Montpellier vs Metz Predicție

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 12
FT
Post on X
Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Montpellier
56%
25%
19%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Montpellier vs Metz: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 56% pentru victoria lui Montpellier, 19% pentru Metz și 25% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 6 Nov 2026, 20:56.

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Timeline

▮ 21'
Jessy Deminguet Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 26'
Bouna Sarr
Daylam Meddah Yellow Card
31' ▮
⚽ 0–2 43'
Yael Mouanga Own Goal
HT 0–2
Daylam Meddah assist: Naoufel El Hannach
50' ⚽ 1–2
⚽ 1–3 51'
Jessy Deminguet assist: Pape Moussa Fall
▮ 60'
Idris Mohamed Yellow Card
Naoufel El Hannach ⇄ Théo Chennahi
62' ⇄
Laciné Megnan-Pave ⇄ Nordan Mukiele
62' ⇄
Daryll Benlahlou ⇄ Noah Vidal
62' ⇄
Daylam Meddah ⇄ Hichem Abderrebi
66' ⇄
⇄ 80'
Jessy Deminguet ⇄ Believe Munongo
⇄ 80'
Jahyann Pandore ⇄ Nathan Mbala
Mamadou Camara
90' ⚽ 2–3
⇄ 90+1'
Idris Mohamed ⇄ Jean Ruiz
⇄ 90+2'
Teji Savanier ⇄ Bryan Song
FT 2–3
Montpellier

Match Stats

Metz
64% Ball Possession 36%
1.86 Expected Goals (xG) 0.84
23 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 2
11 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 6
11 Shots outsidebox 0
9 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 0
16 Fouls 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
479 Total passes 278
426 Passes accurate 215
19 Free Kicks 16
Montpellier
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Daylam Meddah M 7.7 66' 1 – 1 38 (36%) 4
11 Mamadou Camara F 7.4 90' 1 – 3 15 (15%) 1
3 Naoufel El Hannach D 7.0 62' – 1 2 24 (18%) 1
28 Yanis Zouaoui D 6.8 90' – – 1 72 (65%) 3
19 Nordan Mukiele F 6.7 28' – – 3 8 (7%) –
15 Julien Laporte D 6.6 90' – – 1 74 (69%) –
5 Florian Tardieu M 6.3 90' – – – 73 (61%) 5
18 Nicolas Pays M 6.1 90' – – 5 23 (19%) 1
40 Noah Vidal M 6.0 28' – – 1 12 (10%) 1
44 Théo Chennahi M 6.0 28' – – – 13 (11%) –
31 Simon Ngapandouetnbu G 5.9 90' – – – 14 (14%) –
32 Hichem Abderrebi M 5.9 24' – – 2 13 (13%) 1
9 Laciné Megnan-Pave M 5.7 62' – – – 14 (9%) –
23 Daryll Benlahlou M 5.7 62' – – 3 14 (12%) –
6 Yael Mouanga D 5.4 90' – – – 67 (64%) –
Metz
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
70 Bouna Sarr D 7.6 90' 1 – 2 21 (19%) 2
4 Urie-Michel Mboula D 7.1 90' – – – 24 (21%) 1
42 Cristian Castro D 7.0 90' – – 1 31 (27%) –
8 Jessy Deminguet M 7.0 80' 1 – 1 15 (15%) –
11 Pape Moussa Fall F 6.9 90' – 1 – 28 (20%) –
2 Maxime Colin D 6.7 90' – – – 21 (18%) 1
1 Jonathan Fischer G 6.7 90' – – – 34 (22%) –
10 Teji Savanier M 6.6 92' – – – 45 (32%) 3
22 Nathan Mbala F 6.5 10' – – – 3 (3%) –
21 Jahyann Pandore M 6.3 80' – – 2 12 (9%) 1
18 Believe Munongo M 6.1 10' – – – 5 (3%) 1
3 Florian Miguel D 6.1 90' – – – 9 (7%) –
98 Idris Mohamed M 6.1 91' – – – 26 (19%) 5
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

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Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Montpellier
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Montpellier
LWWWW
Metz
WLDWL
Last 3 meetings Montpellier · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Montpellier will face Metz in an important Ligue 2 clash. Montpellier currently sits in the mid-table, with a solid home record, having won 60% of their matches at home this season. Metz, on the other hand, struggles with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, having secured only 30% of their points on the road. Key players to watch include Montpellier's top scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Metz's playmaker, who leads the team in assists with 5. The outcome may hinge on Montpellier's ability to capitalize on their home form against Metz’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-3! Metz win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Metz leads 1-3. Win probability: 96.4%. Comeback chance: 3.6%.

