Inter vs Fiorentina Parashikim
Parashikimi Inter vs Fiorentina: Sportiko i jep Inter 70% probabilitet fitese, Fiorentina 12% dhe barazimit 19%. Përditësuar së fundmi 25 Oct 2026, 13:34.
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Match Report
Inter came from behind to claim a dramatic 2–1 Serie A victory over Fiorentina, despite being thoroughly outplayed for much of the contest. A goalless first half gave way to a lively second period, with Álex Jiménez breaking the deadlock for Fiorentina in the 65th minute. The stats told a stark story of Fiorentina's dominance — 63% possession, 33 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 3.44 compared to Inter's 0.25 — yet the hosts found a way to survive.
Inter's revival came late and in rapid fashion. Marcus Thuram levelled in the 90th minute before Piotr Zieliński converted a stoppage-time penalty in the seventh minute of added time to seal a stunning turnaround. Both sides made extensive changes throughout the second half, with five substitutions apiece reshaping the contest significantly.
The result was a reminder that scorelines and statistics can tell very different stories. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Inter win as most likely at 70%, a call that proved correct despite the manner of the victory.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Inter
Match Stats
Inter
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Marcus Thuram F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 9 | 20 (12%) | 3 |
| 7 Piotr Zieliński M | 7.8 | 12' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (15%) | 1 |
| 17 Andy Diouf M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 42 (38%) | 5 |
| 25 Manuel Akanji D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 88 (82%) | 1 |
| 30 Carlos Augusto M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 45 (40%) | 1 |
| 20 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M | 7.1 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 54 (53%) | 1 |
| 14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F | 7.1 | 26' | – | – | 3 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 31 Yann Bisseck D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (52%) | 2 |
| 95 Alessandro Bastoni D | 6.9 | 77' | – | – | – | 56 (54%) | 1 |
| 23 Nicolò Barella M | 6.9 | 85' | – | – | 3 | 56 (50%) | 3 |
| 32 Federico Dimarco D | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 16 (16%) | – |
| 53 M. Lavelli F | 6.7 | 5' | – | – | 2 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 8 Petar Sučić M | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 49 Ivan Provedel G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (30%) | – |
| 22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 3 | 44 (35%) | 1 |
| 94 Francesco Pio Esposito F | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 7 (6%) | – |
Fiorentina
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Nicolò Fagioli M | 7.4 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 53 (48%) | 1 |
| 20 Álex Jiménez D | 7.3 | 75' | 1 | – | 1 | 42 (33%) | 3 |
| 43 David De Gea G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (27%) | – |
| 29 Wilfried Gnonto F | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 5 Marin Pongračić D | 6.8 | 51' | – | – | – | 22 (21%) | 1 |
| 3 Radu Drăguşin D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 2 |
| 2 Dodô D | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 17 João Mário D | 6.6 | 7' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 25 Alieu Njie F | 6.5 | 83' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | 1 |
| 21 Víctor Valdepeñas D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | – |
| 27 Cher Ndour M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (25%) | 3 |
| 32 Mateo Pellegrino F | 6.4 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 30 Franco Mastantuono F | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 2 | 24 (19%) | 2 |
| 23 Beto F | 6.3 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 33 Viery D | 6.1 | 39' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 4 Marco Brescianini M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (15%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
M. Thuram
5 gls
Lautaro Martínez
4 gls
Franco Mastantuono
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Inter vs Fiorentina
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | Inter |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Inter | 3 - 0 | Fiorentina |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Inter | 2 - 1 | Fiorentina |
Inter — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | A Feyenoord | W | 0 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A AC Milan | L | 3 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Venezia | W | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Fiorentina | W | 2 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Shakhtar Donetsk | W | 1 - 0 |
Fiorentina — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | A Sassuolo | W | 2 - 4 |
| 29 Oct | H Atalanta | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Inter | L | 2 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Como | L | 1 - 3 |
| 10 Oct | A Genoa | L | 2 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lazio
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Cagliari
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Napoli
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Lecce
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |
Monza
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |
Udinese
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: P. Vanoli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | David de Gea | G |
| 20 | Álex Jiménez | D |
| 3 | R. Drăgușin | D |
| 5 | M. Pongračić | D |
| 21 | Valde | D |
| 27 | C. Ndour | M |
| 44 | N. Fagioli | M |
| 4 | M. Brescianini | M |
| 30 | Franco Mastantuono | F |
| 32 | Mateo Pellegrino | F |
| 25 | A. Njie | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Beto | F |
| 33 | Viery | D |
| 53 | O. Christensen | G |
| 2 | Dodô | D |
| 29 | W. Gnonto | F |
| 42 | C. Inao Oulaï | M |
| 17 | João Mário | D |
| 19 | L. Lezzerini | G |
| 28 | Pote | M |
| 74 | Arnis Ademi | D |
| 72 | B. Mazzeo | F |
| 73 | Antonio Pirrò | M |
Inter
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: C. Chivu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | I. Provedel | G |
| 31 | Y. Bisseck | D |
| 25 | M. Akanji | D |
| 95 | A. Bastoni | D |
| 17 | A. Diouf | M |
| 23 | N. Barella | M |
| 20 | H. Çalhanoğlu | M |
| 22 | H. Mkhitaryan | M |
| 30 | Carlos Augusto | M |
| 9 | M. Thuram | F |
| 94 | F. Esposito | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | P. Sučić | M |
| 99 | D. Spence | D |
| 5 | A. Stanković | M |
| 48 | M. Mosconi | F |
| 14 | A. Bonny | F |
| 46 | L. Bovio | D |
| 12 | R. Di Gennaro | G |
| 32 | F. Dimarco | D |
| 51 | L. Jakirović | D |
| 53 | M. Lavelli | F |
| 7 | P. Zieliński | M |
| 1 | Josep Martínez | G |