Inter vs Fiorentina Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

25 Oct 2026, 17:30

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Fiorentina

Away

Previsione AI Inter o pareggio

50%

27%

23%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Inter vs Fiorentina: Sportiko assegna a Inter una probabilità di vittoria del 50%, a Fiorentina del 23% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Inter

DWLWW

Fiorentina

DWWLL

Last 3 meetings Inter · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Inter faces Fiorentina. Inter has been strong at home, boasting a solid record with an average of 2.1 goals per match this season, while only conceding 0.8. Fiorentina, however, has shown resilience with a strong midfield, averaging 1.6 goals per match but struggling defensively, conceding 1.4. Key players to watch include Inter's top scorer, who has netted 7 goals in the league, and Fiorentina's playmaker, who leads in assists. This matchup could hinge on Inter's ability to capitalize on set pieces against Fiorentina's leaky defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

50%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

23%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fiorentina goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	4	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Inter goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Inter

Lautaro Martínez 4 gls

M. Thuram 2 gls

F. Esposito 2 gls

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	5.3%	3.7%	1.4%	0.4%
1	8.9%	13.0%	6.3%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.9%	9.8%	5.4%	2.0%	0.5%
3	5.0%	5.5%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.1%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Inter	Draw	Fiorentina
Inter	31.0%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	17.4%	16.6%	9.2%
Fiorentina	2.6%	4.3%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

50%

1.5

50%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Inter vs Fiorentina

2 Inter Wins

1 Draws

0 Fiorentina Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Fiorentina	1 - 1	Inter
29 Oct 2025	Inter	3 - 0	Fiorentina
10 Feb 2025	Inter	2 - 1	Fiorentina

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Inter — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A AS Roma	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H Udinese	W	5 - 3
08 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Napoli	W	3 - 2
30 Aug	A Cagliari	W	0 - 1

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.