Čelik vs Velež Prediction

Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 4

29 Aug 2026, 15:00

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Velež

Away

Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu Čelik galibiyet veya beraberlik

52%

29%

19%

Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Čelik vs Velež prediction: Sportiko gives Čelik a 52% chance of winning, Velež 19% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 17:18.

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Čelik vs Velež maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Čelik

Velež

LLWDL

Match summary

In the upcoming Premijer Liga clash, Čelik faces Velež, with both teams looking to secure crucial points early in the season. Čelik has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match in the last season, while Velež has struggled with away form, winning only 30% of their matches on the road. Key players to watch include Čelik's leading scorer from last season, who averaged 0.5 goals per game, and Velež's playmaker, who contributed significantly to their attack with an average of 2 key passes per match. This match could hinge on Čelik's ability to convert chances against Velež's defense, which has been inconsistent.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Velež goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	13	14	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Čelik goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	6.4%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
1	13.2%	13.6%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.2%	9.2%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
3	5.7%	4.7%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.2%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Čelik	Draw	Velež
Čelik	35.0%	4.1%	1.0%
Draw	16.8%	19.4%	7.8%
Velež	1.7%	3.6%	10.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Čelik vs Velež

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Čelik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Mar	A Tomislav	W	1 - 2
14 Mar	H Travnik	D	1 - 1

Velež — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
30 Jul	H Dunajska Streda	L	0 - 3
23 Jul	A Dunajska Streda	L	1 - 0
16 Jul	A Milsami Orhei	W	0 - 1
09 Jul	H Milsami Orhei	D	1 - 1
22 Mar	A FK Sarajevo	L	1 - 0

Premijer Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1	1	0	2	1	+1	3
2	Zrinjski	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Siroki Brijeg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Čelik	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Velež	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	FK Sarajevo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Radnik Bijeljina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Sloga Doboj	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	BSK Banja Luka	1	0	1	1	2	-1	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.