Excelsior vs Ajax Prédiction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 22

14 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Ajax

Away

Prédiction IA Ajax pour gagner ou match nul

22%

69%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Excelsior vs Ajax : Sportiko estime que Excelsior a 9% de chances de s'imposer, Ajax 69% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Pronostics Premium

Premium

Vous consultez le résultat 1X2 gratuit — les meilleures analyses de l'IA sur les 70+ marchés sont disponibles en Premium.

76% 75%

Voir les sélections Premium

Compte gratuit

Accédez à toutes les prédictions IA du jour — gratuitement

Vous avez consulté les aperçus gratuits du jour. Créez un compte gratuit pour accéder à la prédiction IA, aux probabilités de victoire et au niveau de confiance pour chaque match — et suivez vos équipes avec le récapitulatif quotidien.

Inscription gratuite

Vous avez déjà un compte ? Connectez-vous

Premium

Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour Excelsior vs Ajax

Tous les 70+ marchés de probabilité
Rapport de match — Analyse approfondie IA
Avantage Analytique — modèle vs marché
Types de sélections que vous choisissez

Passer à Premium

Inscrivez-vous gratuitement pour débloquer

At a glance

Inscrivez-vous gratuitement pour débloquer

Most likely score

0:2 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Excelsior

DLDWW

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 3 meetings Excelsior · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Excelsior faces Ajax in an Eredivisie clash that promises to be a test of tactical discipline and offensive prowess. Ajax enters the match as the stronger side, boasting a high possession percentage and formidable goal-scoring record, averaging over 2.5 goals per match this season. Excelsior, known for their resilience, will need to focus on defensive organization to contain Ajax's attacking threats. Key players to watch include Ajax's top scorer, whose finishing ability could prove decisive. This matchup will be critical for both teams in their respective league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

69%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	13	15	10	5	2
1	3	10	9	6	3	1
2	1	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Excelsior goals · most likely 0–2 (14.8%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

Ajax

J. Brandt 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Pourquoi cette sélection ? · Premium Analyse approfondie IA · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	13.2%	14.8%	10.2%	5.2%
1	3.2%	10.1%	9.2%	6.3%	3.3%
2	1.3%	2.8%	2.9%	2.0%	1.0%
3	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Excelsior	Draw	Ajax
Excelsior	4.9%	2.8%	2.2%
Draw	4.0%	14.1%	22.1%
Ajax	0.5%	2.8%	46.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Excelsior vs Ajax

1 Excelsior Wins

2 Draws

0 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Ajax	2 - 2	Excelsior
01 Feb 2026	Excelsior	2 - 2	Ajax
22 Nov 2025	Ajax	1 - 2	Excelsior

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.