Montpellier vs Metz Prognose

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 12

06 Nov 2026, 19:00

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Metz

Away

KI-Tipp Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose

45%

30%

25%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Montpellier vs. Metz Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Montpellier eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 45%, für Metz 25% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Montpellier

DWLDW

Metz

DLWDD

Last 3 meetings Montpellier · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Montpellier will face Metz in an important Ligue 2 clash. Montpellier currently sits in the mid-table, with a solid home record, having won 60% of their matches at home this season. Metz, on the other hand, struggles with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, having secured only 30% of their points on the road. Key players to watch include Montpellier's top scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Metz's playmaker, who leads the team in assists with 5. The outcome may hinge on Montpellier's ability to capitalize on their home form against Metz’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Metz goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	7	5	2
1	11	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Montpellier goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Montpellier

No scorer data.

Metz

P. Fall 5 gls

J. Deminguet 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	7.4%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
1	11.1%	14.4%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.0%	9.0%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.2%	4.2%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Montpellier	Draw	Metz
Montpellier	27.0%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	16.9%	19.7%	10.3%
Metz	2.1%	4.3%	14.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Montpellier vs Metz

2 Montpellier Wins

1 Draws

0 Metz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Feb 2024	Montpellier	3 - 0	Metz
17 Dec 2023	Metz	0 - 1	Montpellier
01 May 2022	Montpellier	2 - 2	Metz

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Montpellier — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Reims	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H PAU	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Saint Etienne	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Boulogne	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Dunkerque	W	0 - 1

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.