Alaves vs Valencia Napoved
Napoved Alaves proti Valencia: Sportiko ocenjuje verjetnost zmage za Alaves na 54%, za Valencia na 18%, verjetnost neodločenega izida pa na 28%. Zadnja posodobitev: 15 Sep 2026, 19:57.
Premium napovedi
Premium- Več kot 1,5 gola 72%
Match Report
Alaves dominated possession and territory for much of this La Liga encounter but were unable to convert their pressure into goals, with a VAR cancellation of Arnaut Danjuma's effort in the 18th minute proving a significant early blow. The first half was feisty, with yellow cards shown to Javier Guerra and Antonio Blanco in quick succession before the break, and the teams went into half-time level at 0–0 despite Alaves enjoying 57% of the ball.
Valencia grew into the match after the interval, making a series of substitutions to freshen up their attack, and were rewarded when Luis Rioja broke the deadlock with a composed finish in the 78th minute. It was a decisive moment that Alaves could not recover from, despite their superior corner count and territorial control throughout.
The result was a surprise — our pre-match AI model had rated an Alaves win as the most likely outcome at 54%. Valencia's clinical edge ultimately proved the difference, as they secured all three points despite being outshot in corners and managing just three shots on target, matching Alaves' own tally.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Alaves
Match Stats
Alaves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nicolás Valentini D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (31%) | 1 |
| 1 Antonio Sivera G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (17%) | – |
| 7 Ángel Pérez M | 7.0 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 16 Ville Koski D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (35%) | 1 |
| 10 Carles Aleñá M | 6.8 | 5' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 3 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim D | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 6 Ander Guevara M | 6.7 | 5' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 4 Denis Suarez M | 6.6 | 67' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 2 |
| 14 Nahuel Tenaglia D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 9 Mariano Diaz F | 6.4 | 23' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 22 Miguel Rodríguez F | 6.4 | 5' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 11 Toni Martínez F | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 3 | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 15 Lucas Boyé F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 18 (15%) | 2 |
| 19 Pablo Ibáñez M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 36 (24%) | 3 |
| 8 Antonio Blanco M | 6.1 | 85' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | 4 |
| 21 Abderrahman Rebbach M | 6.0 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 27 (22%) | – |
Valencia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Luis Rioja F | 7.7 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 14 José Luis Gayà D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (45%) | 3 |
| 12 Justin De Haas D | 7.3 | 82' | – | – | – | 66 (58%) | 1 |
| 1 Stole Dimitrievski G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (20%) | – |
| 7 Arnaut Danjuma M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 18 Pepelu D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 71 (66%) | 1 |
| 36 Iker Cordoba D | 7.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 22 Arnau Martínez D | 6.9 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | 2 |
| 21 Jesús Vázquez D | 6.9 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 8 Javier Guerra M | 6.8 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 30 (22%) | – |
| 24 Pablo Maffeo D | 6.8 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 42 (31%) | – |
| 23 Filip Ugrinić M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (39%) | – |
| 2 Guido Rodríguez M | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 49 (35%) | 4 |
| 27 David Otorbi F | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 33 Aaron Mayol M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | 1 |
| 9 Hugo Duro F | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 7 (4%) | 1 |
Odkleni celotno analizo AI za Alaves vs Valencia
- Vseh 70+ verjetnostnih trgov
- UI poglobljeno poročilo o tekmi
- Vrste izbir, ki jih izberete
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMatch summary
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Boyé
5 gls
M. Díaz
4 gls
No scorer data.
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Alaves vs Valencia
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar 2026 | Valencia | 3 - 2 | Alaves |
| 20 Oct 2025 | Alaves | 0 - 0 | Valencia |
| 14 May 2025 | Alaves | 1 - 0 | Valencia |
Alaves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Sevilla | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Barcelona | L | 6 - 1 |
| 23 Oct | H Malaga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Celta Vigo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | H Atletico Madrid | L | 1 - 2 |
Valencia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Real Madrid | L | 0 - 3 |
| 01 Nov | A Elche | W | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Villarreal | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Athletic Club | D | 0 - 0 |
| 11 Oct | A Racing Santander | D | 2 - 2 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Valencia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Óscar Sánchez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Dimitrievski | G |
| 24 | Pablo Maffeo | D |
| 18 | Pepelu | D |
| 12 | J. de Haas | D |
| 14 | José Gayà | D |
| 33 | Aaron Mayol | M |
| 2 | G. Rodríguez | M |
| 23 | F. Ugrinic | M |
| 8 | Javi Guerra | M |
| 7 | A. Danjuma | M |
| 9 | Hugo Duro | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | Jesús Vázquez | D |
| 39 | R. Sato | M |
| 11 | Luis Rioja | F |
| 19 | Dani Raba | F |
| 29 | Alex Panach | D |
| 27 | David Otorbi | F |
| 22 | Arnau Martínez | D |
| 10 | H. Elliott | M |
| 15 | A. Dieng | M |
| 36 | Iker Córdoba | D |
| 37 | Aimar Blázquez | F |
| 25 | K. van Oevelen | G |
Alaves
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sivera | G |
| 14 | N. Tenaglia | D |
| 16 | V. Koski | D |
| 2 | N. Valentini | D |
| 7 | Angel Pérez | M |
| 19 | Pablo Ibáñez | M |
| 8 | Antonio Blanco | M |
| 4 | Denis Suárez | M |
| 21 | A. Rebbach | M |
| 11 | Toni Martínez | F |
| 15 | L. Boyé | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | C. Benavídez | M |
| 10 | Carles Aleñá | M |
| 17 | Jonny | D |
| 24 | Selu Diallo | M |
| 9 | M. Díaz | F |
| 3 | Yusi | D |
| 6 | Guevara | M |
| 29 | Izei Hernández | F |
| 12 | Hugo Novoa | F |
| 27 | X. Olaiz | D |
| 13 | A. Giménez | G |
| 22 | Miguel Rodríguez | F |