJK vs Mariehamn

Wszystkie 70+ rynków prawdopodobieństwa
Raport meczowy AI Deep-Dive
Value Edge — model vs rynek
Wybrane przez Ciebie typy rynków

Przejdź na Premium

Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Trudna wygrana lub remis SJK

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

SJK

WDDDL

Mariehamn

LWLWW

Last 1 meetings SJK · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

88' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! SJK win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 66.3%. Late goal chance: 37.6%.

64' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 52.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Mariehamn leads. Win probability: 60%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.7%.

36' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Mariehamn win: 57%. BTTS: 65.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

51%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

22%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mariehamn goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	3	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	3	1	1
5	1	1	1

↑ SJK goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

SJK

E. Mastokangas 2 gls

Mariehamn

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Dlaczego ten typ? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	4.9%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%
1	8.7%	12.6%	6.1%	2.3%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.9%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
3	5.3%	5.8%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.3%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SJK	Draw	Mariehamn
SJK	28.7%	3.4%	1.2%
Draw	20.3%	16.0%	8.0%
Mariehamn	3.7%	5.1%	13.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: SJK vs Mariehamn

0 SJK Wins

0 Draws

1 Mariehamn Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Aug 2026	Mariehamn	2 - 0	SJK

SJK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Turku PS	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A AC Oulu	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Lahti	L	1 - 2

Mariehamn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SJK	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Turku PS	W	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Lahti	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A KuPS	W	2 - 4

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Mariehamn

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. Björknesjö

1 Lund

31 Ngulube

53 Gyamfi

2 Nurmi

27 Richtnér

20 Patut

23 Widlund

18 Stroud

14 Bergvik

16 Huttunen

19 Jakobsen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	K. Lund	G
27	L. Richtnér	D
2	N. Nurmi	D
53	F. Gyamfi	D
31	Samson Ngulube	D
23	V. Widlund	M
20	E. Patut	M
16	A. Huttunen	M
14	Arvid Bergvik	M
18	A. Stroud	M
19	T. Jakobsen	F

Substitutes

3	A. Soiniemi	D
5	T. Koivisto	D
64	M. Hyvönen	M
17	Rasmus Holmberg	M
12	O. Heino	G
43	L. Andersson	F

SJK

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: J. Wiss

1 Paunio

2 Costantini

4 Pires

5 Väistö

15 Mömmö

48 Traore

31 Onuoha

22 Vesterbacka

23 Wilson

19 Mastokangas

7 Kelwin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	R. Paunio	G
5	O. Väistö	D
4	Kelvin Pires	D
2	Facundo Costantini	D
22	L. Vesterbacka	M
31	E. Onuoha	M
48	A. Traore	M
15	E. Mömmö	M
23	A. Wilson	M
7	Kelwin	F
19	E. Mastokangas	F

Substitutes

8	A. Boström	M
51	A. Cisse	F
26	J. Moisio	D
9	J. Streng	F
42	Araújo	M
49	E. Udom	D
28	K. Nwanege	D
27	A. Vellios	F
35	J. Viitala	G