Leyton Orient vs Stevenage Prognoza

League One · Regular Season - 7

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Leyton Orient

Home

1 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Stevenage

Away

Brisbane Road, London

Typowanie AI Leyton Orient lub remis

37%

31%

32%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Leyton Orient vs Stevenage: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Leyton Orient na 37%, Stevenage na 32%, a remisu na 31%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 19 Sep 2026, 15:55.

Typy Premium

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%
Gospodarz strzeli gola 71%
Ponad 1,5 gola 71%

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Timeline

▮ 31'

Terence Vancooten Yellow Card

▮ 32'

Lewis Freestone Yellow Card

HT 0–0

▮ 59'

Louis Thompson Yellow Card

⇄ 64'

Josh Magennis ⇄ Michael Mellon

⇄ 64'

Ben Broggio ⇄ Phoenix Patterson

⇄ 64'

Louis Thompson ⇄ M. Smith

▮ 65'

Daniel Phillips Yellow Card

Isaac Hayden ⇄ Sean Clare

65' ⇄

Tony Springett ⇄ Dane Scarlett

76' ⇄

J. Kabia ⇄ Armando Dobra

76' ⇄

A. Gilbert assist: Idris El Mizouni

79' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 83'

Daniel Phillips ⇄ Jordan Houghton

FT 1–0

Leyton Orient

Match Stats

Stevenage

47% Ball Possession 53%

7 Total Shots 17

1 Shots on Goal 3

2 Shots off Goal 8

4 Blocked Shots 6

3 Shots insidebox 11

4 Shots outsidebox 6

3 Corner Kicks 6

4 Offsides 2

10 Fouls 16

0 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 0

342 Total passes 380

220 Passes accurate 250

15 Free Kicks 10

Leyton Orient

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 A. Gilbert M	7.2	90'	1	–	3	39 (24%)	1
1 Nathan Baxter G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	31 (12%)	–
8 Idris El Mizouni M	6.7	90'	–	1	2	38 (26%)	3
28 Sean Clare D	6.6	25'	–	–	–	15 (7%)	–
6 William Forrester D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	35 (24%)	1
14 Isaac Hayden M	6.5	65'	–	–	–	37 (27%)	2
17 Armando Dobra F	6.5	14'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
5 Joseph Olowu D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	–
9 J. Kabia F	6.4	76'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	4
27 Tony Springett M	6.3	76'	–	–	1	19 (12%)	1
18 Dane Scarlett F	6.2	14'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
22 Yusuf Akhamrich M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	15 (10%)	–
2 Fin Stevens D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	32 (22%)	1
34 Phillip Chinedu D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	42 (26%)	1

Stevenage

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
28 Michael Mellon F	7.1	26'	–	–	3	10 (4%)	–
24 M. Smith M	7.0	26'	–	–	–	22 (20%)	1
10 Daniel Kemp M	6.7	90'	–	–	3	26 (21%)	–
44 Phoenix Patterson F	6.6	26'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	–
5 Carl Piergianni D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	42 (26%)	5
18 Oliver Sanderson M	6.5	90'	–	–	5	24 (21%)	3
27 Ben Broggio M	6.4	64'	–	–	1	19 (12%)	2
9 Josh Magennis F	6.3	64'	–	–	1	14 (8%)	–
4 Jordan Houghton M	6.3	7'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
8 Daniel Phillips M	6.1	83'	–	–	2	27 (20%)	1
6 Lewis Freestone D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	33 (22%)	4
2 Luther James-Wildin D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	41 (21%)	3
23 Louis Thompson M	5.7	64'	–	–	1	23 (15%)	–
1 Tommy Setford G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	30 (15%)	–
15 Terence Vancooten D	5.4	90'	–	–	–	50 (30%)	2

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Leyton Orient lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Leyton Orient

WLLLD

Stevenage

WLWWD

Last 1 meetings Leyton Orient · 1W 0D 0L

Live insights

85' time check 80% sure

Min 85: Leyton Orient leads 1-0. Win probability: 94.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 5.8%.

82' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-0! Leyton Orient win probability: 91.3%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 19.2%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 71.8%. Late goal chance: 30.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stevenage goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Leyton Orient goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Leyton Orient

Y. Akhamrich 3 gls

Stevenage

D. Kemp 3 gls

O. Sanderson 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

32%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	8.8%	6.1%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.6%	14.8%	7.6%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.0%	8.2%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.9%	3.4%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Leyton Orient	Draw	Stevenage
Leyton Orient	18.9%	4.0%	1.7%
Draw	16.6%	20.4%	13.9%
Stevenage	2.2%	4.6%	17.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Leyton Orient vs Stevenage

1 Leyton Orient Wins

0 Draws

0 Stevenage Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Mar 2026	Stevenage	1 - 2	Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Stevenage	W	1 - 0
15 Sep	H Arsenal U21	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Wycombe	L	2 - 3
08 Sep	H Bradford	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Luton	D	1 - 1

Stevenage — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Walsall	W	1 - 6
19 Sep	A Leyton Orient	L	1 - 0
10 Sep	H Luton	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Barnsley	W	1 - 5
01 Sep	A Peterborough	D	0 - 0

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	7	5	0	2	7	4	+3	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
3	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	14	10	+4	13
4	Huddersfield	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cambridge United	7	3	3	1	12	10	+2	12
6	Oxford United	6	3	2	1	13	7	+6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
8	Reading	6	3	1	2	14	7	+7	10
9	Stockport County	7	3	1	3	16	10	+6	10
10	Leyton Orient	7	3	1	3	13	9	+4	10
11	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11	8	+3	9
12	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	12	12	0	9
13	Leicester	7	2	3	2	9	11	-2	9
14	Wycombe	7	2	3	2	11	14	-3	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13	13	0	8
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12	14	-2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	8	18	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
23	Peterborough	7	1	2	4	4	12	-8	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7	4

Stevenage

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: A. Revell

1 Setford

6 Freestone

5 Piergianni

15 Vancooten

2 James-Wildin

27 Broggio

8 Phillips

23 Thompson

18 Sanderson

10 Kemp

9 Magennis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	T. Setford	G
2	L. James-Wildin	D
15	T. Vancooten	D
5	C. Piergianni	D
6	L. Freestone	D
18	O. Sanderson	M
23	L. Thompson	M
8	D. Phillips	M
27	B. Broggio	M
10	D. Kemp	M
9	J. Magennis	F

Substitutes

12	D. Barden	G
16	K. Casey	D
14	S. Earley	D
4	J. Houghton	M
28	M. Mellon	F
44	P. Patterson	F
24	M. Smith	M

Leyton Orient

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. Wellens

1 Baxter

34 Chinedu

5 Olowu

6 Forrester

2 Stevens

14 Hayden

8 Mizouni

27 Springett

20 Gilbert

22 Akhamrich

9 Kabia

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	N. Baxter	G
2	F. Stevens	D
6	W. Forrester	D
5	J. Olowu	D
34	P. Chinedu	D
8	I. El Mizouni	M
14	I. Hayden	M
22	Y. Akhamrich	M
20	A. Gilbert	M
27	T. Springett	M
9	J. Kabia	F

Substitutes

33	Killian Cahill	G
28	S. Clare	D
17	A. Dobra	F
3	J. Morris	D
18	D. Scarlett	F
25	Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens	M
44	T. Archibald	M