52' Goal 85% sure

Metz now leads 1-3 with 85% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 66%.

50' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Metz win: 55.1%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. Metz leads. Win probability: 81.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Montpellier
N. Pays 5 gls
Lacine Megnan-Pave 4 gls
Metz
P. Fall 8 gls
J. Deminguet 3 gls

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Head to Head: Montpellier vs Metz

2 Montpellier Wins
1 Draws
0 Metz Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Feb 2024 Montpellier 3 - 0 Metz
17 Dec 2023 Metz 0 - 1 Montpellier
01 May 2022 Montpellier 2 - 2 Metz
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Montpellier — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Metz L 2 - 3
31 Oct A Annecy W 0 - 3
26 Oct H RED Star FC 93 W 2 - 1
19 Oct A Rodez W 0 - 3
09 Oct H Grenoble W 2 - 0

Metz — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Montpellier W 2 - 3
30 Oct H PAU L 1 - 3
23 Oct A Dunkerque D 1 - 1
17 Oct H Sochaux W 3 - 2
12 Oct A Dijon L 4 - 2

Ligue 2 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Saint Etienne
12 9 1 2 +14 28
2
Nancy
12 8 1 3 +8 25
3
Montpellier
12 7 3 2 +9 24
4
Reims
12 5 6 1 +9 21
5
PAU
12 6 2 4 +3 20
6
Dijon
12 5 3 4 +2 18
7
Metz
12 4 5 3 +1 17
8
RED Star FC 93
12 5 2 5 -3 17
9
Annecy
12 5 1 6 -4 16
10
Dunkerque
12 4 3 5 0 15
11
Guingamp
12 4 2 6 -2 14
12
Boulogne
12 2 7 3 +2 13
13
Rodez
12 4 1 7 -6 13
14
Nantes
12 3 3 6 -4 12
15
Clermont Foot
12 1 8 3 -4 11
16
Sochaux
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Grenoble
12 3 2 7 -9 11
18
Laval
12 2 3 7 -9 9

Montpellier

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Z. Camara
31 Ngapandouetnbu
28 Zouaoui
6 Mouanga
15 Laporte
3 Hannach
27 Meddah
5 Tardieu
9 Megnan-Pave
23 Benlahlou
18 Pays
11 Camara

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
3 Naoufel El Hannach D
15 J. Laporte D
6 Y. Mouanga D
28 Y. Zouaoui D
5 F. Tardieu M
27 D. Meddah M
18 N. Pays M
23 Daryll Benlahlou M
9 Lacine Megnan-Pave M
11 M. Camara F

Substitutes

44 T. Chennahi M
10 Y. Benhattab M
90 Gregory Ayem M
32 Hichem Abderrebi M
36 Massaoly Diarra F
1 M. Michel G
19 N. Mukiele F
77 Everson M
40 N. Vidal-Cartoux M

Metz

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Fischer
3 Miguel
4 Mboula
42 Devenish
2 Colin
70 Sarr
21 Pandore
10 Savanier
98 Mohamed
8 Deminguet
11 Fall

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Fischer G
70 B. Sarr D
2 M. Colin D
42 C. Devenish D
4 U. Mboula D
3 F. Miguel D
8 J. Deminguet M
98 I. Mohamed M
10 T. Savanier M
21 J. Pandore M
11 P. Fall F

Substitutes

61 P. Sy G
88 A. Agne Ba F
19 M. Bokele Mputu F
22 N. Mbala F
33 Abdourahmane Mbodj F
18 B. Munongo M
5 J. Ruiz D
7 Ibou Sané F
39 B. Song D

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