Leyton Orient vs Stevenage Napoved

League One · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Stevenage

Away

Brisbane Road, London

UI napoved Leyton Orient ali neodločeno

37%

31%

32%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Leyton Orient proti Stevenage: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Leyton Orient na 37%, za Stevenage na 32%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 31%. Zadnja posodobitev: 19 Sep 2026, 15:55.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%
Domači dosežejo gol 71%
Več kot 1,5 gola 71%

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Timeline

▮ 31'

Terence Vancooten Yellow Card

▮ 32'

Lewis Freestone Yellow Card

HT 0–0

▮ 59'

Louis Thompson Yellow Card

⇄ 64'

Josh Magennis ⇄ Michael Mellon

⇄ 64'

Ben Broggio ⇄ Phoenix Patterson

⇄ 64'

Louis Thompson ⇄ M. Smith

▮ 65'

Daniel Phillips Yellow Card

Isaac Hayden ⇄ Sean Clare

65' ⇄

Tony Springett ⇄ Dane Scarlett

76' ⇄

J. Kabia ⇄ Armando Dobra

76' ⇄

A. Gilbert assist: Idris El Mizouni

79' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 83'

Daniel Phillips ⇄ Jordan Houghton

FT 1–0

Leyton Orient

Match Stats

Stevenage

47% Ball Possession 53%

7 Total Shots 17

1 Shots on Goal 3

2 Shots off Goal 8

4 Blocked Shots 6

3 Shots insidebox 11

4 Shots outsidebox 6

3 Corner Kicks 6

4 Offsides 2

10 Fouls 16

0 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 0

342 Total passes 380

220 Passes accurate 250

15 Free Kicks 10

Leyton Orient

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 A. Gilbert M	7.2	90'	1	–	3	39 (24%)	1
1 Nathan Baxter G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	31 (12%)	–
8 Idris El Mizouni M	6.7	90'	–	1	2	38 (26%)	3
28 Sean Clare D	6.6	25'	–	–	–	15 (7%)	–
6 William Forrester D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	35 (24%)	1
14 Isaac Hayden M	6.5	65'	–	–	–	37 (27%)	2
17 Armando Dobra F	6.5	14'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
5 Joseph Olowu D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	–
9 J. Kabia F	6.4	76'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	4
27 Tony Springett M	6.3	76'	–	–	1	19 (12%)	1
18 Dane Scarlett F	6.2	14'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
22 Yusuf Akhamrich M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	15 (10%)	–
2 Fin Stevens D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	32 (22%)	1
34 Phillip Chinedu D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	42 (26%)	1

Stevenage

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
28 Michael Mellon F	7.1	26'	–	–	3	10 (4%)	–
24 M. Smith M	7.0	26'	–	–	–	22 (20%)	1
10 Daniel Kemp M	6.7	90'	–	–	3	26 (21%)	–
44 Phoenix Patterson F	6.6	26'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	–
5 Carl Piergianni D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	42 (26%)	5
18 Oliver Sanderson M	6.5	90'	–	–	5	24 (21%)	3
27 Ben Broggio M	6.4	64'	–	–	1	19 (12%)	2
9 Josh Magennis F	6.3	64'	–	–	1	14 (8%)	–
4 Jordan Houghton M	6.3	7'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
8 Daniel Phillips M	6.1	83'	–	–	2	27 (20%)	1
6 Lewis Freestone D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	33 (22%)	4
2 Luther James-Wildin D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	41 (21%)	3
23 Louis Thompson M	5.7	64'	–	–	1	23 (15%)	–
1 Tommy Setford G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	30 (15%)	–
15 Terence Vancooten D	5.4	90'	–	–	–	50 (30%)	2

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Naša analiza

Leyton Orient ali neodločeno

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Leyton Orient

WLLLD

Stevenage

WLWWD

Last 1 meetings Leyton Orient · 1W 0D 0L

Live insights

85' time check 80% sure

Min 85: Leyton Orient leads 1-0. Win probability: 94.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 5.8%.

82' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-0! Leyton Orient win probability: 91.3%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 19.2%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 71.8%. Late goal chance: 30.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stevenage goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Leyton Orient goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Leyton Orient

Y. Akhamrich 3 gls

Stevenage

D. Kemp 3 gls

O. Sanderson 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	8.8%	6.1%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.6%	14.8%	7.6%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.0%	8.2%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.9%	3.4%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Leyton Orient	Draw	Stevenage
Leyton Orient	18.9%	4.0%	1.7%
Draw	16.6%	20.4%	13.9%
Stevenage	2.2%	4.6%	17.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Leyton Orient vs Stevenage

1 Leyton Orient Wins

0 Draws

0 Stevenage Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Mar 2026	Stevenage	1 - 2	Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Stevenage	W	1 - 0
15 Sep	H Arsenal U21	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Wycombe	L	2 - 3
08 Sep	H Bradford	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Luton	D	1 - 1

Stevenage — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Walsall	W	1 - 6
19 Sep	A Leyton Orient	L	1 - 0
10 Sep	H Luton	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Barnsley	W	1 - 5
01 Sep	A Peterborough	D	0 - 0

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	7	5	0	2	7	4	+3	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
3	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	14	10	+4	13
4	Huddersfield	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cambridge United	7	3	3	1	12	10	+2	12
6	Oxford United	6	3	2	1	13	7	+6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
8	Reading	6	3	1	2	14	7	+7	10
9	Stockport County	7	3	1	3	16	10	+6	10
10	Leyton Orient	7	3	1	3	13	9	+4	10
11	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11	8	+3	9
12	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	12	12	0	9
13	Leicester	7	2	3	2	9	11	-2	9
14	Wycombe	7	2	3	2	11	14	-3	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13	13	0	8
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12	14	-2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	8	18	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
23	Peterborough	7	1	2	4	4	12	-8	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7	4

Stevenage

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: A. Revell

1 Setford

6 Freestone

5 Piergianni

15 Vancooten

2 James-Wildin

27 Broggio

8 Phillips

23 Thompson

18 Sanderson

10 Kemp

9 Magennis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	T. Setford	G
2	L. James-Wildin	D
15	T. Vancooten	D
5	C. Piergianni	D
6	L. Freestone	D
18	O. Sanderson	M
23	L. Thompson	M
8	D. Phillips	M
27	B. Broggio	M
10	D. Kemp	M
9	J. Magennis	F

Substitutes

12	D. Barden	G
16	K. Casey	D
14	S. Earley	D
4	J. Houghton	M
28	M. Mellon	F
44	P. Patterson	F
24	M. Smith	M

Leyton Orient

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. Wellens

1 Baxter

34 Chinedu

5 Olowu

6 Forrester

2 Stevens

14 Hayden

8 Mizouni

27 Springett

20 Gilbert

22 Akhamrich

9 Kabia

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	N. Baxter	G
2	F. Stevens	D
6	W. Forrester	D
5	J. Olowu	D
34	P. Chinedu	D
8	I. El Mizouni	M
14	I. Hayden	M
22	Y. Akhamrich	M
20	A. Gilbert	M
27	T. Springett	M
9	J. Kabia	F

Substitutes

33	Killian Cahill	G
28	S. Clare	D
17	A. Dobra	F
3	J. Morris	D
18	D. Scarlett	F
25	Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens	M
44	T. Archibald	M