Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Predicție

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 32
FT
Post on X
The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Predicție AI Aston Villa sau egal
28%
26%
46%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 28% pentru victoria lui Nottingham Forest, 46% pentru Aston Villa și 26% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa played out a 1–1 draw at the City Ground in Matchday 32 of the Premier League, with both goals arriving before the interval. An own goal gave Forest the lead in the 23rd minute, only for Villa to level through a normal goal on 38 minutes, ensuring the sides went into the break level.

The second half produced little in the way of further scoring despite a flurry of substitutions from both benches, including the introductions of Lucas Digne, Morgan Rogers, and Ollie Watkins for Villa in the closing stages. Discipline was a theme throughout, with four yellow cards distributed across the 90 minutes, John McGinn among those cautioned. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Aston Villa win as the most likely outcome at 46%, though the visitors ultimately had to settle for a point.

The stats reflected Villa's dominance in possession at 59%, yet Forest generated more corners and both sides finished with closely matched expected goals figures — 1.15 for the hosts and 1.02 for Villa — underlining the tight, evenly contested nature of the encounter.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 11'
Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 23'
Own Goal
38' ⚽ 1–1
Yellow Card
45' ▮
HT 1–1
Yellow Card
63' ▮
⇄ Chris Wood
65' ⇄
▮ 67'
John McGinn Yellow Card
⇄ 77'
⇄ 78'
Lucas Digne
⇄ 78'
Morgan Rogers
84' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Ollie Watkins
89' ⇄
⇄ Dan Ndoye
89' ⇄
⇄ 90+1'
FT 1–1
Nottingham Forest

Match Stats

Aston Villa
41% Ball Possession 59%
1.15 Expected Goals (xG) 1.02
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 4
7 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 2
15 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
336 Total passes 501
278 Passes accurate 442
83% Passes % 88%
-0.47 goals_prevented -0.47
Nottingham Forest
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Neco Williams D 8.2 90' 1 – 3 24 (19%) 3
7 Callum Hudson-Odoi M 7.7 90' – 1 – 23 (20%) 1
34 Ola Aina D 7.6 89' – – – 38 (30%) 3
26 Matz Sels G 7.5 90' – – – 25 (19%) –
8 Elliot Anderson M 6.9 90' – – 1 43 (41%) 1
31 Nikola Milenković D 6.9 90' – – – 37 (35%) 3
6 Ibrahim Sangaré M 6.6 90' – – – 33 (27%) 4
11 Chris Wood F 6.5 25' – – 1 6 (5%) –
19 Igor Jesus F 6.5 89' – – 2 14 (8%) –
21 Omari Hutchinson M 6.3 65' – – – 21 (15%) –
10 Morgan Gibbs-White M 6.3 84' – – 2 21 (17%) –
16 Nicolás Domínguez M 6.3 11' – – – 1 (1%) –
5 Murillo D 5.9 90' – – 1 50 (41%) –
14 Dan Ndoye F — 1' – – – – –
22 Ryan Yates M — 1' – – – – –
Aston Villa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Youri Tielemans M 7.5 90' – – 1 45 (36%) 3
7 John McGinn M 7.2 90' – – 2 36 (33%) –
24 Amadou Onana M 7.0 90' – – 1 54 (50%) 2
6 Ross Barkley M 7.0 77' – – 1 24 (22%) 1
14 Pau Torres D 6.9 90' – – – 77 (71%) 1
21 Douglas Luiz M 6.9 13' – – – 16 (14%) –
22 Ian Maatsen D 6.9 12' – – 1 5 (4%) –
12 Lucas Digne D 6.7 78' – – – 39 (34%) 4
3 Victor Lindelöf D 6.5 90' – – 2 68 (64%) 1
2 Matty Cash D 6.5 89' – – 1 43 (38%) –
18 Tammy Abraham F 6.5 8' – – – – –
27 Morgan Rogers M 6.3 78' – – 2 35 (30%) 2
10 Emiliano Buendía M 6.3 12' – – – 6 (6%) –
40 Marco Bizot G 6.2 90' – – – 36 (28%) –
11 Ollie Watkins F 6.0 87' – – 1 15 (10%) 1
16 Andrés García D — 1' – – – 2 (2%) –
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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

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Nottingham Forest
LWDDL
Aston Villa
WWLWD
Last 3 meetings Nottingham Forest · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Nottingham Forest will host Aston Villa at the City Ground. Nottingham Forest has shown resilience at home, securing 25% of their points this season from home matches, while Aston Villa has displayed consistent form, currently positioned in the top half of the table. Villa's attack, led by Ollie Watkins, averages 1.8 goals per game, contrasting with Forest's struggle to find the net, averaging just 1.0 goals. Defensively, Villa boasts a stronger record, conceding only 1.2 goals per game compared to Forest's 1.5. This match could be crucial for both sides as they aim for higher league placements, making it a tightly contested encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Head to Head: Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

1 Nottingham Forest Wins
0 Draws
2 Aston Villa Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Sep 2026 Aston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest
03 Jan 2026 Aston Villa 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest
05 Apr 2025 Aston Villa 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest
Vezi toate cele 8 întâlniri — Premium

Nottingham Forest — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Coventry L 0 - 1
12 Sep A Aston Villa W 1 - 2
05 Sep H Tottenham D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Liverpool D 2 - 2
25 Aug H Leeds L 0 - 2

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Tottenham W 2 - 3
16 Sep A Coventry W 1 - 3
12 Sep H Nottingham Forest L 1 - 2
08 Sep A Club Brugge KV W 2 - 3
05 Sep A Hull City D 0 - 0

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Nottingham Forest

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vitor Pereira
26 Sels
3 Williams
5 Murillo
31 Milenkovic
34 Aina
8 Anderson
6 Sangare
7 Hudson-Odoi
10 Gibbs-White
21 Hutchinson
19 Jesus

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 M. Sels G
34 O. Aina D
31 N. Milenkovic D
5 Murillo D
3 N. Williams D
6 I. Sangare M
8 E. Anderson M
21 O. Hutchinson M
10 M. Gibbs-White M
7 C. Hudson-Odoi M
19 Igor Jesus F

Substitutes

27 S. Ortega G
11 C. Wood F
22 R. Yates M
29 D. Bakwa F
25 L. Netz D
24 J. McAtee M
16 N. Dominguez M
14 D. Ndoye F
4 Morato D

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Unai Emery
40 Bizot
12 Digne
14 Torres
3 Lindelof
2 Cash
8 Tielemans
24 Onana
27 Rogers
6 Barkley
7 McGinn
11 Watkins

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 M. Bizot G
2 M. Cash D
3 V. Lindelof D
14 P. Torres D
12 L. Digne D
24 A. Onana M
8 Y. Tielemans M
7 J. McGinn M
6 R. Barkley M
27 M. Rogers M
11 O. Watkins F

Substitutes

64 J. Wright G
31 L. Bailey F
21 Douglas Luiz M
22 I. Maatsen D
26 L. Bogarde M
18 T. Abraham F
10 E. Buendia M
4 E. Konsa D
16 A. Garcia D

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