Excelsior vs Ajax Napoved

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 22

14 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Ajax

Away

UI napoved Ajax zmaga ali remi

22%

69%

Zmaga domačih Neodločeno Zmaga gostov

Napoved Excelsior proti Ajax: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Excelsior na 9%, za Ajax na 69%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 22%. Zadnja posodobitev: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium napovedi

Premium

Vidiš brezplačni rezultat 1X2 — najnatančnejše napovedi UI v vseh 70+ trgih so Premium.

76% 75%

Oglej si Premium napovedi

Brezplačen račun

Odklenite vse današnje AI napovedi — brezplačno

Ogledali ste si današnje brezplačne predoglede. Ustvarite brezplačen račun za napoved AI, verjetnosti zmage in stopnjo zaupanja za vsako tekmo — ter sledite svojim ekipam in prejemajte dnevni povzetek.

Registriraj se brezplačno

Že imate račun? Prijavite se

Premium

Odkleni celotno analizo AI za Excelsior vs Ajax

Vseh 70+ verjetnostnih trgov
UI poglobljeno poročilo o tekmi
Value Edge — model proti trgu
Vrste izbir, ki jih izberete

Postani Premium

Registriraj se brezplačno in odkleni

At a glance

Registriraj se brezplačno in odkleni

Most likely score

0:2 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Excelsior

DLDWW

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 3 meetings Excelsior · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Excelsior faces Ajax in an Eredivisie clash that promises to be a test of tactical discipline and offensive prowess. Ajax enters the match as the stronger side, boasting a high possession percentage and formidable goal-scoring record, averaging over 2.5 goals per match this season. Excelsior, known for their resilience, will need to focus on defensive organization to contain Ajax's attacking threats. Key players to watch include Ajax's top scorer, whose finishing ability could prove decisive. This matchup will be critical for both teams in their respective league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

69%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	13	15	10	5	2
1	3	10	9	6	3	1
2	1	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Excelsior goals · most likely 0–2 (14.8%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Zakaj ta izbira? · Premium UI poglobljena analiza · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	13.2%	14.8%	10.2%	5.2%
1	3.2%	10.1%	9.2%	6.3%	3.3%
2	1.3%	2.8%	2.9%	2.0%	1.0%
3	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Excelsior	Draw	Ajax
Excelsior	4.9%	2.8%	2.2%
Draw	4.0%	14.1%	22.1%
Ajax	0.5%	2.8%	46.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Excelsior vs Ajax

1 Excelsior Wins

2 Draws

0 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Ajax	2 - 2	Excelsior
01 Feb 2026	Excelsior	2 - 2	Ajax
22 Nov 2025	Ajax	1 - 2	Excelsior

Prikaži vseh 10 medsebojnih srečanj — Premium

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.